With the financial support of the European Commission Impact on employment in the EU-25 of climate change and climate change policies by 2030 power generation.

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Presentation transcript:

With the financial support of the European Commission Impact on employment in the EU-25 of climate change and climate change policies by 2030 power generation

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Scenarios which differ strongly from the point of view of the policies of reduction of greenhouse gases

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The reduction of CO2 emissions comes in part from energy efficiency which leads to a reduction in demand from energy-consuming sectors & also from CDM mecanisms for EEA-CLEP scenario.

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Strong differentiation in the technological mix (1)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Strong differentiation in the technological mix (2)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to operation and maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (1)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to operation and maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (2)  BAU employment growth of 1% per year,  employment stable for the WWF/WI and EEA- nuclear scenarios,  decreasing for the WWF/WI over the period  Only scenario F4 breaks from this, with an annual reduction in employment of 0.35% over the period 2001/2030.

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to operation and maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (3)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to operation and maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (4)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to investments (1)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to investments (2)  The jobs generated by investment are, in all scenarios, animated by a dynamic of relatively sustained growth over the period  This growth is greater than that predicted by the reference scenario in the WWF/WI and AEE- nuclear scenarios, the gap being 80,000 and 50,000 FTE jobs respectively.  In the scenario F4 the led jobs are stable with regard to the reference scenario

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to investments (3)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  The impact on employment linked to investments (4)

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Balance of employment movements in the electricity generation sector

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Balance of employment movements in the electricity generation sector

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Balance of employment movements in the electricity generation sector  The active and ambitious policies of reduction of the energy intensity make a positive contribution to the employment although they lead to a light erosion of the employment in the sector of the electricity production (P&M and F4).  A contrario the industry is consolidated and registers a progress of its jobs.

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Risks & opportunities for employment in the electricity sector Risks : Decline in employment in electricity generation  Substitution of gas or renewable energy sources for coal- fired powerplants & the question of closing or preservation of coal-fired powerplants (issue of CCS technologies).  For utilities, a change in their organisational model combining decentralisation with proximity services.  The issue of the impact on energy employment of a nuclear-exit  Opportunities : Renewable energies, Energy services, energy efficiency, CHP.

Conference « Jobs in a low carbon Europe », 20 – 21 February 2007, Brussels With the financial support of the European Commission  Recommendation for climate policies  Economic & industrial P&M :  new impetus to the control of energy,  ambitious R&D support for renewable energies and low- carbon technologies,  deployment of all available economic instruments while taking care to minimise possible undesirable side-effects.  Social P&M :  Tools for prospective management of competences & training should be being put in place as of now to ensure job mobility for employees in the sector to the new occupations linked with decentralised energy production, efficient energy usage, renewable energy sources ( in particular in the maintenance area).  with the decentralisation of energy sources and the development of energy services, competences need to be reoriented so as to encompass the specific services functions.

With the financial support of the European Commission  Thank you for your attention!