Transportation Planning Modeling with EMME/2

Interconnectedness

Agencies Running The MAG Model zMaricopa County zRegional Public Transportation Authority zScottsdale zTempe

Agencies Supported zBuckeye zChandler zFountain Hills zPhoenix zADOT zGila River Indian Community zGilbert zGlendale zGoodyear zMesa zPima Association of governments zPeoria zPhoenix zPima-Maricopa Indian Community zUS HUD

Components zTransportation Model z Land Use z Highway Network z Transit Network z Documentation

Major Updates z1984 Travel Demand Model (UTPS) y1979 Travel Speed Study y1980 On-Board Bus Survey y1981 Home Interview Survey z1990 Travel Model Update (UTPS) y1986 On-Board Bus Survey y1986 Travel Speed Study y1989 Home Interview Survey z1995 Conversion to EMME2 and Model Update y1989 Home Interview y1991 On-Board Bus Survey y1993 Travel Speed Study

Recent Improvements zFeedback to Trip Distribution zHOV Modeling zGraphics zModel Flexibility zRemote Access

Socioeconomic Variables zResidential zLocation zHousehold Income zAuto Ownership z Employment zLocation zType

Modeled Area zArea is 60 x90 miles z29 Member Agencies z1541 Transportation Analysis Zones

Modeled Area zArea is 60 x90 miles z29 Member Agencies z1541 Transportation Analysis Zones

Transportation Model Feedback

MAG Transportation Model

Trip Purpose Stratification zHome-Based Work yIncome Group Stratification zHome-Based Shopping zHome-Based Other zHome-Based School yElementary/Secondary yArizona State University yOther University zNon-Home Based yNon-Home-Based Other yNon-Home-Based Work

Trip Generation zTrip Production yj = f (Household size j, Household income j) zTrip Attraction yj = f (Retail Employment j, other employment j, households j)

Productions and Attractions

Network Level of Service zHighway yTravel distance ij yTravel time ij yTravel Cost zTransit yWalk time ij yFirst wait ij yIn-vehicle time ij yTransfer time ij yFare ij yNumber of transfers yDrive access areas yWalk access areas

Trip Distribution Tij = Trips from Zone i to Zone j Aj = trip Attraction in Zone j Pi = Trip Production in Zone i Fij =Effect of travel time & distance between Zone i & Zone j Pi(Aj x Fij)  (Aj x Fij) Tij =

Transit Access Coding

Drive Access Path Building Parameters

AM Peak Period Bus Travel Time Factor AM PEAK PERIOD

Midday Period Bus Travel Time Factor MIDDAY PERIOD

Walk Access Path Building Parameters

Multinomial Logit Structure Choice Drive AloneShared Ride Transit Walk Access Transit Drive Access 2 Occupants3 Occupants4+ Occupants

Mode Choice P ij = Probability of using transit for a trip between Zone i to Zone j Transit untility ij = f (transit level of service ij, income i ) Auto utility ij = f (highway level of service ij, income ij

Home Based Work Observed vs. Estimated Trips by Mode

Home Based Non-Work Observed vs. Estimated Trips by Mode

Non-home Based Observed vs. Estimated Trips by Mode

Transit Trips Thousands

Transit Boardings Thousands

Transit Transfer Rate

1980 Weekday 24-hour Counts I-10: East of 40th Street

Actual vs. Estimated Counts

Highway Travel Forecasting Accuracy of Models in Phoenix and Other Planning Areas

Population and Average Daily VMT

Regional Freeway Priorities

Planned Street Improvements

Regional Transit Plan

Carbon Monoxide Concentrations Projected for December 1995

1995 Freeway Traffic AWDT Volumes (000) and V/C Ratios Based on 1995 HOV Traffic Assignment and Freeway Management System Counts

Mode Choice Model Update zObjective zUpdate the MAG mode choice model and check it for reasonableness zProducts zRelationship between land use and light rail ridership zPortland, San Diego, Sacramento zSketch planning model for Phoenix zUpdate mode choice model y1995 On-Board Origin and Destination Survey yCurrent knowledge about mode choice modeling

Nested Mode Choice Model

Current Projects zUpdating Documentation zExternal Travel Survey zHousehold Travel Survey zChanging to New Computers

Transportation Planning Modeling with EMME/2