Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas and North Texas: Population and Infrastructure Plano Chamber of Commerce April 1, 2015 Austin, Texas

Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,060, , ,448,193387, ,956,958451, * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Texas Population Growth Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts

County Population Change, Texas, Total Population by County

Estimated Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

30% of the top 40 fastest growing counties in the United States are in Texas, 2013 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Population Estimates U.S. Rank GeographyPopulation EstimateChange, 2013 to NumberPercent 5 Hays County, Texas176,483185,0258, Fort Bend County, Texas654,561685,34530, Comal County, Texas118,891123,6944, Andrews County, Texas16,80817, Montgomery County, Texas499,818518,94719, Williamson County, Texas471,225489,25018, Kendall County, Texas37,46938,8801, Ward County, Texas11,24511, Denton County, Texas729,152753,36324, Collin County, Texas858,711885,24126, Aransas County, Texas24,29924, Rockwall County, Texas85,29087,8092, Waller, County45,48446,8201, Ector County, Texas149,522153,9044, Counties in bold had growth associated with oil and gas extraction.

More than 1/4 of U.S. counties in the top 40 for numeric growth are in Texas, U.S. Rank GeographyPopulation EstimateChange, 2013 to NumberPercent 1Harris County, Texas4,352,7524,441,370 88, Bexar County, Texas1,822,1541,855,866 33, Dallas County, Texas2,486,0832,518,638 32, Tarrant County, Texas1,913,9431,945,360 31, Fort Bend County, Texas654,561685,345 30, Travis County, Texas1,122,7481,151,145 28, Collin County, Texas858,711885,241 26, Denton County, Texas729,152753,363 24, Montgomery County, Texas499,818518,947 19, Williamson County, Texas471,225489,25018, Hidalgo County818,942831,07312, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Population Estimates

Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2013 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

Net Migration 11 Percent of Population Change from Net Migration Midland Dallas Houston Austin San Antonio Ft. Worth

Number of Annual Immigrants Admitted to the United States, FY

Number of Non-Citizen Immigrants by World Area of Birth in the Top 5 Immigration Receiving States, Source: 5-Year ACS PUMS

Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas from Mexico, India, China, and All Other Countries, Source: 1-Year ACS PUMS

Inflows to Texas from Top 10 Sending States, Top 10 Senders, Numerically Top 10 Senders, Percentage-wise California66,318New Mexico30% Florida32,619Louisiana29% Oklahoma29,169Oklahoma29% Louisiana29,042Arkansas22% Illinois28,900Wyoming17% New Mexico22,695Colorado11% Georgia19,988California11% New York19,935Arizona11% Arizona19,224Kansas10% Colorado18,979 Mississippi10% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State to State Flows 2013; Inflows to Texas

Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth,

29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

21 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

22 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Migration to Collin County,

Inflows to Collin County from Top Sending Regions, 2013 Top 10 Sending Counties, 2013Top 10 Sending States, 2013 Dallas County, TX15,101 California3,140 Denton County, TX5,647 Florida2,223 Asia3,513 Oklahoma1,177 Tarrant County, TX2,190 Louisiana1,061 Harris County, TX857 Illinois1,046 Los Angeles County, CA813 New York706 Grayson County, TX668 Arizona684 Bexar County, TX658 Colorado625 Africa592 Pennsylvania612 Hillsborough County, FL574 Virginia Source: U.S. Census Bureau, County to County Flows, 2013

Percent of the population aged 65 years and older, census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Percent of population aged 25 years and older with high school degree or higher, census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Percent of housing units built in 2005 and later, census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Percent of the population that is foreign born, census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Percent of the population aged 5 years and older who speak a language other than English at home, census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Travel Time to Work Percentage of Workers with Drive Times Longer than 25 Mins

Mean travel time to work (minutes), census tracts, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample

Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario

Texas Population Change by Age Group, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half 2000 to 2010 Migration Scenario

Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample,

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 36 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 37 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Summary Population continues to grow quickly though growth is geographically unequal. Population growth is being driven by Hispanic population. The future Texas labor force will be largely Hispanic. Hispanics tend to have lower levels of educational attainment than other groups. Geographic distribution of industries and occupations is variable. Demographic and infrastructure challenges may have serious implications for future Texas economy. 38

Demographics & Destiny 39

Contact Office: (512) Internet: Lila Valencia, Ph.D. 40