2016 Annual Dropout and Cohort Graduation Rates

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Presentation transcript:

2016 Annual Dropout and Cohort Graduation Rates Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Goals for the Presentation Review cohort graduation rate methodology and present results for the 2015 and 2016 cohorts Review annual dropout rate methodology and present results for the 2015-16 school year Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Calculating Graduation Rates in MA 4 Year Rate – 2016 Cohort # of students in cohort who graduate within 4 years [# of 1st time 9th graders 4 yrs earlier] – transfers out + transfers in What percent graduate by summer ‘16? Transfer out/deceased Transfer In July 1, 2012 9th grade first time Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Cohort Graduation Rate 2016 4-year cohort graduation rate increased to 87.5% from 87.3% for the 2015 cohort 2015 5-year cohort graduation rate increased to 89.4% from 88.5% for the 2014 5-year rate. Ten consecutive years of increased 4-year rates All racial/ethnic groups increased their 2016 4-year graduation rate. African American students +1.4 percentage points Hispanic students +0.5 percentage points White students +0.3 percentage points Asian students +0.3 percentage points Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Cohort Graduation Rates 2006-2016 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Graduation Rate Gaps Narrowing Represents a 32% reduction in the graduation rate gap between White and African American students and between White and Hispanic students Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Graduation Rates – Receivership Districts 2006-2016 Lawrence – 60.6 in 2012 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Improved Graduation Rates for All Subgroups 2006-2016 4-Year Rate 2006 State Change All Students 87.5% 79.9% +7.6 Low Income/ED 78.4% 62.3% +16.1 ELL 64.1% 54.5% +9.6 SWD 71.8% 61.1% +10.7 African American 78.9% 64.4% +14.5 Asian 92.7% 83.9% +8.8 Hispanic 72.7% 56.9% +15.8 White 91.9% 85.1% +6.8 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Calculating Annual Dropout Rates The final dropout rate = [(Summer Dropouts + School Year Dropouts) – Returned Dropouts] / High School Enrollment Summer Dropouts: Students reported as dropping out of school or transferring to an in-state public school without a record of enrollment prior to the beginning of the school year. School Year Dropouts: Students reported as dropping out of school or transferring to an in-state public school without a record of enrollment during the school year. Preliminary Dropout Count: Total number of students considered to be preliminary dropouts for the school year. Returned Dropouts: Remove any Preliminary Dropouts are reported to have enrolled, graduated or received a high school equivalency by October 1st of the following school year Preliminary Dropout Count: Total number of students considered to be preliminary dropouts for the school year. Final Dropouts: The remaining students are considered to be final dropouts for the school year. Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

2015-16 Annual Dropout Rate 5,523 students in grades nine through twelve dropped out of high school in the 2015-16 school year Represents 1.9% of all students in grades nine through twelve Remains the lowest dropout rate on record at ESE Mixed results among racial/ethnic subgroups Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Annual Dropout Rate 2007-2016 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Annual Dropout Numbers 2007-2016 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Dropout Rate Gaps Narrowing White Hispanic = 47% White AA = 43% Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Annual Dropout Rates – Receivership Districts 2007-2016 Holyoke – 53% reduction in dropout gap from 2007 to 2016 Lawrence – 59% form 2007 to 2016 and 28% since receivership Southbridge – 18% from 2007 to 2016 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education