B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 1 B OARD of G OVERNORS Commission on Higher Education Access and Attainment Supply-Demand Gap Analysis: Which Occupations are Undersupplied? Which Academic Programs Might Need to Grow? Jan Ignash, Vice Chancellor, Academic and Student Affairs March 8,

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 2 Supply-Demand Gap Analysis: Agenda Meeting Agenda Introduction Which Occupations are Undersupplied? Gap Analysis Methodology List of Undersupplied Occupations Requiring a Bachelor’s Which Academic Programs Might Need to Grow? Focus on Computer Occupations

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 3 SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics Introduction to the Supply-Demand Gap Analysis vs

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 4 Gap Analysis Methodology: Supply SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics SOURCE: Supply is based on degrees awarded data as reported by 396 Florida institutions to the National Center for Education Statistics. LIMITATION: The methodology includes all graduates, including those who left Florida. We do not yet have employment or continuing education data for students who leave Florida for each academic program. This is a work in progress. LIMITATION: The methodology does not include any consideration of occupational in-migration, occupational retention, and attrition. vs

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 5 Supply: Top Degrees Awarded in Florida (in ) By Discipline Groups and Degree Level ACADEMIC DISCIPLINE GROUPS ASSOCIATE'SBACHELOR'SMASTER'S DOCTORAL & PROF. TOTAL STATE TOTAL 85,84988,09230,5829,278213,801 BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT, MARKETING, SUPPORT SERVS. 3,68622,71810, ,254 HEALTH PROFESSIONS AND RELATED PROGRAMS 15,3257,7994,0323,21830,374 EDUCATION 1365,6195, ,313 SOCIAL SCIENCES *7, ,414 HOMELAND SECURITY, LAW ENFORCEMENT, FIREFIGHTING AND RELATED PROTECTIVE SERVICES 2,6303, ,830 PSYCHOLOGY *5, ,767 VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS 1,2094, ,669 ENGINEERING *3,7711, ,171 BIOLOGICAL AND BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES 994, ,036 LEGAL PROFESSIONS AND STUDIES 1, ,9964,961 COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCES 1,7352, ,440 COMMUNICATION, JOURNALISM, & RELATED PROGRAMS *3, ,298 ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE/LETTERS *2, ,590 ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES & ENGINEERING-RELATED FIELDS 1, *2,347 ALL OTHERS 1 58,42512,8563, ,337 Note 1: All Others include 54,925 Associate’s degrees assigned to ‘General Studies’. Note 2: An asterisk (*) indicates ten or fewer.

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 6 Gap Analysis Methodology: Demand SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics SOURCE: Demand is based on the long-term ( ) occupational employment projections of annual job openings (growth and replacements) by the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity Labor Market Statistics Center. KEY DECISION: Previously, this Commission agreed that the educational attainment levels for the occupational data would be based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) national taxonomy of educational levels. vs

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 7 OCCUPATIONAL GROUPS PROJECTED ANNUAL JOB OPENINGS BY BLS’ TYPICAL DEGREE REQUIRED FOR ENTRY CODETITLEASSOCIATEBACHELORMASTERDOCTORALTOTAL STATE TOTAL 16,71142,3184,3468,68672, Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 7, ,1043,72712, Preschool, Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers 1,0887,098 8, Business Operations Specialists 5, Financial Specialists 5, Computer Occupations 4, , Postsecondary Teachers ,2693, Counselors, Social Workers, and Other Community and Social Service Specialists 1,3691,435 2, Top Executives 1, , Health Technologists and Technicians 2, , Other Management Occupations 1, , Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers 27 2,1852, Adult Basic and Secondary Education and Literacy Teachers, All Other 2, Engineers 2, Media and Communication Workers 1, Operations Specialties Managers 1,171 All Others 3,0509,0981, ,638 Demand: Florida’s Top Occupational Groups By Projected Annual Job Openings ( )

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 8 Gap Analysis Methodology: Gap Analysis SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics In an effort to limit the problem of overstating supply due to occupations being linked to multiple academic disciplines, the supply data was adjusted to only count the target occupation’s share of non-managerial job openings available for qualified graduates. ADJUSTED SUPPLY In this example, only 7% of the total supply (3,093 graduates) is used in the gap analysis because the financial analysts only comprises 7% of the 4,641 non-managerial jobs available to these graduates. So, the adjusted supply is 3,093 x.07 = 217. vs SOCCIPSOC FINANCIAL ANALYST Accounting and Finance Financial Managers530 Accountants and Auditors3,237 Budget Analysts104 Financial Analysts326 Accounting and Business Management Financial Managers530 Accountants and Auditors3,237 Financial Analysts326 Finance, General Chief Executives660 Financial Managers530 Budget Analysts104 Credit Analysts124 Financial Analysts326 Personal Financial Advisors575 Financial Specialists, All Other OPENINGS 3,093 BACHELOR’S 4,641 NON-MANAGER OPENINGS

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 9 Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations Typically Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree for Entry MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS PROJECTED ANNUAL DEMAND BACHELORS ADJUSTED SUPPLY BACHELORS ANNUAL GAP 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special Education) 1, ,024 2 Accountants and Auditors3,2372, Computer Systems Analysts Software Developers, Applications Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects Software Developers, Systems Software Training and Development Specialists Computer Programmers Operations Research Analysts Graphic Designers Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) Industrial Engineers Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists Insurance Underwriters Loan Counselors Public Relations Specialists Financial Analysts

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 10 Gap Analysis Methodology: Contextual Metrics SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics Entry Wage Projected Annual Growth Rates Trend in Help Wanted Online Advertisements (HWOL) Warehouse Indicator Supply from Lower and Higher Educational Levels vs

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 11 Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Contextual Metrics MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS AVG. ENTRY WAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE HWOL TREND WAREHOUSE INDICATOR 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special & Voc. Education) $38, %38%0% 2 Accountants and Auditors $40, %22%4% 3 Computer Systems Analysts $55, %11%2% 4 Software Developers, Applications $48, %24%1% 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects $43, %.. 6 Software Developers, Systems Software $62, %-6%1% 7 Training and Development Specialists $34, %92%2% 8 Computer Programmers $43, %5%2% 9 Operations Research Analysts $37, %13%1% 10 Graphic Designers $27, %19%4% 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) $36, %8%0% 12 Industrial Engineers $42, %7%1% 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists $45, %35%1% 14 Insurance Underwriters $39, %34%2% 15 Loan Counselors $30, %-9%2% 16 Public Relations Specialists $35, %25%2% 17 Financial Analysts $47, %11%4%

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 12 Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Additional Context MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS PROJECTED ANNUAL DEMAND DEGREE PRODUCTION BY LEVEL ASSOCIATE'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY BACHELOR'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY MASTER'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special Education) 1, Accountants and Auditors3, , Computer Systems Analysts Software Developers, Applications Information Security Analysts, Web Developers, and Network architects Software Developers, Systems Software Training and Development Specialists Computer Programmers Operations Research Analysts Graphic Designers Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) Industrial Engineers Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists Insurance Underwriters Loan Counselors Public Relations Specialists Financial Analysts

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 13 Top 15 Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Current Supply by Sector OCCUPATIONS BACHELOR’S SUPPLY BY SECTOR SUSICUFCIEFCS 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special & Voc. Education) 76%15%0%9% 2 Accountants and Auditors67%26%6%0% 3 Computer Systems Analysts63%24%12%1% 4 Software Developers, Applications56%19%25%0% 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects 62%21%16%1% 6 Software Developers, Systems Software54%21%25%0% 7 Training and Development Specialists40%58%2%0% 8 Computer Programmers45%10%45%0% 9 Operations Research Analysts42%58%0% 10 Graphic Designers20%15%66%0% 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) 86%1%3%9% 12 Industrial Engineers81%19%0% 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists99%1%0% 14 Insurance Underwriters100%0% 15 Loan Counselors79%21%0% 16 Public Relations Specialists60%40%0% 17 Financial Analysts84%12%3%1%

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 14 In Conclusion: Which Programs Might Need to Grow? Focus on Undersupplied Computer Occupations Academic Disciplines TOP UNDERSUPPLIED COMPUTER OCCUPATIONS Computer Network Architects Computer Programmers Computer Systems Analysts Software Developers, Applications Software Developers, Systems Software TOTAL 1 Computer and Information Sciences, Gen. ● ● 2 2 Computer and Information Systems Security & Information Assurance ● 1 3 Computer Engineering, General ● ●●3 4 Computer Graphics ● 2 5 Computer Programming/Programmer, Gen. ● ●●3 6 Computer Science ● ●●3 7 Computer Software Engineering ●●2 8 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst ● ● 2 9 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications ● ● 2 10 Information Science/Studies ●1 11 Information Technology ● ●●●4 12 Management Information Systems, Gen. ● 1 TOTAL NUMBER OF DISCIPLINES LINKED TO OCCUPATION

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 15 Bachelor’s Degrees in Academic Disciplines Related to Top Undersupplied Computer Occupations by Sector Academic Disciplines SUSICUFCIEFCSTOTAL CIP Titles 1 Computer and Information Sciences, General Computer and Information Systems Security/Information Assurance Computer Engineering, General Computer Graphics Computer Programming/Programmer, General Computer Science Computer Software Engineering Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications Information Science/Studies Information Technology Management Information Systems, General TOTAL1, ,871

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 16 The List: Top Educational Program Areas for Growth (See hand-out.)

B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 17 Next Steps 1.Choosing the highest areas of program need, based upon the current gap analysis 2.Developing a process to respond to the need 1.RFP Process 2.Factors to include 3.The role of partnerships 4.Cost considerations 3.Identifying “who should grow” 4.Considering near-term, immediate needs as well as longer- term needs