Research project hosted by the University of Glasgow’s Adam Smith Research Foundation Funded by the ESRC www.voterecology.com.

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Presentation transcript:

Research project hosted by the University of Glasgow’s Adam Smith Research Foundation Funded by the ESRC

 Determining citizen agenda by identifying unexpected search terms (i.e. scandals/controversial policies/social media events) Political actors (campaign agenda) Mainstream media (agenda setting) Citizen agenda (Search agenda)

ESTABLISHED DEMOCRACY USA/UK (UK 2010 / USA 2012 presidential elections)  Search trends & candidates’ gaffes on sensitive issues (2013 Parliament Elections campaign)  Berlusconi & mass media  Search trends: scandal of Oscar Giannino (2011 revolution – 2013 coup d’état)  Activism, protests and search agenda CHALLENGED DEMOCRACY ITALY TRANSITIONAL STATE EGYPT

Leading candidatesSuffrageAffiliationsIdeology Amr Mussa11.13%IndependentLiberal Abu al Futuh17.47%IndependentModerate traditionalist Hamdeen Sabahi20.72%Independent Nasserist (socialist/nationalist) Mohammed Morsi24.78% Freedom and Justice Party Muslim Brotherhood Ahmad Shafik23.66%IndependentMilitary

Presidential TV debate (Candidates Abu al Futuh & Amr Mussa) Election (round 1)

Constant: Political IssuesVariable: Political actors  Youth unemployment  Corruption  Relationship with Israel  Army’s involvement in public affairs  Application of Islamic law  Post-revolutionary Constitution  Liberal opposition leaders  Conservative parties (Islamic bloc)  Youth movements  Protestors and activists  Militaries

Traditional political figures Activists, bloggers and opposition leaders Individual citizens: revolutionaries and martyrs Members of Constituent Assembly Wael GhonimMohammed Bou’zizi Leaders of partiesTamarud youth organisationKhaled Said Members of transitional government Alaa Abdel Fatah2011 protests martyrs 2012 presidential candidates Bassem Youssef protests martyrs

 Controversial political officials reach higher SV  SV for Egyptian martyrs = SV minor political stakeholders  SV of famous activists ≥ SV of major political stakeholders

 Political action rather than political ideology  Decreasing interest for traditional political structures  Emerging political leaders active online and likely to influence search agenda  Potential framework for fluid democarcy