June 2006 AUTOSTRADA TORINO – MILANO GROUP SOCIETA INIZIATIVE AUTOSTRADALI E SERVIZI GROUP GAVIO GROUP
2 AGENDA REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
3 REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
34,59% AUTOCISA 84,36% 5,56% 60,77% 85,92% 56% 87,39% 96,17% GROUP STRUCTURE 4 36,98% 41,17% 99,87% 67,63% 20,0%70% 36,5% 95% 100% 12,59% ABC Costruzioni Società Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A. 65% 45% (*) (*) Through ASA
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE Holding companies 5 ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP 5,53% FREE FLOAT36,13% GAVIO GROUP53,04% ADELPHI CAPITAL LLP 2,13% TREASURY STOCKS ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP FREE FLOAT GAVIO GROUP50,85% 38,08% 4,95% 0,11% 4,00% FONDAZIONE CR-TO 2,01% LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC. 3,17% JP MORGAN CHASE & CO. CORPORATION
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE Main motorway companies AUTOCISA % PUBLIC AUTHORITIES GROUP MUNICIPALITIES OTHER PROVINCES REGIONS ANASOTHERTOTAL 6 99, , SUBSIDIARIES Società Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A.
Km. 154,9113,2182,090,0 SALTADFCISAASTI-CUNEO TOTAL 540,1 (1 ) (2 ) Inclusive of 81 km stretch linking Parma to the Autostrada del Brennero (under construction) Under construction Autostrada dei Fiori S.p.A. Autostrada Ligure Toscana S.p.A. Autocamionale della Cisa S.p.A. Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A. SUBSIDIARIES SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS Milano Serravalle – Milano Tangenziali S.p.A. Società Autostrada Tirrenica S.p.A. 7 (1) NETWORK MANAGED (2) EQUITY INVESTMENTS Costanera Norte S.A. (through ASA) - Chile
8 Km. 127,0167,7163,759,594,0SATAP - Torino-Milano stretch - Torino-Milano stretch - Torino-Piacenza stretch - Torino-Piacenza stretchATIVASAVSITAF TOTAL 611,9 Società Italiana Traforo Autostradale del Frejus p. A. Società Italiana Traforo del Gr.S.Bernardo S.p.A. Road Link (A69) Holding Ltd (UK) EQUITY INVESTMENTS Autostrada Torino-Alessandria-Piacenza S.p.A Autostrade Valdostane S.p.A. Autostrada Torino-Ivrea-Valle dAosta S.p.A. SUBSIDIARIES SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS Milano Serravalle – Milano Tangenziali S.p.A. NETWORK MANAGED
SAVONA VENTIMIGLIA M. BIANCO IVREA TORINO VOLTRI SESTRI L. PARMA LA SPEZIA VIAREGGIO PISA LUCCA LIVORNO ASTI CUNEO AOSTA S. BERNARDOMILANO FREJUS PIACENZA ROSIGNANO M. ALESSANDRIA TOTAL (a) + (b) (1) (2) Inclusive of 81 km stretch linking Parma to the Autostrada del Brennero (under construction) Under construction Società Italiana Traforo Autostradale del Frejus p. A. Società Italiana Traforo del Gr.S.Bernardo S.p.A. Road Link (A69) Holding Ltd (UK) Costanera Norte S.A. (through ASA) - Chile EQUITY INVESTMENTS Autostrada Torino-Alessandria-Piacenza S.p.A Autostrade Valdostane S.p.A. Autostrada Torino-Ivrea-Valle dAosta S.p.A. SUBSIDIARIES SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS Milano Serravalle – Milano Tangenziali S.p.A. Autostrada dei Fiori S.p.A. Autostrada Ligure Toscana S.p.A. Autocamionale della Cisa S.p.A. Società Autostrada Tirrenica S.p.A. 9 Km. 127,0167,7163,759,594,0SATAP - Torino-Milano stretch - Torino-Milano stretch - Torino-Piacenza stretch - Torino-Piacenza stretchATIVASAVSITAF TOTAL (b) 611,9 154,9113,2182,090,0SALTADFCISAASTI-CUNEO TOTAL (a) 540,1 NETWORK MANAGED (1) (2)
GROUP MOTORWAY CONCESSIONS 10 SATAP (A 4 stretch) SATAP (A 21 stretch) ATIVA SAV SITAF SITRASB ROAD LINK HOLDING Ltd. (UK) Concession expiry ASTM Group Subsidiaries
GROUP MOTORWAY CONCESSIONS 11 (1)The BoD of ANAS, on 20 February 2006, approved an extension to 2044 SALT ADF CISA ASTI CUNEO COSTANERA NORTE (Chile) Concession expiry SIAS Group Subsidiaries (1)
12 REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
REVENUES: Q Q ASTM 2006 & Q1 RESULTS - (IAS/IFRS) - REVENUES FROM ENGINEERING SECTOR TOTAL REVENUES CAPITALIZATION OF INTERNAL CONSTRUCTION COSTS (83) (77) (Eu mn) 13 NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Including the NPV of the Central Guarantee Fund debt) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Including the NPV of the Central Guarantee Fund debt) (1) (2) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 31 Eu mn As at 31/12/ REVENUES FROM CONSTRUCTION SECTOR - OTHER REVENUES - TOLL REVENUES OPERATING COSTS (2) EBITDA
14 ASTM – Q EBITDA BY SECTOR 6% 5% ENGINEERING & PLANNING SECTOR MAINTENANCE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 89% MOTORWAY SECTOR (1) ATIVA is consolidated on a proportionate basis (41%) 11% 36% 28% 14% (1) A21 STRETCH A4 STRETCH
(1) 0 0,4 0,8 1,2 2, ASTM - NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS & LEVERAGE DEBT / EQUITY (x) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn) 31/12/2002 Pro forma 31/12/ /12/ /12/2005 (1) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 58 Eu mn ,63 0,68 0,57 DEBT / EBITDA (x) 2,36 2,34 2,15 2,41
CAGR + 4,3% CAGR + 13% CAGR + 67,3% ASTM - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD) Toll Revenues E.B.I.T.D.A Operating Cash - Flow (Eu mn)
CAGR + 60% CAGR + 30,8% Net Profit Group Dividends Paid ASTM GROUP RESULTS (CONTD) 17 (Eu mn)
REVENUES: Q Q SIAS 2006 & Q1 RESULTS - (IAS/IFRS) EBITDA - REVENUES FROM CONSTRUCTION SECTOR TOTAL REVENUES CAPITALIZATION OF INTERNAL CONSTRUCTION COSTS (61) (56) (Eu mn) 18 (1) (2) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 43 Eu mn As at 31/12/ REVENUES FROM TECHNICAL SECTOR - OTHER REVENUES - TOLL REVENUES OPERATING COSTS (2) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Including the NPV of the Central Guarantee Fund debt) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Including the NPV of the Central Guarantee Fund debt)
19 MAINTENANCE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 92% MOTORWAY SECTOR SIAS – Q EBITDA BY SECTOR AUTOCISA 18% 42% 32% 3% 5% TECHNOLOGICAL SECTOR
NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn) DEBT / EQUITY (x) 0 0,4 0,8 1,2 1, SIAS - NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS & LEVERAGE (1) Loans guaranteed by the Government 56 Eu mn 31/12/ /12/ /12/ /12/ ,66 0,37 0,20 0, DEBT / EBITDA (x) 0,75 1,14 1,16 1,21 (1)
ISSUE SIZE: 335 Eu millions (N° 31,9 millions bonds) SIAS - BOND INTEREST: 2,625% CONVERSION RIGHT: 21 PAR VALUE: 10,50 Eu DURATION: 12 yrs (2005 – 2017) FROM THE END OF THE 5 TH YEAR 1:1 AT PAR BONDS HELD BY THE GAVIO GROUP: N° 20,3 millions (64%)
CAGR + 3,7% CAGR + 16,9% CAGR + 21,9% SIAS - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD) Toll Revenues E.B.I.T.D.A Operating Cash - Flow (Eu mn)
CAGR + 51,4% CAGR + 73,2% Net Profit Group Dividends Paid SIAS - GROUP RESULTS (CONTD) 23 (Eu mn)
24 REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
25 ASTM GROUP - ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE (1) ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE 2,44 PRODUCTIVITY -0,89 -0,90 (1) Calculated as a weighted average on 2005 toll revenues (2) X factor was granted to SAV to cover both the previous and new investiments (3) X factor related to the new investments would apply from January 1, 2007 (2) X factor was granted to SAV to cover both the previous and new investiments (3) X factor related to the new investments would apply from January 1, 2007 NEW INVESTMENTS QUALITY FACTOR 0, FORECASTED INFLATION RATE 2006 FORECASTED INFLATION RATE 1,60 (%) SAV INVESTMENTS (2) 1, (3) 0,33 1,70 2,56
26 SIAS GROUP - ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE (1) ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE 1,36 PRODUCTIVITY -0,89 -0,90 (1) Calculated as a weighted average on 2005 toll revenues (2) X factor related to the new investments would apply from January 1,2007 (1) Calculated as a weighted average on 2005 toll revenues (2) X factor related to the new investments would apply from January 1,2007 NEW INVESTMENTS FORECASTED INFLATION RATE 1, (%) QUALITY FACTOR0,65 0,78 1,58 1,70 - (2)
27 ASTM GROUP - INVESTMENT PLAN ATIVA (1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements (2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession agreement (1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements (2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession agreement SAV 50 Investments Plan (1) Terminal value (2) SATAP: A4 Stretch A21 Stretch (Eu mn) Status of the Plan Approved by ANAS To be approved by ANAS
28 SIAS GROUP - INVESTMENT PLAN CISA ASTI-CUNEO 800 Investments Plan (1) ADF (Eu mn) Status of the Plan Approved by ANAS SALT Terminal value (2) (1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements (2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession agreement (1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements (2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession agreement
29 REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
STRATEGY: WHAT WE HAVE DONE POSITIVE TRACK RECORD OF MANAGEMENT IN IMPLEMENTING ITS STRATEGY OVER THE PAST SEVEN YEARS, THE GROUP: became the second biggest motorway player in Italy expanded the network from 127 km to km strengthened the Group network in the highly industrialised north of Italy bidden - successfully - for new concessions abroad (i.e. Costanera-Chile) 30
STRATEGY: WHAT WE FORESEE MOTORWAY SECTOR 31 CARRY OUT THE PARMA – BRENNERO MOTORWAY PROJECT & ASTI-CUNEO BID FOR THE BRONI-PAVIA-MORTARA STRETCH REDUCE MINORITIES THROUGH ACQUISITIONS (MAINLY FROM LOCAL PUBLIC AUTHORITIES) CONCLUDE THE RENEGOTIATION OF THE NEW FINANCIAL PLANS
STRATEGY: WHAT WE FORESEE OTHER SECTORS 32 DEVELOP ENGINEERING & PLANNING ACTIVITIES (i.e. "HIGH SPEED TRAIN" PROJECT) WIDEN TELECOM SERVICES (BY USING THE approx KM FIBRE-OPTIC MODERN BACKBONE AND TRANSMITTERS FOR MOBILE TELEPHONE OPERATORS)...WITHOUT FORGETTING POTENTIAL FROM DIVERSIFICATION IN OTHER "SIDE" BUSINESS AREAS (i.e. LOGISTICS, HARBOURS)
VALUE DRIVERS: TRAFFIC GROWTH TOTAL TRAFFIC ON MOTORWAYS % -0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% TRAFFIC TREND HISTORICALLY OUTPERFORMED GDP GROWTH EVEN IN RECESSION YEARS GDP 2006
VALUE DRIVERS: AUTOMATED TOLL PAYMENT SYSTEMS 34 CURRENT SITUATION 8% CREDIT CARDS 2% FAST PAY 30% CASH 60% AUTOMATED TOLL PAYMENTS VIACARDS & TELEPASS 70% ENVISAGED SITUATION ( within 4 yrs ) 15-20% CASH AUTOMATED TOLL PAYMENTS 80-85%
35 ROYALTIES FROM PETROL STATIONS & RESTAURANTS OTHER ROYALTIES (TELECOMS, ADVERTISING, … ) VALUE DRIVERS: SUB - CONCESSION AGREEMENTS (Eu mn) 19, ,0 6, ,0 7, (forecast) 33,0 EBITDA increases without additional costs
36 REGULATION GROUP STRUCTURE FINANCIAL RESULTS GROWTH STRATEGY & VALUE DRIVERS CONCLUSION
37 Long term view of the business, dedicated management No competition from other transportation systems Growing opportunities arising from the new stretches Substainable profitability growth rates Conservative financial profile and balanced growth strategy (also abroad) Value creation through lasting, experienced motorway know-how and operating efficiency
38