1. The AIACC Project Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change Ravi Sharma United Nations Environment Programme-Global Environment Facility UNFCCC Workshop, Manila 29 April 2004

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3. 3 AIACC Background GEF enabling project in climate change focal areaGEF enabling project in climate change focal area Geographic scope: GlobalGeographic scope: Global Project period: 2001-2005Project period: 2001-2005 Implementing Agency: UNEPImplementing Agency: UNEP Executing Agencies: START & TWASExecuting Agencies: START & TWAS Proposal developed as collaboration between authors of IPCC Third Assessment Report, UNEP, START, and TWASProposal developed as collaboration between authors of IPCC Third Assessment Report, UNEP, START, and TWAS

4. 4 AIACC Support AIACC$10m GEF$7.5m In-kind$1.8m Co-finance$700,000

5. 5 AIACC Objectives Build scientific and technical capacity to support National CommunicationsBuild scientific and technical capacity to support National Communications Advance scientific understanding of climate change impacts, vulnerabilities and adaptation opportunitiesAdvance scientific understanding of climate change impacts, vulnerabilities and adaptation opportunities Link science and policy communities for adaptation planningLink science and policy communities for adaptation planning

6. 6 AIACC Means for achieving objectives Implement regional V&A assessmentsImplement regional V&A assessments –“Learning-By-Doing” capacity building Supplemented by mentoring, training, technical support, and networkingSupplemented by mentoring, training, technical support, and networking Engage stakeholders in the regional assessmentsEngage stakeholders in the regional assessments Work with National Communications teamsWork with National Communications teams Regional workshops, publications, participation in scientific and policy workshops, working paper series, newsletter, website, synthesisRegional workshops, publications, participation in scientific and policy workshops, working paper series, newsletter, website, synthesis

7. 7 Regional V&A Assessments Country ownedCountry owned –Proposed, led and implemented by developing country proponents –Endorsed by GEF National Focal Points –Focused on generating knowledge & capacity to support regional priorities for adaptation Stakeholder participationStakeholder participation –Each regional assessment engages stakeholders from a variety of institutions Selected through international review of 150 proposals based onSelected through international review of 150 proposals based on –Scientific merit, regional significance, policy significance

8. 8 24 Regional Assessments Implemented V&A being assessed in 46 developing countriesV&A being assessed in 46 developing countries More than 150 institutions from 50 developing and 12 developed countries participate.More than 150 institutions from 50 developing and 12 developed countries participate. More than 300 developing country scientists, stakeholders and students participateMore than 300 developing country scientists, stakeholders and students participate –Africa: 11 projects –Asia: 5 projects –Latin America: 5 projects –Small Island Developing States: 3 projects

9. 9 Topics of Regional Assessments (Number of projects addressing each topic noted in parentheses) Agriculture/food security (14)Agriculture/food security (14) Water resources (13)Water resources (13) Land use (7)Land use (7) Rural livelihoods (5)Rural livelihoods (5) Coastal zones (5)Coastal zones (5) Biodiversity (3)Biodiversity (3) Aquatic ecosystems, fisheries (3)Aquatic ecosystems, fisheries (3) Human health (2)Human health (2) Extreme events (2)Extreme events (2) Tourism (1)Tourism (1)

10. 10 AIACC Accomplishments (1) Contributing to goals of UNFCCCContributing to goals of UNFCCC –Established ties to National Communications Working with appropriate agencies/persons in participating countriesWorking with appropriate agencies/persons in participating countries Providing place specific V&A info for national communicationsProviding place specific V&A info for national communications Will provide evaluations & recommendations for adaptation actionsWill provide evaluations & recommendations for adaptation actions –Contributed to NAPA guidelines & workshops –Adding to UNFCCC V&A methods/tools database –Contributed to UNDP’s Adaptation Policy Framework –Contribute to UNEP projects

11. 11 AIACC Accomplishments (2) Advancing knowledge & methodsAdvancing knowledge & methods –Participants published 5 papers in peer-reviewed journals more papers in pipelinemore papers in pipeline AIACC Working Paper Series, a peer-reviewed electronic publicationAIACC Working Paper Series, a peer-reviewed electronic publication –Advanced methods for: climate scenario generationclimate scenario generation vulnerability indicatorsvulnerability indicators livelihood approacheslivelihood approaches integrated assessment modelingintegrated assessment modeling benefit/cost analysis of adaptation benefit/cost analysis of adaptation

12. 12 AIACC Accomplishments (3) Building capacityBuilding capacity –Capacity for scientific/technical V&A assessment >200 scientists and >60 students in 46 developing countries have benefited from “learning-by-doing” and training activities>200 scientists and >60 students in 46 developing countries have benefited from “learning-by-doing” and training activities –Capacity to engage with stakeholders and formulate adaptation strategies and policies Have established networks that link science & stakeholder institutions from 62 countriesHave established networks that link science & stakeholder institutions from 62 countries –Stakeholder knowledge & awareness Numerous local workshops with stakeholdersNumerous local workshops with stakeholders –South-south capacity transfers AIACC participants have conducted several successful south- south capacity transfer activitiesAIACC participants have conducted several successful south- south capacity transfer activities

13. 13 AIACC Accomplishments (4) Contributing to international scienceContributing to international science –IPCC 4th Assessment Report Contributed to outline & plans for 4th Assessment ReportContributed to outline & plans for 4th Assessment Report Anticipate invitation of many AIACC participants to be authors of IPCC AR4Anticipate invitation of many AIACC participants to be authors of IPCC AR4 –Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2 projects contributing to MEA reports2 projects contributing to MEA reports –Global Environmental Change & Food Security (GECAFS) AIACC projects contributing to this joint project of IHDP & IGBPAIACC projects contributing to this joint project of IHDP & IGBP –Presentations in international science meetings Human Dimensions of Global Change Open Meeting, Montreal, Sept 2003Human Dimensions of Global Change Open Meeting, Montreal, Sept 2003 UNEP/SEI Adaptation Research Workshop, New Delhi, Nov 2003UNEP/SEI Adaptation Research Workshop, New Delhi, Nov 2003 Stanford University EMF Workshop on Climate Change Impacts & Integrated Assessment, Snowmass, Aug 2003Stanford University EMF Workshop on Climate Change Impacts & Integrated Assessment, Snowmass, Aug 2003 Many othersMany others

14. 14 Upcoming AIACC Activities 3 Regional Workshops in 20043 Regional Workshops in 2004 Continuation and completion of regional assessments by late 2004/early 2005Continuation and completion of regional assessments by late 2004/early 2005 Synthesis of AIACC regional studies in 2005Synthesis of AIACC regional studies in 2005

15. 15 Regional Workshops in 2004 Dates & venuesDates & venues –Dakar, 24-27 March –Buenos Aires, 24-27 August –Manila, 18-21 October ParticipationParticipation –Regional assessment investigators –Local, regional & international stakeholders PurposesPurposes –Share knowledge about regional activities, report progress –Explore how to make AIACC assessments as useful as possible to stakeholders –Plan for synthesis

16. 16 Completion of Regional Assessments Assessment activities will continue through 2004Assessment activities will continue through 2004 –Finalizing vulnerability analyses & scenarios –Evaluating adaptation options –Engaging stakeholders in evaluation of adaptation options –Communicating progress, results to in-country National Communications teams –Dissemination of information Regional assessments to be completed by late 2004 or early 2005Regional assessments to be completed by late 2004 or early 2005 –Final reports from regional assessments by mid 2005

17. 17 Synthesis of AIACC Project Participants in AIACC will synthesize lessons that transcend contexts of individual assessmentsParticipants in AIACC will synthesize lessons that transcend contexts of individual assessments –Nature and causes of vulnerability –Effective adaptation and risk management strategies –Methods for engaging stakeholders in generating and communicating information for decision making 2 workshops to be held in 2005 to facilitate2 workshops to be held in 2005 to facilitate –Synthesis book volumes to be completed by fall 2005

18. 18 Follow-up to AIACC AIACC partners planning activities to build upon successes of AIACC projectAIACC partners planning activities to build upon successes of AIACC project –Encourage regional assessment teams to extend/apply their work individually UNDP/GEF Small Grants ProgramUNDP/GEF Small Grants Program Projects for “piloting an operational approach to adaptation”Projects for “piloting an operational approach to adaptation” –Develop new suite of global activities with partners

19. 19 A new global project Retain proven elements of AIACC but include innovations for greater impact:Retain proven elements of AIACC but include innovations for greater impact: –Stronger policy implementation focus –Broaden scope beyond climate change to include other focal areas –Stakeholder engagement more integral –Training and technical support to be lead by developing country institutions, organized regionally –Provide for more uniformity of approach Develop, test, evaluate and document a protocol for participatory, policy-focused assessmentDevelop, test, evaluate and document a protocol for participatory, policy-focused assessment

20. 20 Objectives of New Global Project Enhance capacities to evaluate, plan and implement adaptation strategies related to UNFCCC and other MEAsEnhance capacities to evaluate, plan and implement adaptation strategies related to UNFCCC and other MEAs Advance knowledge needed to support adaptation decisions and implement actionsAdvance knowledge needed to support adaptation decisions and implement actions Develop regional “centers” to provide training & technical assistance in their regionsDevelop regional “centers” to provide training & technical assistance in their regions Strengthen networks for collaboration among stakeholders & scientists on global environmental problemsStrengthen networks for collaboration among stakeholders & scientists on global environmental problems