Outline of Presentation   Introduction   Overview of AS21   Social science methodologies for integrated climate change assessment   Challenges

… there exists a knowledge gap in terms of methodologies and tools for integrated assessment of climate change particularly in watershed areas … Introduction Despite the anticipated impacts of climate change on both the natural and human systems …

… less developed is the application of appropriate social science research techniques that engaged watershed communities in conducting integrated assessment of climate change Introduction

Rationale for Stakeholder Participation in the Research Process   Ideological – participation as basic human right   Part of the awareness-building/ advocacy slant of the research – –generate understanding (public education) – –interests and support   Facilitates identification and implementation of adaptation strategies at various levels

Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability in Watershed Areas and Communities in Southeast Asia

GCM Climate Scenario National Climate Scenario Land use and cover Change in the Watershed Impacts on water, forests and communities Future Vulnerability Assessment Future Adaptation Assessment Climate Variability/ Extremes and Current Coping Mechanisms Current Vulnerability Assessment General Methodology of the study

Methodologies for Assessing Social Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation 1) Awareness generation among various stakeholders

Methodologies for Assessing Social Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation 2. Gathering secondary information Demographic characteristics Socio-economic characteristics Geographic factors Governance structure Tentative listing of secondary information (Table 1)Table 1

3. Field study a.Field reconnaissance b.Orientation workshops with various stakeholders b. Participatory vulnerability and adaptation assessment in selected barangays (Table 2)Table 2 Methods: Use combination of participatory techniques and household survey Enable researches to validate the reliability of existing secondary information using triangulation method

Figure 1: Vulnerability profile for Delanta Dawunt, Ethiopia

4. Assessment of future climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation. vulnerability and adaptation. Using the different climate change scenarios developed through MAGIC-SCENGEN With the aid of other models such as CLUE and VIC models Using the results of present vulnerability and adaptation assessment

5. Presentation of research results and validation To different stakeholders concerned to validate findings and for them to be able to anticipate and respond appropriately to future climate change Serve as a form of advocacy to generate interest and support among various sectors on climate change initiatives and strengthen the research-policy link in this area

Challenges  Methodological/technical concerns –Availability of time-series data and maps –Compatibility and reliability of available secondary socio-economic information –Combining community mapping and GIS techniques –Integrating different socioeconomic variables into the different models –Integrating the macro-micro scale and quantitative-qualitative analyses

Challenges  Institutional concerns –Continuing engagement of the different stakeholders at varying levels during the research process –Capability building both of the research team members and other stakeholders –Strengthening science-policy link to generate interests and continuing support

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