Human Wellbeing

Human Responses [Adaptation, innovation, transformation] Global Environmental Change [Interactions and changes from local to regional and global scales] Human Well-being [Development, resource use, growth, equity] Coupled Social- Environmental Earth System Global Sustainability [Development within Earth system boundaries, and Sustainable development at all scales, from local to global] Impacts on People and Societies [understanding social-ecological resilience and vulnerabilities]

Human Responses Global Environmental Change Human Well-being Coupled Social- Environmental Earth System Global Sustainability Impacts on People and Societies

Coupled Social- Environmental Earth System Impacts on People and Societies Trajectories towards Global Sustainability Human Development Regional and Global Environmental Changes Human Responses

Coupled Social- Environmental Earth System Impacts on People and Societies Trajectories towards Global Sustainability Human Development Regional and Global Environmental Changes Human Responses Scale interactions and feedbacks

Koppla Framework.....

Earth System Interactions Global Environmental Change Impacts on Societies Human responses to Global Change Adaptation and Transformations Human Wellbeing Environmental Feedbacks Social Feedbacks Economic, demographic, socio-political, technical and cultural Land and Water use, resource manage-ment, ecosystems diversity and energy Natural forcing factors (sun, volcanoes, etc.) DRIVERS Human Wellbeing Development goals, needs, values and aspirations -Food security -Water security -Energy access -Environmental safety PRESSURES INTERACTIONS FEEDBACKS Regional and Global Environmental Changes Land use change Ocean dynamics Biodiversity and ecosystem services Atmospheric chemistry Climate change Nutrient cycles and freshwater shifts.... IMPACTS ON PEOPLE Vulnerabilities Resilience RESPONSE NEW INSIGHTS AND SOLUTIONS -Observations/Synthesis -Forecasts/Risk assessments -Innovations/Solutions --nderstanding/Confiining SOCIAL ACTION -Adaptation/transformation -Economics/policy -Governance/Management -Values/culture -Trust/Partnerships Local to Regional Interactions Regional to Global Interactions EARTH SYSTEM PROCESSES REGIONSSYSTEMS

Transformation Social, Policy, Market, Consumers and knowledge

Future Earth: A global “Apollo” type endeavour Mobilize international global change scientific community around an unprecedented decade of focused and intensive research Human Impacts on System Human Responses Earth System Function Impacts of Global Change on People Research for Global Sustainability 9

Integrated Science, Service provision, Actionable Research, Strategic program convergence Global sustainability now a prerequisite for Poverty Alleviation Predict risks of catastrophic thresholds in the Earth system Innovation pathways for a Grand Transformation to global sustainability Planetary Stewardship for human prosperity in the Anthropocene

The need for new integrated knowledge for a world transformation to global sustainability

FoodEnergyWaterConservationHealthRewarding workLand use allocation Disaster Risk Reduction Identity, freedom and community Forecasting Confining/ Thresholds RespondingInnovatingObserving Possible conceptual framework – Scientific arenas Global environmental change DRAFT

Economic, demographic, socio-political, technical and cultural Land and Water use, resource manage- ment, ecosystems diversity and energy Natural forcing factors (sun, volcanoes, etc.) Earth System Interactions Global Environmental Change Impacts on Societies Human responses to Global Change Adaptation and Transformations Human Wellbeing Environmental Feedbacks Social Feedbacks Economic, demographic, socio-political, technical and cultural DRIVERS

Impacts on People and Societies Pathways towards Global Sustainability Human Activities and Development Regional and Global Environmental Changes Human Responses