Mission impossible? – Sweden is decarbonizing the transport sector in 12 years! Jakob.lagercrantz@equest.se

The Swedish Climate Law 2017

Single purpose, not for profit - ”coalition of the willing” Independent of technology and political parties Quick in reaction and flexible – a partner organization Whole transport sector – (landtransport, rail, sea, air) Bränslet Beteendet Bilen

National indicators for the 2030 target

Basic facts on Sweden 5 million cars/10 million inhabitants Diesel Renewable Climate barometer Transport 2006-2018 . WtW. 1990=index 100. National Trspt Authority Low mix ethanol Fossil gas Gasoline Ethanol for buses Ethanol for E85 Share of biofuels in the road transport sector in 2017- Publ Transport Authority 5 million cars/10 million inhabitants 21% (2017) biofuels in the transport sector 80% of biofuels imported – mostly Neste HVO Share of chargeable vehicles 11,4% (oct-18) Heavily dependent on transport

Sweden – policies for now and later Industrial implementation 2018 2030 Policies in place

1. SOFT – Strategic Plan for the Transition of the Transport Sector Six national authorities in co- operation Long term strategic plan (to 2030) Most importantly; close co- operation between Director – Generals. 61 strategic proposals in 2017 report

2. Swedish reduction quota from July 1st 2018 Initially a 19,3% CO2 reduction for diesel, 2,6% for gasoline. Reduction on CO2, not on volume. No target set post 2020, but the Government has indicated a target decrease to 40% by 2030. This would mean a demand of approx 6 million tons of biofuels 2030.

3. Bonus – malus for new vehicles from 1st July 2018 Gasoline

4. Focus on goods! National gods transport strategy 2018-2022 Growth Increased transports Decarbonization Technological development Modal shift Pay as you go?

5. Transparency is key Labelling on fuel pumps from 2020 GHG reduction Raw material Origin All fuels, both renewable and fossil Judged on what company in question has procured Mass balance principle

6. Low emission zones Possibility for low emission zones cities 2020/22 Class 1; heavy vehicles since 1996 based on Euro class Class 2; initially diesel cars Euro 5 and 6. From 2022 only Euro 6. All other cars. Class 3; second zone zero emission cars and methane cars Euro 6.

7. Policies under way Reviews presented early 2019: Biojet fuels Deductions for travel cost Biogas development in Sweden

EU and biofuel 2021-2030 – holding back investments Limitation of ”first generation/conventional” biofuels Support for ”2nd generation/advanced” biofuels No ambitious targets

What can we do together on biofuels? Coalition of the willing! Joint development projects Industrial co-operation Joint policy development, copy paste and new ideas Joining forces in the EU commission

Scania transport lab Transport efficiency – International long haulage, diesel CO2 g/tonkm Transport of components Södertälje –Zwolle and back Improved filling rate and performance 24 litres/100 km Payload 21 tons CO2 30/tonkm Continous improvements Longer trucks; platooning