Hindsight Bias https://store.theartofservice.com/the-hindsight-bias-toolkit.html.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Introduction to Psychology
Advertisements

Adult Learning and Participatory Training
Ch. 6 MEMORY.
1 Intuitive Irrationality: Reasons for Unreason. 2 Epistemology Branch of philosophy focused on how people acquire knowledge about the world Descriptive.
Eye-witness testimony
Depression and Mental Control Some assumptions: Associative network of memory/cognition Emotions Thoughts  For depressed individuals, negative thoughts.
Memory II Reconstructive Memory Forgetting. Observe this crime scene.
When Intuition Differs from Relative Frequency
Somatoform and Dissociative Disorders
Critical Thinking.
BHS Memory and Amnesia Memory and Reality.
Readings 25 & 26. Reading 25: Classic Memory and the eye-witness Experiment 1 Experiment 2 Conclusion Reading 26: Contemporary Misinformation Effect Memory.
Retrieval: How We Recall the Past from Episodic Memory
Introducing Social Psychology
Social Cognition: Thinking About People
 The misinformation effect refers to incorrect recall or source attribution of an item presented after a to-be-remembered event as having been presented.
Becoming an Adult:. Consider:  How do individuals form an identity?  How do individuals prepare for an occupation?  How do individuals develop supportive.
Obsessive Compulsive Disorder. Beginning Activity On a piece of paper I need you to answer the following questions:
Bipolar Disorder Bailey Roy. Definition Bipolar disorder causes extreme shifts in mood, energy, thinking, and behavior–from the highs of mania on one.
Test Taking Tips How to help yourself with multiple choice and short answer questions for reading selections A. Caldwell.
Memory Chapter 6.
Cognitive level of Analysis
Good Slide vs. Bad Slide - The Bad 1.Title is not changed. 2.The Challenge statement is not "stated as an instructional dilemma or problem." 3.Although.
 Psychological disturbances came from irrational and illogical thinking.  Irrational beliefs such as “I must get 100% in every test” etc and “I didn’t.
Chapter One Theories of Learning
Flourishing in older age: Scottish and other realities (Positive Ageing) Professor Mary Gilhooly Director Brunel Institute for Ageing Studies Presentation.
The Psychology of the Person Chapter 2 Research Naomi Wagner, Ph.D Lecture Outlines Based on Burger, 8 th edition.
RESEARCH METHODS REVIEW GAME. A TESTABLE PROPOSITION THAT EXPRESSES A RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VARIABLES. Hypothesis A variable is anything that can vary.
MEMORY & INTELLIGENCE.
Black Swan Theory
Highlights from Educational Research: Its Nature and Rules of Operation Charles and Mertler (2002)
© 2013 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Thinking: Memory, Cognition, and Language Chapter 6.
Repression- Freud Freud came up with the idea that we forcibly forget facts that provoke anxiety or unhappiness, therefore protecting ourselves against.
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 8 Somatoform and Dissociative Disorders Movie 2/27: “Amelie” (extra credit)
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 8 Somatoform and Dissociative Disorders.
Module 19 Recalling Long-term Memory Chapter 6, Pages Essentials of Understanding Psychology- Sixth Edition PSY110 Psychology © Richard Goldman.
Self-serving Bias
Psychogenic Amnesia or Dissociative Amnesia. Definition Memory disorder characterized by extreme memory loss usually caused by extensive psychological.
Dissociative Disorders Dissociative Amnesia Dissociative Identity Disorder Depersonalization-Derealization Disorder.
Chapter 6 Memory 1.
Psychology 394U: Cognitive Concepts in Clinical and Social Psychology First Day’s lecture Gordon Bower.
Copyright 2010, The World Bank Group. All Rights Reserved. Testing and Documentation Part II.
Memory.
Charles T. Blair-Broeker Randal M. Ernst
1 DECISION MAKING Suppose your patient (from the Brazilian rainforest) has tested positive for a rare but serious disease. Treatment exists but is risky.
Memory. Memory: Overview Memory: Active system that receives, stores, organizes, alters, and recovers (retrieves) information Encoding –Converting information.
MEMORY & INTELLIGENCE. MEMORY: The input, storage, and retrieval of what has been learned or experienced.
Chapter 5 The Life Course. Memory and Intelligence The process of remembering as a series of steps: –Perception of information –Acting on information.
Other Stuff Famous Folks Group Behavior Individual Behavior Culture & Expectations
Fundamental attribution error
Humanistic Psychology. Humanistic perspective Emphasizes the study of the whole person (holism) Humanistic psychologists look at human behaviour not only.
Autobiographical Memories & Flashbulb Memories Psychology 355: Cognitive Psychology Instructor: John Miyamoto 5/11 /2015: Lecture 07-1 This Powerpoint.
FINALIZE MYTHBUSTING Score Worksheets. SECRETS OF THE PSYCHICS Correct Worksheets.
Memory Chapter 4. Flashbulb Memories : are extremely vivid and apparently permanent memories. are typically of highly emotional and personal events. are.
AOK: HISTORY!.  Quotation/Question Reflection  Introduction to History as a AOK  End Goal – To what extent can you trust the knowledge that you gain.
Spiral Of Silence
Explanations Cognitive Psychodynamic Treatments Cognitive psychodynamic.
Getting you thinking: Extension: Read the ‘Apply your knowledge’ section on p55. Discuss the task with your neighbour.
The Science of Psychology
University of Akron – Akron, OH For further information
Retrieval Failure Although the information is retained in the memory store, it cannot be accessed. Tip-of-the-tongue (TOT) is a retrieval failure phenomenon.
7-2 Leadership Goals Describe the need for leadership skills and the characteristics of an effective leader. Identify the human relations skills needed.
Cognitive approach Lesson 6.
Cognitive level of analysis
Topic 3: Interpersonal Relationship.
Summary and Future Directions
Trace decay theory - Hebb Cue-Dependency- Tulving
Memory in Everyday Life
All Actions and Thoughts
8. The interactionist approach to Schizophrenia
Presentation transcript:

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight bias 1 A basic example of the hindsight bias is when, after viewing the outcome of a potentially unforeseeable event, a person believes he or she knew it all along

Hindsight bias - History 1 The 'hindsight bias', although not hitherto named as such, was not a new concept when it emerged in psychology|psychological research in the 1970s

Hindsight bias - History 1 This study is frequently referred to in definitions of the hindsight bias, and the title of the paper, I knew it would happen, may have contributed to the hindsight bias being interchangeable with the phrase knew it all along hypothesis.

Hindsight bias - History 1 Hindsight Bias, risk perception and investment performance

Hindsight bias - Function 1 (2007) Hindsight Bias: On Being Wise After the Event

Hindsight bias - Function 1 Subjects used the phrase it should have been obvious multiple times in the experiment, similar to the other name for hindsight bias the I knew it all along phenomenon.

Hindsight bias - Function 1 In a perfectly objective case, the verdict would be based on the physician’s standard of care instead of the outcome of the treatment, however studies show that cases that end in severe negative outcomes such as death result in higher levels of hindsight bias

Hindsight bias - Function 1 There has been very little research on the phenomenon of visual hindsight bias

Hindsight bias - Function 1 The role of surprise can help explain the malleability of hindsight bias.

Hindsight bias - Function 1 Another topic that affects the function of hindsight bias is the auditory function of humans.

Hindsight bias - Function 1 Auditory hindsight bias

Hindsight bias - Function 1 What can children tell us about hindsight bias: A fundamental constraint on perspective-taking? Social Cognition

Hindsight bias - Function 1 Older children and adults displayed a different type of hindsight bias when presented with an identical task

Hindsight bias - Cognitive models 1 SARA and RAFT focus on distortions or changes in a memory process while CMT focuses on probability judgments of hindsight bias.

Hindsight bias - Cognitive models 1 When remembered this image is reactivated, and the ability for editing and alteration of the memory is possible which takes place in hindsight bias when new and correct information is presented, leading one to believe that this new information when remembered at a later time is the persons original memory

Hindsight bias - Cognitive models 1 explains hindsight bias with comparisons of objects using knowledge based probability then applying interpretations to those probabilities

Hindsight bias - Cognitive models 1 CMT is a non-formal theory based on work by many researchers to create a collaborative process model for hindsight bias that involves event outcomes

Hindsight bias - Memory distortions 1 The person must recall the original information with hindsight bias and misinformation effect while a person that has a false autobiographical memory is expected to remember the incorrect information as a true memory.

Hindsight bias - Memory distortions 1 Hindsight bias and misinformation effect recall a specific time and event, this is called an episodic memory process

Hindsight bias - Motivated forgetting 1 Examples will be discussed below to show the regularity and severity of hindsight bias in society.

Hindsight bias - Elimination 1 The only observable way to decrease hindsight bias in testing is to increase accountability of the participant's answer.

Hindsight bias - Schizophrenia 1 Schizophrenia is an example of a disorder that directly affects the hindsight bias. The hindsight bias has a stronger effect on schizophrenic individuals compared to individuals from the general public.Woodward, T. S., Moritz, S., Arnold, M. M., Cuttler, C., Whitman, J. C., Lindsay, S. (2006). Increased hindsight bias in schizophrenia. Neuropsychology. 20:

Hindsight bias - Schizophrenia 1 The hindsight bias effect is a paradigm that demonstrates how recently acquired knowledge influences the recollection of past information

Hindsight bias - Post-traumatic stress disorder 1 The PFC is well known for controlling the thought process in hindsight bias that something will happen when it evidently does not

Hindsight bias - Post-traumatic stress disorder 1 Although there has been limited research, significant data suggests that hindsight bias, in terms of guilt and responsibility from traumatic events of war, has an effect on war veterans' personal perception of wrongdoing

Hindsight bias - Health care system 1 Many of these deaths are viewed to be preventable after the fact, clearly indicating the presence and importance of a hindsight bias in this field.

Hindsight bias - Judicial system 1 This shows that jurors are not the only ones sensitive to the effects of the hindsight bias in the courtroom.

For More Information, Visit: m/the-hindsight-bias- toolkit.html m/the-hindsight-bias- toolkit.html The Art of Service