Shell Exploration & Production Copyright: Shell Exploration & Production Ltd. 9/16/2015 File Title Prestige Seminar Energy for the Future Issues and Options for UK Energy - University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Wednesday 9 November 2005 Kieron McFadyen Vice-President Technical - Europe

The Three-Part Challenge World Energy Demand Climate Change Security of Supply

World Energy Demand The Three–Part Challenge IEA World Energy Outlook billion tonnes oil equivalent Asian developing economies

Climate Change The Three–Part Challenge global carbon emissions GtC / year Projected range of temperature increase ppm 550 ppm 450 ppm IEA IEA 2004 reference case adjusted to include non-sustainable biomass ºC

Security of Supply The Three–Part Challenge The G8 Summit 2005 – Gleneagles, Scotland

Gas is Travelling Norway Oman Qatar Algeria Egypt Nigeria Equatorial Guinea Trinidad & Tobago Venezuela

Gas – the fuel of the 21st century oil billion boe/d gas Source: Shell long-term Scenarios

Energy demand to double by half demand still Oil & Gas IEA 2004 (reference case) billion tonnes oil equivalent other renewables hydro nuclear biomass & waste coal gas oil

UK net importer of Gas by 2005/06 Source: BP

Shell and the UK’s Security of Supply Short and Long-term

Five Transition Areas 1. More efficient use of energy – demand management 2. Make the most of existing sources of energy 3. Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4. Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5. Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

Five Transition Areas 1. More efficient use of energy – demand management 2. Make the most of existing sources of energy 3. Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4. Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5.Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

Five Transition Areas 1.More efficient use of energy – demand management 2.Make the most of existing sources of energy 3.Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4.Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5. Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

2. Make the most The importance of Technology 4-Dimensional Seismic Expandable Tubing for Wells

Five Transition Areas 1. More efficient use of energy – demand management 2. Make the most of existing sources of energy 3. Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4. Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5.Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

3. Reduce and manage emissions Carbon-free electricity from the North Sea Miller Field

Five Transition Areas 1. More efficient use of energy – demand management 2. Make the most of existing sources of energy 3. Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4. Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5.Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

4. New sources into production Unconventionals potential coal bed methane extra-heavy oil & bitumen oil shaletight gas gas shale contaminated gas 100 bn boe

4. New sources into production solar, wind, wave, biofuels, hydrogen Energy - a business for today & tomorrow

Five Transition Areas 1. More efficient use of energy – demand management 2. Make the most of existing sources of energy 3. Reduce and manage emissions of carbon dioxide from energy processes 4. Bring new sources of energy into production – in more difficult conditions and from unconventional resources 5. Develop more efficient ways of producing energy and cleaner fuels

Engineering Undergraduates Germany 16% China 44% United Kingdom 5% France16%