U.S. GLOBEC THE VIEW FROM NOAA The Honorable Dr. Larry Robinson Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Conservation & Management National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration | NOAA

Outline Overview of NOAA mission areas and intersections with U.S. GLOBEC research themes Influence of U.S. GLOBEC program Importance of partnerships Thoughts on future ocean science programs 2 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

NOAA Mission Science, Service, and Stewardship. To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts, To share that knowledge and information with others, and To conserve and manage coastal and marine ecosystems and resources. Next Generation Strategic Plan 3 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Climate Impacts Understanding the interactions of climate with marine resources is a challenging scientific field and vital to our national interests. 4 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

NOAA’s Regional Approach NOAA Regional Collaboration Teams NOAA Large Marine Ecosystems NOAA Weather Service Regional Offices 5 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA NOAA Fisheries Service Field Structure

Regional ecosystems: U.S. GLOBEC 6 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA Northwest Atlantic Northeast Pacific Southern Ocean

Northeast Pacific Salmon and PDO Prior to GLOBEC, correlations identified between salmon returns and large-scale features such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation GLOBEC sought to understand mechanisms behind correlations 7 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

EBM and Predictive Modeling Ecosystem-based management demands an understanding of ecosystem interactions and the ability to make complex multidisciplinary science actionable for use by managers. Modeling can provide an integrative framework and lead to forecasts to be used in management 8 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Applications of GLOBEC results to NOAA priorities: Fishery Management Incorporation into deliberations within the regional FMCs on EBM Especially New England, North Pacific and Pacific Predictions of salmon returns based on environmental indices U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA 9

Applications of GLOBEC results to NOAA priorities: Ocean Observations Long-term GLOBEC observations influenced locations of IOOS regional nodes GLOBEC models are available operationally through IOOS regional entities E.g., Northeast Coastal Ocean Forecast System (NECOFS) U.S. GLOBEC data management structure utilized by IOOS and other ocean science programs IOOS Regional Associations NECOFS Model Results 10 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Influence of U.S. GLOBEC on NOAA Research Programs Fisheries and the Environment (FATE) Climate Regimes and Ecosystem Productivity Regional Ecosystem Prediction Program Coastal and Ocean Climate Applications Ecological Forecasting U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA 11

Influence of U.S. GLOBEC on International Programs International GLOBEC ICES Cod and Climate Change PICES Climate Change and Carrying Capacity Cross-Atlantic distribution of Cod Locations of PICES Climate Change and Carrying Capacity regional programs. International GLOBEC countries 12 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Partnerships NSF-NOAA Leveraging dollars and intellectual capacity from different agencies and sectors One-NOAA Bringing all of NOAA’s capabilities together to address challenging issues 13 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Looking to the Future NSF-NOAA Partnerships Ocean Observing Ocean Exploration Ocean Acidification Oceans and Human Health NRC Committee on “Sustainability Linkages in the Federal Government” 14 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Visionary Ocean Science What programs of today will be deemed “visionary” in 20 years? Systems engineering approaches? Merging of natural and social sciences? New technologies? Tight resources should not stop us from supporting visionary, and sometimes risky, approaches because they have the greatest potential to yield large benefits 15 U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA