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How can InVEST inform Bioeconomic Modeling?

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Presentation on theme: "How can InVEST inform Bioeconomic Modeling?"— Presentation transcript:

1 How can InVEST inform Bioeconomic Modeling?
InVEST Model How can InVEST inform Bioeconomic Modeling? Justin Andrew Johnson May 07, 2015

2 changes in benefits to people
Spatially explicit production function models changes in ecosystems → changes in ecosystem services → changes in benefits to people Free & open source

3 Social-Ecological System
Biophysical Human Ecosystem Structure Supply Human locations & activities Production Function Service Value ($ or not) Social preferences Tallis et al BioScience 2012

4

5 Forage & crop yield models coming soon!

6 InVEST Models & Linkages
Crop Production Nutrient Retention (Water quality) Marine Water Quality Aquaculture Wave Energy Crop Pollination Water Yield Habitat Quality/Risk Assessment Coastal Vulnerability Aesthetic Quality InVEST Models & Linkages Managed Timber Production Sediment Retention (Water quality, Avoided dredging) Coastal Protection Recreation Carbon sequestration Flood Risk Mitigation Fisheries (including recreational) Overlap Analysis Non-Timber Forest Products Blue Carbon Terrestrial/freshwater model: Tier 1 Optional model linkage Terrestrial/freshwater model: Tier 0 Required model linkage Marine model: Tier 1 To do this I will use the spatially explicit model, InVEST. Many models, today I’m focus on the water quality models Marine model: Tier 0 Model coming soon!

7 Implemented in many locations

8 Use of InVEST fits within a stakeholder driven decision process

9 Example Application Inputs to economic models
Direct impact on utility/welfare Avoided costs (increased efficiency) Change in “downstream” production function Clean water Soil quality Pollination Pests/diseases Non-timber forest products etc.

10 Specific process example: Nutrient & Sediment Retention
Nutrient/sediment load Flow direction Corn Forest export Wheat Forest retention Stream Once we know how much sediment leaves a parcel, we then take into account what happens to it as it flows downslope until it reaches a stream. In this example, sediment leaves a parcel of corn, as it moves downslope the forest takes up some of it, and the rest keeps moving to a parcel of wheat, which also takes up some of it, as does another parcel of forest. Whatever does not get retained by the intervening landscape enters the stream and is considered export. The same thing happens with each parcel, and the final retention value for a parcel of land is the sum of how much that parcel retains from what comes to it from upstream. to reservoir

11 𝑺𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕𝑬𝒙𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕 (𝒕𝒐𝒏/𝒚𝒓)=𝑼𝑺𝑳𝑬 ×𝑺𝑫𝑹 Pixel of interest (SDR)
Concepts Transport/retention Downslope path (retention) Upslope area (transport) Per pixel: 𝑺𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕𝑬𝒙𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕 (𝒕𝒐𝒏/𝒚𝒓)=𝑼𝑺𝑳𝑬 ×𝑺𝑫𝑹 Pixel of interest (SDR) Stream Complete water cycle on the landscape. Transpiration is based on the plant type, leaf type, seasonality and root depth. Inflow is from upslope. Water availability is a soil property (PAWC). Final water yield is the result of all of these interactions.

12 Spatially Explicit Routing
Uses digital elevation model (DEM) results to understand how nutrients and sediments move across the landscape.

13 Invest User Interface Simple enough for researchers or conservation planners to run on their own.

14 Impacts measured at multiple scales
1.) Household/farm-level: Who exactly are the providers and beneficiaries of the services? 2.)The agricultural sector What is the impact of ecosystem services on increasing sustainable agriculture yields?

15 Impacts measured at multiple scales
3.) Economy-wide, in order to explore tradeoffs and complementarities between productivity, nutrition and ecosystem services Where there are conflicts between conservation and agriculture, how can they be optimized?

16 connections to Economics
Spatially Explicit understanding Example: GTAP InVEST provides high resolution spatial results Expands analysis based on agro-ecological zones Example: “Land-use change impacts on ecosystem services,” (Lawler et al. 2014) Incorporation into dynamic calculable general equilibrium models Transparent accounting of non-marketed values Effect on downstream or future users

17 Conclusion InVEST provides spatially explicit production function and ecosystem service models that can act as inputs to bioeconomic models. Enables analysis of risks and tradeoffs in conservation and agriculture Helps describe value to humans in non-marketed ecosystem services

18 Questions?


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