World Forum on Energy Regulation IV Athens, Greece October , 2009 Security and Reliability of Supply Through Competitive Energy Markets Mr. Didier HOUSSIN, Director, Energy Markets and Security International Energy Agency

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 Gas and electricity in OECD countries Incremental OECD gas demand compared to previous year Electricity generation in OECD countries has declined by 5.2% over the first 6 months compared to the same period last year Gas demand has declined by 6.5% (53 bcm) during the same period. Incremental OECD Electricity production compared to previous year Source: IEA, Monthly Electricity StatisticsSource: IEA, Monthly Gas Data Service

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 Investing in a World of Uncertainties Uncertainties about future energy demand, electricity technologies and gas import requirements Uncertainties about the development of upstream resources in the world Regulatory uncertainties Financial uncertainties

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 New Gas Infrastructure Targeting Europe Source: IEA, NGMR 09

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 Achieving Comprehensive Energy Security Well-functioning, flexible markets are the best way to assure security of supply Countries should review its gas market and gas security policies and improve individual emergency preparedness IEA could contribute –By monitoring progress in gas market and gas security policy, –Developing crisis scenarios and conduct emergency response exercises and reviews, –Encouraging collective approaches

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 The Path to a Low Carbon World World primary energy demand by fuel and scenario in 2030 Source: Early excerpt of WEO 2009 for Bangkok UNFCCC meeting

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 Key Messages Deep emission cuts are technically achievable but an ‘energy revolution’ is needed –Developing Countries must be part of the solution –Barriers: public opposition; financing needs; slow capital stock turnover; timeliness of technology development For energy security and climate change mitigation –Must invest in low carbon technologies: energy efficiency, renewables, CCS and nuclear must all be embraced The economic & financial crisis has sharply reduced investment all the way down the energy supply chain, from production to end use –This will have far-reaching effects on energy security, climate change and energy poverty –The current crisis is an opportunity to place a Clean Energy New Deal at the heart of economic stimulus packages everywhere

Didier Houssin - World Forum on Energy Regulation IV - Athens, Greece - October 18-21, 2009 Thank you for your attention