The Natural Capital Project  Help people understand what we get from nature  Use that understanding to inform decisions.

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Presentation transcript:

The Natural Capital Project  Help people understand what we get from nature  Use that understanding to inform decisions

Filling the Gap

Most Policy Windows Medium spatial scale Short timeline Standard approach Most Policy Windows Medium spatial scale Short timeline Standard approach

With sea level rise? With expanded aquaculture? With nearshore habitat restoration? How might a range of benefits people get from nature change: InVEST evaluates alternative futures

How might shoreline armoring affect Erosion/flooding from storm events?

How might shoreline armoring affect Erosion/flooding from storm events? Coastal and marine recreation? Nursery habitat for key species? Fisheries?

InVEST Applicable anywhere Flexible data requirements Flexible scale of inquiry Scenario-based Relevant to many kinds of decisions Biophysical and socio-economic outputs Biodiversity and multiple ecosystem services

Choices Change in Management, Climate Stakeholder Engagement InVEST in practice InVEST Maps Tradeoffs Balance sheets

A Tiered Approach Low Model Complexity Data Availability Local, fine Global, coarse High

China Tanzania California Hawai’i Amazon Basin Colombia Ecuador Applying InVEST (on land)

New tool: Marine InVEST Aligning economic forces with conservation Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs

Renewable energy: waves (Tier 1) Coastal Vulnerability (Tier 0) Aquaculture: finfish (Tier 1) Aesthetic quality (Tier 1) Fisheries (Tier 0) Recreation (Tier 0) Biodiversity/habitat quality (Tier 1) Coastal protection (Tier 1) Water quality (Tier 1) Carbon storage and sequestration (Tier 1) Fisheries (Tier 1) Aquaculture: shellfish (Tier 1) Nursery habitat (component of fisheries model) Renewable energy: offshore wind (Tier 1) Fisheries: connect to existing models (Tier 3)

Marine InVEST 13

West Coast Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada

Multiple services. Not sector by sector.

Recreation Ranking based on simple (0, 1) classification and distance decay

Combined index of vulnerability: Where are the people + where are the biophysical hazards?

Run Wave Model Offshore Beach Erosion Difference: 1.5m 15 hrs Storm H max =1.5m T=4s

NPV ($ mil) Commercial Fishery : Salmon trawl : Salmon net : Crab and Shrimp Recreational Fishery : Salmon : Ground fish : Power Grid Connection Point : Cable Landing Point

Summary ScenarioAquacultur e yield Energy from waves RecreationAesthetic views …… Add netpens, lodges & wave energy facilities … …

Simplest InVEST models are helping to: frame the discussion explore suitable, vulnerable, & important areas More complex InVEST models can explore tradeoffs and compare alternative scenarios A work in progress…

Applying Marine InVEST Vancouver Island Belize Chesapeake Bay Puget Sound Galveston Bay Monterey Bay

When do land-based activities affect success of marine resource management? Oyster restoration Fisheries Coastal protection Nutrient runoff Coastal hardening Water withdrawals

Testing many kinds of decision contexts Decision ContextGeography Spatial PlanningTanzania, Indonesia, British Columbia, Hawai’i, China, Belize Ecosystem-based management (terrestrial-marine links) Puget Sound, Galveston Bay, Chesapeake Bay Climate adaptation (ecosystem-based adaptation) Galveston Bay, Monterey Bay Return on restoration investmentsColombia water funds, Gulf of Mexico, Indonesia Impact assessment, permitting, licensing Colombia mining concessions, agricultural practices in US

InVEST Simple (or complex) Readily available Easy to use Created within decision-making processes Designed to stay there Aligning economic forces with conservation