Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Naval Platform Control Systems: 2015 & Beyond Joseph Famme Rangesh Kasturi April 18, 1997 Note: This is a re-print of the 1997 slides used for the 11 th International Naval Controls Conference presentation given by Joseph Famme, April 18, 1997, made by ITE Inc, Please see text of the associated technical paper given at the University of Southampton, UK Mr. Famme is now President of ITE Inc.

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Time and Change  Ten Years+ to design and build a ship for 30+ years service  The World keeps changing !  The Technology keeps changing !

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Population & Naval Manpower Population Reference Bureau, United Nations World Bank 1996 The Life of Our Ship

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Population & Oil Production Oil Data: University of Colorado, School of Geology 1996

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Population & Economics  Is it true that economic competition pulls the trigger?  Should defense readiness be increasing or decreasing?  What are the implications for the naval profession?

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Agrarian Age to Quantum Mechanics?  Agrarian Age  Industrial Revolution  Information Age  Quantum Mechanics  ????? Each Age Cycle gets shorter …..  How will we address the unknowable?

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Chaos Theory  The fast pace of change challenges the social fabric  Economic disparities could pull the trigger  Not every one plays by the rules ?

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Violent and Surprise Threats  New levels of international cooperation required  For all people, not just military units:  Continuous alert and readiness  Instantaneous response

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Technology  For Us … equals, for them !  Advanced hardware & software  Advanced Virtual Reality  With a new name !  Personnel monitoring / communications  Laser weapons

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Ship Forms: Back to the Future  1870: Jules Verne, “20,000 Leagues Under the Sea”  1910: The Great White Fleet  1997: High Speed Ships for the new electronics!

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August New (old) Hulls Forms!

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Tonnage: 33Kts & 100k HP

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Fuel for 21st Century Ships  Speed  Fuel demand  ………..Fuel (Oil) ………………..available

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Computation Power - Life of Ship  Ship design and service life may span 50 years  The computation power will increase by several orders of magnitude  How do we plan?  How do we educate our children?

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Bandwidth: The New Frontier  The next major driver for technology advance  Mr. Gilder says we haven’t seen anything yet  Everyone can be connected  Ubiquitous computing!  As if we were in the 1700’s and discussing space flight … who would believe us?

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Controls 2015 & Beyond  Intelligent Sensors  MEMS  Intelligent Automated Actuators  Virtual Situational Awareness  Remote control  1/10 th crew  Ubiquitous computing  All persons - all equipment

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Cooperative Support Capability  CEC to CSC !!!!  Equipment sensors will become fully intelligent  sense own temp / pressures …  perform own condition assessment  report own condition  permit equipment to cooperate with other equipment  support equipment that is mal-performing  modify operation to support platform goals and constraints

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Platform Operator Associate  Equipment / sensors system will use AI enhancement to support human objectives (goals) while conforming to directed constraints  Current DARPA program

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Smart Pumps Pump A Pump B Pump C Pump X Transceiver

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Technology Summary  We don’t know … can’t know  Who in the 1940s saw SPY-1 radar and Cooperative Engagement - in full automatic?  Let’s try to guess...

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Future Controls  Requirements:  Performance  Total Battle Force (Theater) Systems  Total Automation  Damage Control  Human Factors

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Performance  Speed is everything  Stealth adds time, sometimes

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Battle Force Systems  Everything and everyone is connected  Speed is everything  Humans are a liability … except for their strategic thinking ability

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Human Factors  Humans are:  Intelligent But …  Too weak  Too slow  Too vulnerable  Require enormous logistical and medical support

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Damage Control  Passive … survivability built-in to the structure  large areas of inert space  no life support  Active …  adaptive and reactive systems  Remote and automated control  Decision aids

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Why Humans at All?  Intelligence:  Strategy  Tactics  Intuition  Anticipation  Insight  Reflection  Lessons learned  Situational Awareness  Things computers don’t do well… as yet!

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Conclusions  Ships will not have the nostalgia of the pre- 21st century  Ships will not be glamorous fighting vehicles like space wars  Ships: just a node in world-wide defense system … Sorry !

Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August Conclusions  But the few left will be:  Very, very FAST  Very, very high fire power  Worthy of our design and control systems