Introduction to the ADAPT project - context Context and new elements General overview of the methodology Work plan and timing

Introduction to the ADAPT project It is known that adaptation measures will be necessary to protect populations and ecosystems against climate-related hazards in the next decades (IPCC, 2001; EEA, 2004). It remains for the policy-maker to select among a wide range of options and possibilities of adaptation measures. In general, the ways and means required to implement these measures appear to be considerable, when compared with the risks to be avoided. The decision-making principles advocated by international programs stipulate that the choice of adaptation measures must reflect their potential to produce benefits which will surpass their costs The overall objective of this project is to develop and demonstrate an efficient management tool being a cost-benefit analysis based instrument for the integrated assessment of adaptation measures.

Introduction to the ADAPT project - context About climate change Impacts of Europe’s changing climate- EEA Report (Oct 2008) - Conclusions of the 4th assessment IPCC Reports (Feb 2007), The Stern Review (Nov 2006), the 3rd assessment IPCC reports (2001) are confirmed i.e. Mean winter precipitation in temperate latitudes. Projection for 2100: heavy precipitation will become more frequent About adaptation measures “Guidance on Water and Climate Adaptation” (Transboundary basins) - UNECE (Oct 2008) “The four major methods used for prioritizing and selecting adaptation options are cost-benefit analysis, multicriteria analysis, cost effectiveness analysis and expert judgement” EU Floods DIRECTIVE (Dir 2007/60/EC - 23 Oct 2007) “Flood risk management plans shall take into account relevant aspects such as costs and benefits” Plan “PLUIES” - Mapping of flooding areas The overall objective of this project is to develop and demonstrate an efficient management tool being a cost-benefit analysis based instrument for the integrated assessment of adaptation measures.

Introduction to the ADAPT project – general overview methodology Economic aspects (WP2.2) Social aspects (WP2.2) Environmental aspects (id.) Evaluation of adaptation measures (WP2.5) = Cost/benefits analysis Technical Non-technical Hydraulic modeling (WP2.1) Secondary impacts Primary impacts IMPACTS (WP2.1 et WP2.2) RESPONSE (WP2. 3 et WP2.4) Water discharge Hydrological modeling CCI-HYDR Hydrological modeling CCI-HYDR Adaptation measures

Introduction to the ADAPT project – general overview methodology 1. Evaluating primary impacts of global change induced flooding on river basins (WP2.1) Assessment of flood characteristics and development of flood maps Translating hydraulic modelling results into input for the assessment of secondary impacts 2. Evaluating secondary impacts of global change induced flooding on vulnerable sectors in river basins (WP2.2) Risk assessment, stock at risk Assessment of environmental, economic and social aspects  Overall assessment of damage 3. Determining and evaluating adaptation measures (WP2.3 & 2.4) Definition of both technical and non-technical measures  Overall assessment of costs and benefits of adaptation measures 4. Cost-benefit analysis (WP2.5) Implementation of the cost-benefit analysis Complementary analysis based on impact indicators using criteria analysis (MCA)  Recommendations on adaptation of measures Phase 2Phase 2 Phase 1Phase 1

EVALUATION BY FOREIGN EXPERTS Phase 1: January to December WP1 General study and evaluation WP2 Case study - Floods WP2.1 Evaluating primary impacts of global change induced flooding on river basins WP2.2 Evaluating secondary impacts of global change induced flooding on vulnerable sectors in river basins WP2.3 Determining adaptation measures Phase 2: January to January WP2 Case study - Floods WP2.2 Evaluating secondary impacts of global change induced flooding on vulnerable sectors in river basins WP2.3 Determining adaptation measures WP2.4 Evaluating adaptation costs WP2.5 Cost-benefit analysis WP2.6 Recommendations on adaptation of measures Introduction to the ADAPT project – timing