1. Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

2. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State The State of North Carolina The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

3. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The State of North Carolina Race/Ethnicity 70.5% White 21.3% Black 1.8% Hispanic 6.7% Asian Occupation 36% White Collar 64% Blue Collar Median Income $43.9k Partisanship 34% Republican 45% Democrats 04 Presidential Vote Bush, +12% SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

4. Figure 1. Republican Strength in North Carolina Federal Elections 1960–2006

5. Figure 2. Republican Strength in North Carolina State Elections 1960–2006

6. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent Elizabeth Dole SOURCE: bioguide.congress.gov Occupation President, American Red Cross, 1991-99 Political Experience Secretary of Labor, 1989-90 Secretary of Transportation, 1983-87 Director, White House Office of Public Liaison, 1981-1983 Federal Trade Commission, 1975-1979 Deputy Assistant to the President for Consumer Affairs, 1969-1973 First Elected 2002 Committees Armed Services Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Small Business and Entrepreneurship

7. Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Elizabeth Dole, 2003-08

8. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Kay Hagan Occupation Attorney Banker Political Experience Senator, North Carolina State Senate, 1999-2009 SOURCE: hagen.senate.gov

9. Figure 3. Approval of Barak Obama and Kay Hagan, April 2008-October 2008

10. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Results NOTE: Internet access required.

11. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Salisbury NOTE: Internet access required.

12. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Only NOTE: Internet access required.

13. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Days B NOTE: Internet access required.

14. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Budget Expert NOTE: Internet access required.

15. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Voices NOTE: Internet access required.

16. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Level NOTE: Internet access required.

17. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Factory NOTE: Internet access required.

18. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Votes NOTE: Internet access required.

19. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Market NOTE: Internet access required.

20. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Ineffective NOTE: Internet access required.

21. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Rocking Chairs NOTE: Internet access required.

22. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Firepower NOTE: Internet access required.

23. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Arf (Fibber Kay) NOTE: Internet access required.

24. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Ka-Ching (Fibber Kay 2) NOTE: Internet access required.

25. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Promises (Godless Americans) NOTE: Internet access required.

26. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Promises 2 (Godless Americans 2) NOTE: Internet access required.

27. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Belief NOTE: Internet access required.

28. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Crossed NOTE: Internet access required.

29. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Closer Look NOTE: Internet access required.

30. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Hoax NOTE: Internet access required.

31. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Bear NOTE: Internet access required.

32. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Foreign Language NOTE: Internet access required.

33. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Travel NOTE: Internet access required.

34. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Really NOTE: Internet access required.

35. Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results

36. Table 2. Selected Exit Poll Results from the 2008 North Carolina Senate Race