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Population Change in Texas and the Fort Bend Area: Implications for Education, the Labor Force and Economic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Change in Texas and the Fort Bend Area: Implications for Education, the Labor Force and Economic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby."— Presentation transcript:

1 Population Change in Texas and the Fort Bend Area: Implications for Education, the Labor Force and Economic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University Fort Bend Chamber of Commerce November 1, 2011 Sugarland, Texas Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

2 Major Topics of the Presentation __________________________ Population Change Increasing Racial/Ethnic Diversity Aging of the Population Implications of Demographic Change for Education, The Labor Force and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

3 Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010 Total Population Percent Change YearTexasU.S. TexasU.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876--- 1860 604,215 31,443,321184.235.6 1870 818,579 39,818,44935.526.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,78394.526.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,71440.425.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,57536.420.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,26627.821.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,62019.714.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,04624.916.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,27510.17.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,36120.214.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,17524.219.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,03116.913.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,80527.111.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,87319.49.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,90622.813.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,53820.69.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year. Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

4 Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009 United States Texas ComponentNumeric Change Percent of Total Change Numeric Change Percent of Total Change Total Change25,584,644100.03,930,482100.0 Natural Increase15,875,57962.12,124,12454.0 Net Domestic Migration-------848,70221.6 Net International Migration9,709,06537.9957,65624.4 Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.

5 Estimates of the Unauthorized Population in the United States, 2000-2010

6 Estimates of the Undocumented Population in Texas, 2000-2010

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8 Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 Population NumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 California33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 New York18,976,45719,378,102401,6452.1 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Illinois12,419,29312,830,632411,3393.3 Pennsylvania12,281,05412,702,379421,3253.4 Ohio11,353,14011,536,504183,3641.6 Michigan9,938,4449,883,640-54,804-0.6 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Ten Largest States in the United States by Population Size in 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

9 Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 PopulationNumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 California33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Virginia7,078,5158,001,024922,50913.0 Washington5,894,1216,724,540830,41914.1 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

10 Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 Population NumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Utah2,233,1692,763,885530,71623.8 Idaho1,293,9531,567,582273,62921.1 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 South Carolina4,012,0124,625,364613,35215.3 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

11 Regional Population Change as a Proportion of U.S. Population Change, 2000-2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

12 Population of the United States by Regions, 1910-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population in Thousands (Thousands) United States/ Regions19001950196019701980199020002010 United States76,212151,326179,323203,302226,546248,710281,422308,746 Regions Northeast27.626.124.924.121.720.419.017.9 Midwest34.529.428.827.925.924.022.921.7 South32.231.230.730.933.334.435.637.1 West5.713.315.617.119.121.222.523.3

13 Place PopulationChange 2000 2010Number Percent New York, NY8,008,2788,175,133166,8552.1 Los Angeles, CA3,694,8203,792,62197,8012.6 Chicago, IL2,896,0162,695,598-200,418-6.9 Houston, TX1,953,6312,099,451145,8207.5 Philadelphia, PA1,517,5501,526,0068,4560.6 Phoenix, AZ1,321,0451,445,632124,5879.4 San Antonio, TX1,144,6461,327,407182,76116.0 San Diego, CA1,223,4001,307,40284,0026.9 Dallas, TX1,188,5801,197,8169,2360.8 San Jose, CA894,943945,94250,9995.7 Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171. Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States

14 Texas Regional Councils of Governments

15 Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2010; and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change Total PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of State Council of Government20002010Numeric% Population 2010 Change, 2000-10 North Central Texas5,309,2776,539,9501,230,67323.226.028.7 Houston-Galveston4,854,4546,087,1331,232,67925.424.228.7 Alamo Area1,807,8682,249,011441,14324.48.910.3 Capital Area1,346,8331,830,003483,17035.97.311.3 Lower Rio Grande Valley924,7721,203,123278,35130.14.86.5 East Texas745,180829,74984,56911.33.32.0 Rio Grande704,318825,913121,59517.33.32.8 Coastal Bend549,012571,98722,9754.22.30.5 Central Texas374,518449,64175,12320.11.81.7 Panhandle402,862427,92725,0656.21.70.6 Permian Basin376,672417,67941,00710.91.71.0 South Plains377,871411,65933,7888.91.60.8 South East Texas385,090388,7453,6550.91.50.1 Deep East Texas355,862378,47722,6156.41.50.5 Heart of Texas321,536349,27327,7378.61.40.6 South Texas264,177330,59066,41325.11.31.5 West Central Texas324,901327,3902,4890.81.30.1 Brazos Valley267,085319,44752,36219.61.31.2 Ark-Tex270,468281,94711,4794.21.10.3 Nortex224,366222,860-1,506-0.70.90.0 Texoma178,200193,22915,0298.40.80.4 Golden Crescent183,905188,6264,7212.60.80.1 Middle Rio Grande154,381167,01012,6298.20.70.3 Concho Valley148,212154,1925,9804.00.60.1 State of Texas20,851,81825,145,5614,293,74120.6100.0

16 Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

17 Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area20002010Numeric% Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown4,715,4075,946,8001,231,39326.1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington5,161,5446,371,7731,210,22923.4 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos1,249,7631,716,289466,52637.3 San Antonio-New Braunfels1,711,7032,142,508430,80525.2 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission569,463774,769205,30636.1 El Paso679,622800,647121,02517.8 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood330,714405,30074,58622.6 Brownsville-Harlingen335,227406,22070,99321.2 Laredo193,117250,30457,18729.6 College Station-Bryan184,885228,66043,77523.7 Lubbock249,700284,89035,19014.1 Tyler174,706209,71435,00820.0 Corpus Christi403,280428,18524,9056.2 Amarillo226,522249,88123,35910.3 Waco213,517234,90621,38910.0 Midland116,009136,87220,86318.0 Longview194,042214,36920,32710.5 Odessa121,123137,13016,00713.2 Sherman-Denison110,595120,87710,2829.3 San Angelo105,781111,8236,0425.7 Abilene160,245162,2525,0073.1 Victoria111,663115,3843,7213.3 Texarkana*89,30692,5653,2593.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur385,090388,7453,6550.9 Wichita Falls151,524151,306-218-0.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only.

18 Total Population in 2000 and 2010 and Population Change for the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas (2010) Change 2000-2010 County20002010NumericPercent Harris County3,400,5784,092,459691,88120.3 Dallas County2,218,8992,368,139149,2406.7 Tarrant County1,446,2191,809,034362,81525.1 Bexar County1,392,9311,714,773321,84223.1 Travis County812,2801,024,266211,98626.1 El Paso County679,622800,647121,02517.8 Collin County491,675782,341290,66659.1 Hidalgo County569,463774,769205,30636.1 Denton County432,976662,614229,63853.0 Fort Bend County354,452585,375230,92365.1 Montgomery County293,768455,746161,97855.1 Williamson County249,967422,679172,71269.1 Cameron County335,227406,22070,99321.2 Nueces County313,645340,22326,5788.5 Brazoria County241,767313,16671,39929.5 Bell County237,974310,23572,26130.4 Galveston County250,158291,30941,15116.5 Lubbock County242,628278,83136,20314.9 Jefferson County252,051252,2732220.1 Webb County193,117250,30457,18729.6 ________ Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Population Counts as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

19 Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Population Increase Between 2000 and 2010 Change 2000-2010 County20002010NumericPercent Harris County3,400,5784,092,459691,88120.3 Tarrant County1,446,2191,809,034362,81525.1 Bexar County1,392,9311,714,773321,84223.1 Collin County491,675782,341290,66659.1 Fort Bend County354,452585,375230,92365.1 Denton County432,976662,614229,63853.0 Travis County812,2801,024,266211,98626.1 Hidalgo County569,463774,769205,30636.1 Williamson County249,967422,679172,71269.1 Montgomery County293,768455,746161,97855.1 Dallas County2,218,8992,368,139149,2406.7 El Paso County679,622800,647121,02517.8 Bell County237,974310,23572,26130.4 Brazoria County241,767313,16671,39929.5 Cameron County335,227406,22070,99321.2 Hays County97,589157,10759,51861.0 Webb County193,117250,30457,18729.6 Guadalupe County89,023131,53342,51047.8 Brazos County152,415194,85142,43627.8 Galveston County250,158291,30941,15116.5 ________ Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Population Counts as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

20 Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Population Increase Between 2000 and 2010 Change 2000-2010 County20002010NumericPercent Rockwall County43,08078,33735,25781.8 Williamson County249,967422,679172,71269.1 Fort Bend County354,452585,375230,92365.1 Hays County97,589157,10759,51861.0 Collin County491,675782,341290,66659.1 Montgomery County293,768455,746161,97855.1 Denton County432,976662,614229,63853.0 Guadalupe County89,023131,53342,51047.8 Kaufman County71,313103,35032,03744.9 Kendall County23,74333,4109,66740.7 Comal County78,021108,47230,45139.0 Hidalgo County569,463774,769205,30636.1 Chambers County26,03135,0969,06534.8 Ellis County111,360149,61038,25034.3 Garza County4,8726,4611,58932.6 Wilson County32,40842,91810,51032.4 Waller County32,66343,20510,54232.3 Parker County88,495116,92728,43232.1 Bell County237,974310,23572,26130.4 Webb County193,117250,30457,18729.6 ________ Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Population Counts as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

21 Population Change in Texas Counties, 1990-2000 Source: Texas State Data Center

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23 Change Percent of Population Race/ Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent20002010 NH White (Anglo)10,933,31311,397,345464,0324.252.445.3 Hispanic6,669,6669,460,9212,791,25541.832.037.6 NH Black2,364,2552,886,825522,57022.111.311.5 NH American Indian68,85980,58611,72717.00.3 NH Asian554,445948,426393,98171.12.73.8 NH Hawaiian/Pac. Isldr.10,75717,9207,16366.60.1 NH Some Other Race19,95833,98014,02270.30.1 NH Two or More Races230,567319,55888,99138.61.11.3 Total20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6100.0 ________ Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171. *Hispanic includes Hispanic persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (non-Hispanic White[Anglo], non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic American Indian, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic Some Other Race, non-Hispanic Two or More Races). Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas, 2000 and 2010

24 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Age 18+ Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent20002010 NH Whites (Anglo)8,426,1669,074,684648,5187.7056.3149.64 Hispanic (All Races)4,282,9016,143,1441,860,24343.4328.6233.61 NH Black1,631,4482,076,282444,83427.2710.9011.36 NH Asian 415,219 716,968301,74972.672.773.92 NH "Other" Races70,61295,97325,36133.050.470.53 NH Two or More Races138,715172,68633,97124.490.930.94 State of Texas14,965,06118,279,7373,314,67622.15100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

25 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent20002010 NH Whites (Anglo) 2,507,1472,322,661 -184,486-7.3642.5933.83 Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,7653,317,777931,01239.0140.5448.32 NH Black 732,807810,543 77,73610.6112.4511.81 NH Asian 139,226231,458 92,23266.252.373.37 NH "Other" Races 28,96236,513 7,55133.050.490.53 NH Two or More Races 91,852146,872 55,02059.901.562.14 State of Texas 5,886,7596,865,824 979,06516.63100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

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30 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White194,552,774196,817,5522,264,7781.28.369.163.7 Hispanic (All Races)35,305,81850,477,59415,171,77643.055.512.516.3 NH Black33,947,83737,685,8483,738,01111.013.712.112.2 NH Asian10,123,16914,465,1244,341,95542.915.93.64.7 NH Other7,492,3089,299,4201,807,11224.16.62.73.0 Total281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7100.0

31 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White150,525,687157,100,9906,575,3034.425.972.067.0 Hispanic (All Races)22,963,55933,346,70310,383,14445.240.811.014.2 NH Black23,337,57327,323,6653,986,09217.115.711.211.6 NH Asian7,702,89511,288,9953,586,10046.614.13.74.8 NH Other4,598,3805,503,718905,33819.73.62.22.3 Total209,128,094234,564,07125,435,97712.2100.0

32 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White44,027,08739,716,562-4,310,525-9.8-228.460.953.5 Hispanic (All Races)12,342,25917,130,8914,788,63238.8253.717.123.1 NH Black10,610,26410,362,183-248,081-2.3-13.114.714.0 NH Asian2,420,2743,176,129755,85531.240.03.34.3 NH Other2,893,9283,795,702901,77431.247.84.05.1 Total72,293,81274,181,4671,887,6552.6100.0

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37 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo) 2,274,829 2,360,472 85,6433.7648.2439.69 Hispanic (All Races) 1,353,477 2,099,412 745,93555.1128.7035.30 NH Black 783,955 998,883 214,92827.4216.6316.80 NH Asian 226,308 384,596 158,28869.944.806.47 NH "Other" Races 18,867 27,895 9,02847.850.400.47 NH Two or More Races 57,971 75,542 17,57130.311.231.27 Houston-Sugar Land- Baytown MSA 4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,39326.11100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

38 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years of Age or Older by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo) 1,728,113 1,862,144 134,0317.7651.6343.46 Hispanic (All Races) 863,565 1,353,998 490,43356.7925.8031.60 NH Black 538,356 715,248 176,89232.8616.0816.69 NH Asian 168,231 292,317 124,08673.765.036.82 NH "Other" Races 13,114 19,537 6,42348.980.390.46 NH Two or More Races 36,035 41,266 5,23114.521.080.96 Houston-Sugar Land- Baytown MSA 3,347,414 4,284,510 937,09627.99100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

39 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo) 546,716 498,328 -48,388-8.8539.9629.98 Hispanic (All Races) 489,912 745,414 255,50252.1535.8144.84 NH Black 245,599 283,635 38,03615.4917.9517.06 NH Asian 58,077 92,279 34,20258.894.255.55 NH "Other" Races 5,753 8,358 2,60545.280.420.50 NH Two or More Races 21,936 34,276 12,34056.251.602.06 Houston-Sugar Land- Baytown MSA 1,367,993 1,662,290 294,29721.51100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

40 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo) 601,851 537,901 -63,950-10.6330.8125.62 Hispanic (All Races) 730,865 919,668 188,80325.8337.4143.81 NH Black 487,851 485,956 -1,895-0.3924.9723.15 NH Asian 102,706 124,859 22,15321.575.265.95 NH "Other" Races 6,528 8,367 1,83928.170.000.40 NH Two or More Races 23,830 22,700 -1,130-4.741.221.08 City Houston 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,8207.46 100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

41 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years of Age or Older by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo)499,473458,859 -40,614 -8.1335.2529.48 Hispanic (All Races)476,451613,353 136,902 28.7333.6239.41 NH Black340,032361,356 21,324 6.2724.0023.22 NH Asian80,191102,177 21,986 27.425.666.56 NH "Other" Races4,6896,141 1,452 28.170.330.39 NH Two or More Races16,13714,541 -1,596 -9.891.140.93 Houston1,416,9731,556,427 139,454 9.84 100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

42 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less Than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010 Change Percent of Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010 NH Whites (Anglo)102,37879,042 -23,336 -22.7919.0814.56 Hispanic (All Races)254,414306,315 51,901 20.4047.4156.41 NH Black147,819124,600 -23,219 -15.7127.5422.95 NH Asian22,51522,682 167 0.744.204.18 NH "Other" Races1,8392,226 387 28.170.340.41 NH Two or More Races7,6938,159 466 6.061.431.50 Houston536,658543,024 6,366 1.19 100.00 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non- Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

43 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Fort Bend County, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White163,788211,68047,89229.220.7 46.2 36.2 Hispanic (All Races)74,871138,96764,09685.627.8 21.1 23.7 NH Black69,579123,26753,68877.223.2 19.6 21.1 NH Asian39,54598,76259,217149.725.6 11.2 16.9 NH Other6,66912,6996,03090.42.6 1.9 2.2 Total354,452585,375230,92365.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

44 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Fort Bend County, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White116,386159,06942,68336.725.0 48.3 38.7 Hispanic (All Races)47,29289,31642,02488.924.6 19.6 21.7 NH Black45,94884,97739,02984.922.9 19.1 20.6 NH Asian27,54771,29743,750158.825.7 11.4 17.3 NH Other3,8076,8813,07480.71.8 1.6 1.7 Total240,980411,540170,56070.8 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

45 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for For Bend County, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White47,40252,6115,20911.08.6 41.8 30.3 Hispanic (All Races)27,57949,65122,07280.036.6 24.3 28.6 NH Black23,63138,29014,65962.024.3 20.8 22.0 NH Asian11,99827,46515,467128.925.6 10.6 15.8 NH Other2,8625,8182,956103.34.9 2.5 3.3 Total113,472173,83560,36353.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

46 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Sugar Land, Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White38,52635,014-3,512-9.1-22.7 60.8 44.4 Hispanic (All Races)5,0538,3243,27164.721.1 8.0 10.6 NH Black3,2425,7442,50277.216.2 5.1 7.3 NH Asian15,04227,67212,63084.081.5 23.8 35.1 NH Other1,4652,06359840.83.9 2.3 2.6 Total63,32878,81715,48924.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

47 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Sugar Land, Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White26,76227,7931,0313.96.5 61.4 46.8 Hispanic (All Races)3,3915,7922,40170.815.2 7.8 9.8 NH Black2,1774,1812,00492.112.7 5.0 7.0 NH Asian10,41320,43610,02396.363.4 23.9 34.4 NH Other8471,19935241.62.2 1.9 2.0 Total43,59059,40115,81136.3 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

48 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Sugar Land, Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White11,7647,221-4,543-38.61410.9 59.6 37.2 Hispanic (All Races)1,6622,53287052.3-270.2 8.4 13.0 NH Black1,0651,56349846.8-154.7 5.4 8.1 NH Asian4,6297,2362,60756.3-809.6 23.5 37.3 NH Other61886424639.8-76.4 3.1 4.4 Total19,73819,416-322-1.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

49 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

50 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

51 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2040* Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

52 Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

53 Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

54 POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

55 Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009 1999 2009 Population in Poverty% Median Household Income* Population in Poverty% Median Household Income Anglo 826,4597.8$60,839 1,010,1709.0$59,836 Hispanic 1,658,43425.4$38,536 2,364,40726.4$35,628 Black 525,08223.4$37,803 630,47923.1$35,438 Asian 65,04811.9$64,576 105,18612.1$63,692 Other42,58613.9NA40,00011.9NA Total 3,117,60915.4$51,506 4,150,24217.2$50,043 *In 2009 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009

56 Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009 1999 2009 Population in Poverty% Median Household Income* Population in Poverty% Median Household Income Anglo15,414,1198.1$58,52319,462,96610.0$54,671 Hispanic7,797,87422.6$43,44211,130,89623.5$39,923 Black8,146,14624.9$37,9569,407,95525.8$33,463 Asian1,257,23712.6$66,9611,539,22611.4$68,780 Other1,284,43618.5NA1,327,12018.4NA Total 33,899,81212.4$54,172 42,868,16314.3$50,221 *In 2009 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

57 Educational Attainment for the Texas Population Age 25 and Older by Race/Ethnicity, 2009 Race Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than high school High school diploma Some college or associates degree Bachelor or more Non-Hispanic White8,026,0498.325.332.533.9 Black1,705,70915.030.436.518.1 Hispanic*4,876,51742.525.221.410.9 Asian580,15914.215.417.253.2 Total15,361,55720.125.428.925.5 ________ Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009. *Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

58 Educational Attainment for the United States Population Age 25 and Older by Race/Ethnicity, 2009 Race Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than high school High school diploma Some college or associates degree Bachelor or more Non-Hispanic White139,962,1999.629.330.031.1 Black22,975,41018.631.632.217.6 Hispanic*26,106,58739.126.222.112.6 Asian9,404,49314.716.019.649.7 Total201,952,38314.728.528.927.9 ________ Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009. *Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

59 Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001 by Selected Characteristics Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

60 PROJECTIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

61 Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

62 Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions) Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

63 Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

64 Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: 2000 to 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

65 Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

66 Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

67 Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

68 Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

69 Texas Counties with 50 Percent or More of Their Total Population That is Anglo in 2000 and Projected for 2040 Under Alternative Projection Scenarios Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

70 Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

71 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

72 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2040* * Assuming rates of migration equal to 2000-2004 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

73 TEXAS EDUCATION Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

74 Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas Public Schools, 1999-2000 and 2009-2010 School Years Enrollment10-Year ChangeProportion Race/Ethnicity1999-20002009-2010NumericPercent 1999- 2000 2009- 2010 Economically Disadvantaged White359,510443, 93384,42323.518.415.6 African American369,393475,994106,60128.918.916.7 Other36,73466,87430,14082.01.92.3 Hispanic1,190,3631,866,376676,01356.860.865.4 Total1,956,0002,853,177897,17745.9100.0 Total White1,727,7331,615,459-112,274-6.543.233.3 African American576,977679,351102,37417.714.414.0 Other114,979198,99284,01373.12.94.1 Hispanic1,582,5382,354,042771,50448.839.548.6 Total4,002,2274,847,844845,61721.1100.0 Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2009-10 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf

75 District/County/School Year White (%) African American (%)Hispanic (%) Asian/Pacific Islander (%) Native American (%) Total Enrollment Houston ISD (Harris) 2000-200110.032.154.92.90.1208,462 2010-20117.826.261.93.20.2204,245 Dallas ISD (Dallas) 2000-20017.835.954.51.40.4161,548 2010-20114.625.068.21.20.4157,162 Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris) 2000-200158.510.023.47.90.263,497 2010-201131.015.542.58.00.2106,097 Northside ISD (Bexar) 2000-200136.76.654.32.20.263,739 2010-201120.16.267.83.10.295,581 Austin ISD (Travis) 2000-200133.715.747.82.50.377,816 2010-201124.39.560.33.40.385,697 Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant) 2000-200121.430.945.42.10.279,661 2010-201114.323.459.21.80.381,651 Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend) 2000-200137.828.018.116.00.153,999 2010-201120.329.425.921.40.668,948 North East ISD (Bexar) 2000-200149.19.438.82.50.250,875 2010-201132.07.354.13.60.366,604 Arlington ISD (Tarrant) 2000-200147.321.324.06.80.658,866 2010-201126.223.241.86.80.464,484 El Paso ISD (El Paso) 2000-200115.24.878.51.20.362,325 2010-201110.74.182.81.20.364,330 Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2010-2011 *Largest enrollment based on 2010-2011 school year Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles

76 Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges and Health-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008 Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity Public Univ Public 2-year Colleges Health-related Institutions 2000 Enrollment White (%)58.452.861.3 African American (%)9.811.04.9 Hispanic (%)19.628.912.6 Asian (%)5.73.914.6 American Indian (%).5 International (%)5.32.44.8 Unknown (%).7.51.3 Total 2000 Enrollment414,626447,99813,806 2008 Enrollment White (%)50.445.251.3 African American (%)11.611.86.6 Hispanic (%)24.334.113.8 Asian (%)6.64.214.5 American Indian (%).5.6 International (%)5.72.59.7 Unknown (%).91.73.5 Total 2008 Enrollment509,136617,50720,421 Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB)

77 Public Elementary and Secondary Public Community College, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

78 Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College and Public University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

79 TEXAS LABOR FORCE Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

80 Projections of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000 to 2040 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

81 Percent Change in Projected Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

82 Projections of the Percent of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

83 Number and percent of Net Change in the Civilian Labor Force in Texas Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group, Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

84 Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000 Dollars)

85 Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040

86 Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

87 Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

88 Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

89 Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040* *Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario $251 $621 $765 $938 $210 $528 $629 $752 2000 Base Values 2040 Assuming 2000 Attainment Differentials 2040 Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Differentials 2040 Assuming Anglo Trends Apply to all Groups $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Billions Aggregate IncomeConsumer Expenditures Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

90 The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

91 Race/Ethnicity by Age for the Population in Texas, 2010 91

92 Race/Ethnicity by Age for the Population in Texas, 2010 92

93 Steve Murdock Phone: 210-867-4385 E-mail: shm3@rice.edushm3@rice.edu Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu


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