WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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Presentation transcript:

WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and Services on the requirement for effective collaboration and therefore recommended that any efforts to develop a future prediction system include outcomes from the IPY-THORPEX cluster of projects and from the planned THORPEX Legacy Project Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction – ….the Commission requested the JSCs of the WWRP and the WCRP and also the THORPEX ICSC to set up an appropriate collaborative structure to carry out an international research initiative on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting. It recommended that this is closely coordinated with the present existing CBS infrastructure for long- range forecasting (with centres producing long-range forecasts and regional climate centres) and with the future developments in WMO climate service delivery and the Global Framework for Climate Services called for in the High-Level Declaration of WCC-3.

WWRP POLAR WORKSHOP Write up and publish the recommendations and presentations and provide to: EC-PORS (October 2010) WGNE (October 2010) WCRP Bergen meeting (October 2010) WWRP/THORPEX/WCRP Seasonal Workshop (December 2010) WWRP/JSC (January 2011) WCRP/JSC (Late winter 2010/11) THORPEX ICSC (Spring 2011) WGNE Conference on Parametrization WCRP Open Science Conference (2011)

WWRP Pieter Brueghel the Elder POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH First source of inspiration POLAR PREDICTION

WWRP 4

ECMWF Database May 08 – Apr 10 (relevant not just to YOTC) Research Focus MJO & Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves ITCZ, Easterly Waves,TCs Trop-ExtraTrop Interaction Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability Diurnal Cycle International Collaboration and Integration of Models and Observations

WWRP This observing system views the atmosphere in a variety of ways – each providing different information in a coincident way The golden age of Earth observations A-TRAIN constellation of satellites CloudSat and CALIPSO

WWRP Jan Bruegel the Younger POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH Second source of inspiration Joint Project supported by WWRP, WCRP and THORPEX similar to the YOTC project? Project Office (at NCAR & funded by NSF & NOAA for YOTC for example – need volunteer) Steering Group? (size?) Implementation Plan? - utilizing the existing groups Sub-projects (observations; modelling; Modus Operandi – workshops; science meetings Timetable ; Met services