1. Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950-1990 ACLP: Alvarez, Cheibub, Limongi & Przeworski Presentation by: Comparative Politics Margarita Lakova Prof. Marco Giuliani EPS 2013

2. The following two questions were examined by looking at the experiences of 135 countries between 1950-1990: 1. Is economic development conductive to political democracy? 2. Does democracy foster or hinder material welfare?

3. Classification of democracies and dictatorships “Democracy is a system in which incumbents lose elections and leave office when the rules so dictate” Contestation is key: Ex-ante uncertainty: anyone can win Ex-post irreversibility: losers don’t try to change the results Repeatability

4. Types of Democracy: Presidential  Construct: government "serves at the pleasure of the president"  Operationalization: the president can dismiss the government (implicit) Parliamentary  Construct: government serves at pleasure of legislature  Operationalization: the legislature "can dismiss the government“ Mixed  Construct: government answers to both legislature and president  Operationalization: everything else, presumably.

5. Dictatorship Basically anything that isn’t a democracy. Might be “mobilizing” or “exclusionary” Mobilizing  Construct: It organizes "permanent political participation" with a party and "elections"  Operationalization: Had at least one political party Exclusionary  Construct: Doesn't organize participation  Operationalization: No parties. Whether it has "elections" doesn't matter.

6. Types of Dictatorship: Bureaucratic  Construct: Governs according to published, codified laws  Operationalization: has a legislature Autocratic  Construct: A "sultanistic" (Linz) regime, with "neither rules of operation nor publicly announced universalistic intentions."  Operationalization: no legislature

7. Criticism: The following are not part of the democracy / dictatorship definitions: Social/economic equality “Accountability”, “responsibility”, ”responsiveness” Freedom, liberty Military's role They need to consider variations in dictatorships rather than putting them into a single category.

8. The ACLP Data Set Covers 135 countries For an “entry” year is considered:  1950  the year of independence  the first year for which data on economic growth is available For an “exit” year is considered:  1990  the last year for which data on economic growth is available *Azerbaijan is replaced by USSR **Germany is replace by West Germany and East Germany

9. ACLP Codebook Our countries of interest Name of CountryCode Venezuela 77 Bulgaria 103 West Germany 108 East Germany 109 Greece 110 Hungary 111 Italy 114 USSR 127

10. Some Regime Variables REG: Dummy variable coded:  1 for dictatorships  0 for democracies Transition years are coded as the regime that emerges in that year. AGER: Age in years of the current regime as classified by REG. The year in which the regime comes into existence is coded as 1.

11. Name of Country CodeREGAGER Venezuela 77 13 Bulgaria 103 117 West Germany 108 0 2 East Germany 109 -- Greece 110 02 Hungary 111 133 Italy 114 05 USSR 127 181 Value of AGER in 1950:

12. Regime Variables LAWS and AUT LAWS: Classification of political regimes in which dictatorships are distinguished by the existence of a legislature (elected or appointed). Coded:  0 if democracy;  1 if bureaucracy (dictatorships with a legislature);  2 if autocracy (dictatorships without a legislature). Transition years are coded as the regime that emerges in that year. AUT: Identical to LAWS, except that coding was adjusted for transitional regimes.

13. Adjustments for Transitional Dictatorships in AUT There are four potentially problematic sequences (B=bureaucracy, A = autocracy and D =democracy) when we code the variable LAWS: (1) B/AB or D/AB, where / stands for the occurrence of a coup (or a change in administration). This may indicate a transitional autocracy, that is, a regime that is reorganizing after the breakdown. (2) A/BD or B/AD. These sequences pose a problem because they may indicate a liberalizing bureaucracy or autocracy, that is, a regime that is in the process of becoming democratic.

14. From our countries of interest only Greece falls in the cases recorded in AUT A = Autocracy; B = Bureaucracy Name of the countryCodeYear(s)FromTo Number of years Greece771973AB1

15. All Regime variables  REG INST: Classification of political regimes in which democracies are distinguished by the type of executive.  0 if dictatorship  1 if parliamentary democracy  2 if mixed democracy  3 if presidential democracy INST2: Identical to INST, except for the cases that resulted in a transition from above (by the incumbent). DIVIDED: Classification of political regimes in which dictatorships are distinguished by the number of formal powers. Coded:  0 if democracy  1 if dictatorship with a legislature or at least one political party  2 if dictatorship with executive only

16. MOBILIZE: Classification of political regimes in which dictatorships are distinguished by the presence of political parties. Coded:  0 if democracy  1 if mobilizing dictatorship (with parties)  2 if exclusionary dictatorship (without parties) AUT LAWS The following table is a composed of our countries of interest in the last year available according to all the above stated regime variable:

17. COUNTRYYEARREGINSTINST2DIVIDEDMOBILIZEAUTLAWS 77 (Venezuela) 19900330000 103 ( Bulgaria ) 19900110000 108 ( W.Germany) 19900110000 109 (E.Germany) 19881001111 110 ( Greece) 19900110000 111 (Hungary) 19900110000 114 (Italy) 19900110000 127 (USSR) 19891001111

18. Conclusions 1. The two regimes that are classified as autocracies (East Germany and USSR) have the same value according to all the variables. 2. The same applies to the regimes listed as democracies with the exception of Venezuela, which differs only in the INST variable that puts the country in the group of countries with presidential democracy. Nevertheless, all the other variables test the same.

19. Thank you for your attention!