1 “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” FY16 Production Suite Plans Rebecca Cosgrove Chief, Production Management Branch, NCO August.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Sustaining National Meteorological Services Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, National Weather Service Riverdale, MD June 18, 2013.

Advertisements

1 NCEP Operational Regional Hurricane Modeling Strategy for 2014 and beyond Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NOAA/NWS, NCWCP, College Park, MD National.

Weather-Climate Linkage Dave Novak (WPC) & Jon Gottschalck (CPC) January 21,

Integrated Regional Modeling Geoff DiMego EMC Stan Benjamin GSD Steve Weiss & Israel Jirak SPC Dave Novak & Wallace Hogsett WPC David Bright AWC, Joe Sienkiewicz.

NEMS/GFS Overview Mark Iredell, Software Team Lead.

Regional Ensembles Into 2020: A Possible Vision Geoff DiMego December 3, “Where America’s Climate, Weather, Ocean.

“Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” NCEP CONDUIT UPDATE Brent A Gordon NCEP Central Operations January 31, 2006.

MDL Accomplishments and Plans: MOS, LAMP, EKDMOS, Storm Surge, AutoNowCaster, VLab NCEP Production Suite Review December 4, 2013.

1 Mike Ek, for Hendrik L. Tolman Acting Director, Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS Geoff DiMego, John Derber, Yuejian Zhu, Vijay Tallapragada, Shrinivas.

The Next-Generation NCEP Production Suite EMC Senior Staff NCEP Production Suite Weather, Ocean, Land & Climate Forecast Systems.

Tolman, December 1, 2014The NPS- looking forward, 1/10 The NCEP Production Suite Looking forward Hendrik L. Tolman Director, Environmental Modeling Center.

Presented by: Mark Iredell based on work done by Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch 2014 NCEP Production Suite Review GLOBAL MODELING 1.

Review of the NCEP production Suite: Recent Changes and Plans

Exploitation of Ensemble Output (and other operationally cool stuff) at NCEP HPC Peter C. Manousos NCEP HPC Science & Operations Officer

CPC’s U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook & Future Plans April 20, 2010 Brad Pugh, CPC.

NCEP Site Update WG-CSAB – Spring 2010 Allan Darling Deputy Director, NCEP Central Operations April 7-8, 2010.

NCEP Operational Wave Guidance during Hurricane Sandy October 2012.

UMAC data callpage 1 of 28Operational wave modeling suite EMC Operational Models NCEP WAVE MODELING SUITES Arun Chawla and Jose-Henrique Alves NCEP Wave.

NOAA operational ocean modeling A joint NWS – NOS – IOOS enterprise Ming Ji NOAA/NCEP/OPC Frank Aikman IIINOAA/NOS/CSDL Hendrik L. TolmanNOAA/NCEP/EMC.

NCEP Overview “Where America’s Climate, Weather, Ocean and Space Weather Services Begin” Dr. Louis W. Uccellini National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

1 NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Plan Stephen Lord Ants Leetmaa November 2004.

National Weather Service NWS Strategic Outcome: A Weather-Ready Nation Becoming a Weather-Ready Nation is about building community resiliency in the face.

2012 AAG Annual Meeting Panel Session “Where America’s Climate, Weather, Ocean and Space Weather Services Begin” Working at the Intersection of Geography.

NOAA’s Advances in Storm Surge Modeling & Prediction “Weather-Ready Nation: Saving Lives and Livelihoods” Jason P. Tuell, Ph.D National Weather Service.

Update on Storm Surge at NCEP Dr. Rick Knabb, Director, National Hurricane Center and representing numerous partners 21 January 2014.

NW NCNE SCSESW Rootzone: TOTAL PERCENTILEANOMALY Noah VEGETATION TYPE 2-meter Column Soil Moisture GR2/OSU LIS/Noah 01 May Climatology.

1 NCEP Production Suite Review: “Land Surface Guidance Systems” EMC Land-Hydrology Team: Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Rongqian Yang, Helin Wei, Youlong Xia,

NCEP Production Suite Review: Land-Hydrology at NCEP

1 Global Model Development Priorities Presented By: Hendrik Tolman & Vijay Tallapragada (NWS/NCEP) Contributors: GCWMB (EMC), NGGPS (NWS)

Chawla et al., Dec NCEP production suite review, 1/18 Review of the NCEP production Suite: Recent Changes and Plans Marine Modeling and Analysis.

Rebecca Cosgrove NCEP/NCO/Production Management Branch March 26, 2015

Ensemble Forecasting and You The very basics Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College PA

UMAC data callpage 1 of 16Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) EMC Operational Models Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) André van der Westhuysen.

NCEP Production Suite Review: “Land Surface Guidance Systems” EMC Land-Hydrology Team: Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Rongqian Yang, Helin Wei, Youlong Xia,

Office of Coast Survey Improving NOAA’s Capacity to Address Coastal Inundation Events Jesse C. Feyen, Ph.D. Storm Surge Roadmap Portfolio Manager Acting.

National Centers for Environmental Prediction “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” Spring COPC Meeting Louis W. Uccellini.

Building the Future of the NWS: NCEP Product Suite Review Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, National Weather Service College Park, Maryland NOAA Assistant.

The Road Not Taken Jim Yoe, JCSDA Chief Administrative Officer JCSDA Summer Colloquium Santa Fe, NM 1.

Tolman, May 13, 2015JCSDA NWS overview, 1/11 JCSDA Activities and Plans NWS overview & plans Hendrik L. Tolman Director, Environmental Modeling Center.

NCEP Status Update Joint APSDEU-12/NAEDEX-24 Annual Meeting Michelle Mainelli NOAA/NWS/NCEP Central Operations October 23, 2012.

Model Development at NCEP Brad Ferrier 1,2 1 NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC 2 I.M. Systems Group, Inc. (IMSG) (+ Geoff Manikin 1, Geoff DiMego 1, Eric Aligo 1,2 ) NCAR.

1 Future NCEP Guidance Support for Surface Transportation Stephen Lord Director, NCEP Environmental Modeling Center 26 July 2007.

10 October 2007 Brent Gordon NCEP Central Operations “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” Asia-Pacific Satellite Data Exchange &

Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead Dr. Naomi Surgi NOAA NCEP/EMC March 6, 2007.

1 Proposal for a Climate-Weather Hydromet Test Bed “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin” Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP NAME Forecaster.

National Centers for Environmental Prediction “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” Spring COPC Meeting Louis W. Uccellini.

UCACN Model Advisory Committee: Kickoff Meeting Dr. William M. Lapenta Director, National Centers for Environmental Prediction NOAA/National Weather Service.

1 National Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) Status M. Iredell and EMC Staff.

Update on the Northwest Regional Modeling System 2015 Cliff Mass and David Ovens University of Washington.

National Centers for Environmental Prediction “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP Fall COPC.

1 Agenda Topic: NOAA Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) Infrastructure Presented By: Mark Iredell (NWS/NCEP)

1 Evolution and Priorities for OCONUS and CONUS Guidance Systems including a convection permitting ensemble system Presented By: Geoff DiMego (NCEP/EMC)

1 Examination of Nesting Requirements for CONUS and OCONUS in Presented By: Geoff DiMego (NCEP/EMC) Contributors: Stan Benjamin, Curtis Alexander.

Federal Aviation Administration Aviation Weather Research Program (AWRP) Highlights for FPAW November 19, 2015.

National Centers for Environmental Prediction: “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” An Overview.

Future Role of NCEP in Advancing Environmental Prediction and Decision Support 2010 MIC-HIC Conference Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director National Centers.

2015 Production Suite Review: Report from NHC 2015 Production Suite Review: Report from NHC Eric S. Blake, Richard J. Pasch, Andrew Penny NCEP Production.

The Unidata-NCEP Partnership: Transferring Model Output and Software to the University Community Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director National Centers for Environmental.

Evolving the NCEP Production Suite Dr. William M. Lapenta Director, National Centers for Environmental Prediction NOAA/National Weather Service NCEP Production.

MDL Requirements for RUA Judy Ghirardelli, David Myrick, and Bruce Veenhuis Contributions from: David Ruth and Matt Peroutka 1.

1 NCEP’s Climate Forecast System as a National Model “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” 32 nd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction.

Meteorological Development Lab (MDL) FY15-16 Overview + Future (Direction and Challenges) Dr. Mike Farrar Director, Meteorological Development Lab (MDL)

1 National Centers for Environmental Prediction: Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP January 28, 2004.

Central Operations Ben Kyger Acting Director / NCEP CIO.

Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch Ocean Waves.

M. Ek / 21WGNE-31, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa, April 2016M. Ek / 21WGNE-31, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa,

M. Ek / 16WGNE-31, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa, April 2016M. Ek / 16WGNE-31, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa,

Extra-Tropical Storm Surge (ETSS 2.0) Pre-Implementation Briefing College Park, MD May 14, 2015 Arthur Taylor, Huiqing Liu and Ryan Schuster MDL/NWS/NOAA.

2nd Annual Technical and Strategic Review of the NCEP Production Suite (NPS) 9-11 August 2016, NOAA Science Center, Silver Spring, MD Project Charter Template.

Rebecca Cosgrove NCEP/NCO/Production Management Branch April 11, 2011

Presentation transcript:

1 “Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin” FY16 Production Suite Plans Rebecca Cosgrove Chief, Production Management Branch, NCO August 4, 2015

WCOSS and the NCEP Production Suite Planning Process:  Quad charts with model upgrade scope, schedule and issues/risks for the next 12 months presented to the NCEP Director and other Senior Management quarterly  Developers submit estimated compute requirements for upgrades and they are mapped into holistic NCEP Production Suite view WCOSS System Details:  Phase 1 IBM iDataPlex System:  620 compute nodes  Phase 2 IBM iDataPlex System:  1080 compute nodes  Task Order 4 Cray System:  2048 compute nodes 2

High Water Mark Charts (HWM)  Total system utilization by model over the day  Each set of nodes (P1,P2,TO4) has a unique HWM chart because resources are not interchangeable  Operational NCEP Production Suite comes up from the bottom, test jobs drop down from the top  Limitations:  Can only assign shared node usage to one application, resulting in some underreporting 3

4 Production Machine HRRR GEFS Phase 2 Phase 1 HIRESW HWRF (6 storms) SREF CFS RTOFS HWRF (5 storms)

ECMWF-based Model Output Statistics (MOS) High-Resolution Window (HIRESW) Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF) Global Ensemble Forecast System(GEFS) NHC Guidance Suite Real-Time Ocean Forecast System (RTOFS) Global CPC International Grids AWC Graphical Turbulence Guidance Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model Extra-Tropical Storm Surge (ETSS) Climate Forecast System (CFS) GFS-based MOS (Sandy project) and NAM-based MOS Gridded Lamp Global Wave Model Near-shore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) RTOFS Atlantic FY15 Q4 Implementations Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2015 Quarter 4 GEFS Legacy GEFS SREF HWRF HIRESW RTOFS NWPS has stripe of 4 nodes Phase 2 Phase 1

Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) Geospace Model North American Mesoscale (NAM) Forecast System Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) National Blend Rapid Refresh Model (RAP) National Ocean Service (NOS) Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Global Wave Ensemble (GWES) NEMS GFS Aerosol Component (NGAC) NCEP-FNMOC Combined Wave Ensemble (NFCENS) North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) Climate Calibrated Precipitation Analysis (CCPA) FY16 Q1 Implementations Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 1 GEFS Legacy CFS Wave Ensemble SREF GFS NAM HWRF NAMRR HRRR GDAS GEFS GEFS LEG HIRES NWPS has stripe of 4 nodes Geospace has stripe of 6 nodes Phase 2 Phase 1

9 Global Forecast System (GFS)** GFS-based MOS** Probabilistic Extra-tropical Storm Surge (P-ETSS) and Extra-tropical Storm Surge (ETSS) Great Lakes Wave (GLW) Great Lakes Operational Forecast System (GLOFS) North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) NAM-based MOS RTOFS Global FY16 Q2 Implementations Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project **Moved from previous quarter

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 2 CFS Task Order 4 Phase 2 Phase 1

11 Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological Modeling Extension (WRF-Hydro) Probabilistic Storm Surge (PSURGE) Hurricane Storm Surge Operational Forecast System (HSSOFS) Gridded LAMP NAEFS Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) FY16 Q3 Implementations *Initial list Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 3 CFS HWRF WRF-HYDRO HSSOFS PSURGE Task Order 4 Phase 2 Phase 1