1. WP3- Development: Milestone M3 Lisbon 30 January 2004 National Technical University of Athens

2. WP3- Development: Milestone M3 FACT: The global architecture of F-MAN has been very well described in the Technical Annex of the project where the three modules of the system where described. The Tracking System module The Data Processing module The Asset Management module National Technical University of Athens

3. WP3- Development: Credits This is due to the effective work of Eckhard Kuhla and Valerio Recagno, who both put a significant effort for the preparation of the Technical Annex of the of this project. National Technical University of Athens

4. = WP3- Development: Overall view National Technical University of Athens The research work that followed, investigated several aspects, problems and dilemmas of the architecture. It has made a big round and ended-up at the start-up point. This presentation gives a brief description of the above research work.

5. = WP3- Development: Research trends National Technical University of Athens Investigate advanced decision support management solutions Follow the functional requirements Finito palabra Track-and-trace is OK Riv 2000 Don’t do ….

6. = WP3- Development: Interim work (1) National Technical University of Athens ……………………………

7. = WP3- Development: Interim work (2) National Technical University of Athens …………………………… RESULT: Partly success !!!!!!!!!!!

8. = WP3- Development: Achievements National Technical University of Athens The completeness of the initial approach was confirmed Certain elements were developed functional requirements User management part of DPM ETA Transport order structure of AMM Several major aspects are still not finalised (Optimisation, Business Rules)

9. Dilemma #1: Clever OBT or dummy OBT ? National Technical University of Athens

10. Dilemma #1 Solution: Select an OBT “from the shelf” antenna

11. Dilemma #2: One central Ground Station VS spatial distributed locations National Technical University of Athens One central ground applications config. Self reliant local ground applications config. Master-slave ground applications config

12. Dilemma #2 Solution : One central Ground Station National Technical University of Athens One central ground applications config. Country A Country B Country C International provider OBT National provider International provider Roaming Users’ premisesUsers’ premises Users’ premises Internet connection Internet connection Internet connection Roaming Central Ground Applications OBT Self reliant local ground applications config. Country A Country B Country C OBT Fleet Manager Internet connection Leased lines Local Ground Applications OBT Local Ground Applications Leased lines Central Ground Applications National provider National provider Fleet Manager Fleet Manager National Provider Master-slave ground applications config

13. Dilemma #3: System architecture F-MAN version VS Pinto’s/ RIV 2000 oriented version

14. Dilemma #3 Solution : Only F-MAN Version exists !!!! F-MAN Version Pinto/ RIV 2000 oriented version timeWorking meeting in Bled

15. Problem : High SMS communication traffic National Technical University of Athens OBT to OBT communication SMS management through timetable information (timetable- mode) Linking of track and trace information coming from many OBTs from the same train

16. F-MAN: Developed elements Operational Managers and other authorised actors Tracking system module Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) calculations wagon offers & wagon requirements wagon track and trace information Operational Managers, Infrastructure managers & Station managers Asset Management module Decision Support System Technical and operational availability per wagon type Internet link Wagon Maintenance Managers Fleet Managers asking for wagons Wagon Leasing Companies Fleet Managers offering wagons to the pool Data processing module

17. ETA Functionality / ETA Indicators Most common value = average value R Probability e1e1 Arrival time 1.The average value2.The most frequent value Arrival time R Probability e2e2 R/2 Most common value Average value e2e2 e1e1 Probability Arrival time E3E3 3.The 100%, 99%, 90% indicators 100% e8e8 e 10 90% 10% e9e9 99% 95% e 11 F 11 F 10 3 hours H= 4 hours ETA provided based on 90% indicator= = 3 hours with 10% non-shown probability Probability required by Mr. Bean 1% 9% Order 1 (delayed) Time margin between consecutive orders using the same wagon Order 2 H=4 hours Tim

18. Cumulative distribution method (Proposed ETA Method) Probability of Non-shown= 100-P Cumulative probability (%) 0% 100% P Hours H Time Order 1 (delayed) Time margin between consecutive orders using the same wagon Order 2 H=4 hours 22/5/2003 Actual position at +8:00 H 2 =3.6 h H 1 =2.2 h Cumulative probability that the wagon will arrive at the destination terminal at the required time 83% 17% Probability of non-shown for Fleet Manager B 42 % Probability of non-shown for Fleet Manager A 58% A C D +2:00 +8:00 +16:00 +36:00 E +22:00 (Xa, Ya) (Xb, Yb) (Xc, Yc) (Xd, Yd) (Xe, Ye) (Xact,Yact) 450km B Cumulative probability for station B Time Fleet Manager A requires his wagon within 2,2 hours. Order 1 (delayed) H 1 = 2,2 hours Order 2 Fleet Manager B requires his wagon within 3,6 hours Order 1 (delayed) H 2 = 3,6 hours Time Order 2

19. F-MAN Architecture: Current Scheme SERVER EDC HUB e-mail (SMPT) DPM AMM DB TCP Mobile operation SMS OBT www Internet http IVU web site http://rentals2.ivu.de:8000/fman-amm ; NTUA web site http://localhost:8000/fman/index.jsp

20. F-MAN Architecture: Three tier architecture AMM DPM WEB Tier (Presentation Logic) Business Tier (Business Logic) Data Tier

21. F-MAN Architecture -DPM

22. F-MAN Architecture- AMM

23. Management aspects need enhancement So far, so good………….. Many ideas 2% patents 5% products Conclusions and future work ETA methodology should be proved