NCAM Ken Hespe, Manager, Outreach & External Affairs National Consortium for Aviation Mobility, Hampton, Virginia 30TH ANNUAL AVIATION FORECAST CONFERENCE.

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Presentation transcript:

NCAM Ken Hespe, Manager, Outreach & External Affairs National Consortium for Aviation Mobility, Hampton, Virginia 30TH ANNUAL AVIATION FORECAST CONFERENCE - - March

NCAM Why an Industry Consortium?

NCAM The Small Aircraft Transportation System concept is a safe, affordable travel alternative that will provide new mobility and create equitable access to more communities in less time for the general public. An augmentation to “hub and spoke” and a key to the “Next Transportation System... ”

NCAM “Transportation is critical to our nation’s economy and our quality of life…but today we are straining its capacity limits, producing delays and congestion…” Need for Transformation

NCAM  Higher-Volume Operations in Non-Radar Airspace at Non-Towered Facilities:  Higher-Volume Operations in Non-Radar Airspace at Non-Towered Facilities: Reliable Access to More Destinations through Efficient Use of Underutilized Airspace  Lower Landing Minimums at Minimally-Equipped Landing Facilities:  Lower Landing Minimums at Minimally-Equipped Landing Facilities: More Landing Facilities Available More Often At Less Cost  Increase Single-Pilot Crew Safety & Mission Reliability:  Increase Single-Pilot Crew Safety & Mission Reliability: Safer Small Aircraft Operations, Greater Throughput in Underutilized Airspace  Enroute Procedures & Systems for Integrated Fleet Operations:  Enroute Procedures & Systems for Integrated Fleet Operations: Increased Mobility Without Sacrificing Capacity SATS is a research & development project on Aviation capabilities leading to integrated flight demonstrations in 2005 Resources over 5 years: $69 million NASA 50/50 Cost Share (NASA & NCAM) NASA/FAA/NCAM FY What is SATS?

NCAM Higher Volume Operations

NCAM And others….  Booming Business Aircraft Market ► Dramatic growth in fractional ownership ► New class of Very Light Jets/Prop aircraft ► Designed to access small airports ► On-demand services emerging in market Eclipse Adam Aircraft Cessna Mustang Market Pull for Increased Mobility Toyota

NCAM What is SATS TSAA?  Uses accepted transportation analysis methods  Socio-economic based (county level detail)  Demand and supply relationships  Multi-mode in scope  Aerospace technology sensitive  Can be applied to other NASA and FAA projects  Two presentation schemes: ► Computer platform independent (Matlab version) ► Platform dependent (Stand-alone model with GUI & integrated DLLs)  Employs Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology ► Map Objects ► VB interface Transportation Systems Analysis Assessment Model

NCAM Analysis of Trip Demand for Low Cost Air Taxi System 2010 On-Demand Forecast 13.4B Transported Passenger Miles 8.3K Additional Business Jets 2022 On-Demand Forecast 22.0B Transported Passenger Miles 13.5K Additional Business Jets 2010 Aircraft Production Constraints 8.2B Transported Passenger Miles 5K Existing Low-Cost Jets Cessna Mustang EclipseEclipse Adam Aircraft DiamondDiamond Honda AvocetAvocet ToyotaToyota 2022 Potential Demand Could generate additional 41K Flts 50% Increase in IFR flts

NCAM Single Pilot Performance

NCAM EquitableOn-Demand Widely Distributed Point-to-Any Point 21st Century Air Mobility From Wheels To Wings on America Future Transportation Safe - - Efficient - - Fast

NCAM

Site Plan 450’ X 450’

NCAM Arrival at Airport

NCAM Inside Main Tent

NCAM NCAM Village

NCAM Thank You for Flying the Friendly Skies of NCAM

NCAM VLJ Air Taxi Demand Forecast  In 2010 the potential annual demand is 16.6 million person round trips requiring approximately 8,300 aircraft  Current certification and production plans indicate a maximum of 5,000 VLJ’s available by 2010  5,000 VLJ air taxis could generate approximately 16,000 additional flight per day - a 27% increase in IFR flights  In 2022 the potential demand grows to 27 million person round trips requiring approximately 13,500 aircraft  13,500 VLJ air taxis could generate approximately 41,000 flights per day – a 50% percent increase in IFR flights TSAA National Market Demand Studies Indicate