Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation transcript:

Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable The State of New Hampshire The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The State of New Hampshire Race/Ethnicity 95.0% White 1.0% Black 1.9% Asian 2.4% Hispanic Occupation 43.3% White Collar 56.7% Blue Collar Median Income $61.4k in state Partisanship 29.3% Republican 29.5% Democrats 41.3% undeclared 04 Presidential Vote Kerry, +1% SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 1. Core Partisanship of New Hampshire Electorate,

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 2. Party Identification of Young, Migrant and Established Voters, 2008

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent John Sununu Occupation Technology executive Political Experience U.S. House of Representatives, First Elected 2002 Committees Commerce, Science, and Transportation Foreign Relations Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs SOURCE: sununu.senate.gov

Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for John Sununu,

Figure 3. John Sununus Favorability Ratings, October 2001-September 2008

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Jean Shaheen Occupation Teacher Small business owner Political Experience Senator, New Hampshire State Senate, Governor, New Hampshire, SOURCE: shaheen.senate.gov

Figure 4. Jeanne Shaheen Favorability Rating, July 2007-September 2008

Figure 5. New Hampshire Senate Race Polling, July 2007-November 2008

Table 2. New Hampshire Senate Campaign Spending, 2008

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Quicker NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Independent NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Remember NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Taxes NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Energy NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Leadership NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Dig NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: For New Hampshire Families NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Stop Complaining NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Where You Lead NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Unbelievable NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Serious NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Whos Sununu Kidding? NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Running NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Honored NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Spending NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Promotion NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Insanity NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Dear New Hampshire NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: High and Deep NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 90 NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Choice NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Time to Go NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Sure Sees NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Higher Costs NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: 155 Billion Reasons NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Chamber of Commerce Health Care NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Not on Your Side NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: New Hampshire First NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Register NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: No Thanks NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results