Recap of Recent CSLI Survey Findings from Fall 2008 Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service Anne Arundel Community College Jan. 15, 2009

Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Most Important Problem

Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Perceptions of Local Economic Conditions

Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Applicability of Specific Conditions CSLI Spring vs. Fall 2008 Survey

Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Confidence in Fed’s Handling of Crisis

Non Economic Local Issues: Right vs. Wrong Direction

SupportOpposeUnsure No answer Total A $500 ambulance fee to help pay for county services? Creating or increasing fees to sports leagues that use public parks to cover the maintenance of those parks? Increasing impact fees on new construction in our county? Increasing the tax on hotel stays from 7 percent to 10 percent Efforts by police to identify illegal immigrants and refer them to federal immigration services? Environmental measures meant to restrict development in critical areas? Decreasing the drinking age to Other Local Issues…

State Issues – Wind Turbines “Do you think that the STATE government should make it easier to install wind turbines to generate energy, even in scenic places like across the river from Annapolis where the old radio antennas are located or in state parks in Western Maryland?”

State Issues - Legalize Slots 2008 – by County slots by County 68% 59% 50% Maryland/AA County (same) For 59% Against 41% CSLI Fall Poll: For 52%, Against 43%

National Issues: President Bush’s Job Approval in Anne Arundel County vs. USA

Semi-annual Surveys: Sample of Findings Political Horse Race: Estimating Election Results

Harris by County Pushpins Election Recap 2008 Harris Vote by County

Kratovil vs. Obama Vote by County 1st CongressionalKratovilHarrisLibertarianObamaMcCainKratovil+ Anne Arundel46.3%51.2%2.5%48.2%50.0% -2.9% Baltimore County40.7%56.9%2.4%56.8%43.2% -16.1% Caroline51.8%45.1%3.1%37.9%62.1% 13.8% Cecil49.4%47.5%3.1%42.4%57.6% 7.0% Dorchester56.4%40.7%2.9%45.5%54.5% 10.9% Harford40.5%56.7%2.8%40.2%59.8% 0.3% Kent65.5%32.7%1.8%50.0% 15.5% Queen Anne’s54.0%44.2%1.8%36.1%63.9% 17.9% Somerset59.0%39.2%1.8%48.6%51.4% 10.4% Talbot55.0%43.1%1.9%44.6%55.4% 10.4% Wicomico56.0%42.0%2.0%46.8%53.2% 9.2% Worcester53.2%44.8%2.0%42.1%57.9% 11.1% Total49.1%48.5%2.4%45.0%55.0% 4.1%

Electoral Trends – AA County

Electoral Trends: Republican Advantage over Democrats in Presidential Races (AA County only)

Party Registration/Votes – AA County