 Midterm Essay Question  Review of midterm evaluation of teaching feedback  Reading takehomes  Review nuclear weapons survey (extra credit)  Facts.

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Presentation transcript:

 Midterm Essay Question  Review of midterm evaluation of teaching feedback  Reading takehomes  Review nuclear weapons survey (extra credit)  Facts about nuclear weapons  Effects of nuclear weapons  Explaining the Cold War Peace  A nuclear taboo?  Nuclear vs. chemical / biological weapons

Country1997 Strategic 2014 Strategic [undeployed] United States 7,3001,642[2,800] Russia 6,0001,643 [1022] France 482~290 China 410~250 United Kingdom 200~225 Israel 100+? India 60+? Pakistan 15-25? North Korea 06-8 Syria 0??? Iran 0??? 1997: andhttp:// 2014: Strategic Nuclear Weapons: 1997 vs. 2014

Country United States 4,700-11,700~500 Russia 6,000-13,000~2,000 China 120 Tactical Nuclear Weapons: 1997 vs : andhttp:// 2014:

 Decreased likelihood of total war  Increased devastation should war occur  Increased likelihood of regional wars

Go to WarAvoid War // || Non-nuclear (by defn)Status quo // \\ || WinLose || More Power Dead Soldiers Power and Soldiers at Same Level as Before

Go to WarAvoid War // \\ || Non-nuclear (by defn) NuclearStatus quo // \\ // \\ || WinLoseWinLose || More Power Dead Soldiers Dead Soldiers & Civilians Complete Destruction Power and Soldiers at Same Level as Before

What we want to explain Possible explanation #1 Possible explanation #2 Possible explanation #3 Possible explanation #4 Possible explanation #5 PeriodState of World Nuclear weapons Fear of escalation Memory of WWII Postwar status quo contentment Soviet ideology Pre 1945 WarNoLessNoDislike status quo Against war Post 1945 PeaceYesMoreYesLike status quoAgainst war

 Logic of consequences: decisions as cost- benefit calculation from available means  Logic of appropriateness: decisions as "what is right in current situation, given social identity state desires"  Tannenwald: ◦ Bush 1: nuclear weapon use not considered because not “right” thing for Americans to do ◦ There WERE previous nuclear threats

 How do they differ? ◦ Ease of acquisition: availability of components and know-how, known likelihood of success ◦ Ease of use ◦ Magnitude and type of impacts  Why do we consider some worse than others?