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Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections.

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Presentation on theme: "Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections."— Presentation transcript:

1 Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections

2 Growing States, 2000-2010 2 2000 Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change 2000-2010 Percent Change 2000-2010 United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6% California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0% Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6% Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3% North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,17018.5% Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,38524.6% Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

3 Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Annual Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.493.916.09 197011,196,7301,617,0531.786.7413.26 198014,229,1913,032,4612.741.5858.42 199016,986,5102,757,3192.065.8534.15 200020,851,8203,865,3102.349.6550.35 201025,145,5614,293,7412.154.9445.06 201226,060,796 915,2351.852.0547.95 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2012 3

4 Total Estimated Population by County, 2012 4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 86% of population 92% of population growth (2011-2012)

5 Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012 5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline

6 The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 6 Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6 2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky.3.7 3.Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla.3.6 4.The Villages, Fla.3.4 5.Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville, N.C.3.3 7.Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo.3.0 9.Columbus, Ga.-Ala.2.9 10.Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

7 The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 7 Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005 2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas, Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis, Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32,997 10.Clark, Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013

8 Percent Hispanic, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2007-2011

9 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas, 1990-2012 9 millions Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed, www.pewresearch.org/hispanic

10 Percent of the population that is native born, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2007-2011

11 Percent of the population age 5 and over that speaks Spanish and speaks English less than very well, Texas Counties, 2008-2012 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2008-2012

12 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

13 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

14 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 14 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

15 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

16 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

17 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 17 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

18 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 18 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

19 Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 81.1%48/49/50 (tied with CA and MS) Bachelors or greater26.4%29 19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011.

20 Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009 20 Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

21 Trends in Educational Attainment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

22 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 22 Sources: Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

23 Educational Attainment of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Race/Ethnicity in 2011, and Projected for 2030 Using Constant Rates and Using Trended Rates of Educational Attainment, Texas 23 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

24 Demographics and Destiny 24

25 Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us 25 Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.


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