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Coming Out of Nowhere. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Coming Out of Nowhere  The State of Florida  The Candidates.

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Presentation on theme: "Coming Out of Nowhere. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Coming Out of Nowhere  The State of Florida  The Candidates."— Presentation transcript:

1 Coming Out of Nowhere

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Coming Out of Nowhere  The State of Florida  The Candidates  The Campaign  The Results

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The State of Florida Race/Ethnicity  76.6% White  15.4% Black  2.3% Asian  20.6% Hispanic Occupation  39.3% Blue Collar  60.7% White Collar Median Income  $47.4k in state  $51.4k in U.S. Partisanship  R +2, PVI ’08 Presidential Vote  Obama, +2.5%

4 Table 8.1 Party Affiliation of Florida Voters, 1986–2010

5 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Candidates: Democrat Kendrick Meek Occupation  Law Enforcement Political Experience  House of Representatives, 2003-11  Florida Senate, 1998-2002  Florida House of Representatives, 1994-1998

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Candidates: Republican Mark Rubio Occupation  Attorney Political Experience  Speaker, Florida House of Representatives, 2007-09  Florida House of Representatives, 2000-09

7 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Candidates: Independent Charlie Crist Occupation  Attorney Political Experience  Governor of Florida, 2007- 11  Attorney General of Florida, 2003-07  Education Commissioner of Florida, 2001-03  Florida State Senate, 1992-98

8 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Figure 8.1 Rubio vs. Crist vs. Meek Polling Averages, 2010

9 Table 8.2 Campaign Finance Data for Florida Senate Campaigns, 2004–2010

10 Table 8.3 Voter Characteristics and Senate Preferences in Florida, 2010

11 Table 8.4 Opinion of Political Conditions and Senate Preferences, 2010

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Independence” NOTE: Internet access required.

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Integrity” NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Vetoed” NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “What Do We Really Know?” NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Crossroads” NOTE: Internet access required.

17 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “What’s Right” NOTE: Internet access required.

18 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Cross the Line” NOTE: Internet access required.

19 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Best of Both” NOTE: Internet access required.

20 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crist’s “Line in the Sand” NOTE: Internet access required.

21 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Dream” NOTE: Internet access required.

22 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Kids” NOTE: Internet access required.

23 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Most Important” NOTE: Internet access required.

24 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Accident” NOTE: Internet access required.

25 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “We All Know” NOTE: Internet access required.

26 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Honremos” NOTE: Internet access required.

27 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Padres” NOTE: Internet access required.

28 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Rubio’s “Backwards” NOTE: Internet access required.

29 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Meek’s “My Life” NOTE: Internet access required.

30 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Meek’s “Only One” NOTE: Internet access required.

31 The Results


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