Las Vegas as the American Milan: Economic Growth in the World Economy Robert Lang, UNLV Director Brookings Mountain West.

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Presentation transcript:

Las Vegas as the American Milan: Economic Growth in the World Economy Robert Lang, UNLV Director Brookings Mountain West

Why Milan?

Milan as a Metaphor  Milan Makes Stuff and is a Tech City  Milan’s Specialty as a World City is Design and Trade  Milan is Not a Museum—Unlike Some Other Italian Cities that have Inspired Las Vegas such as Venice and Florence  Design Needs Flair—We Got Plenty of That and it Plays to a Key Strength

Milan is as Also a Direction  Toward More Global Connectivity  Toward a More Diversified Economy  Toward Signature Styles for the City Such as the Mid Century Modern that Palm Springs Now Plays off of Just Because Sinatra Once Lived There  Toward a Host of Other Industries that Play to Our Strengths  Bottom Line: Think Milan

First We Need Some Image Work: Sustainable Las Vegas—Closer to Reality Than You Might Think

Water Use is Dropping! Southern Nevada Water Authority per capita gallons of water use per day Source: Southern Nevada Water Authority, “Water Resource Plan 2009”

Nevada is Adopting Renewable Energy Share of total energy consumption from renewables Nevada Source: Energy Information Administration California U.S.

Las Vegas has a Low Carbon Footprint U.S. metro average: 2.50 Source: “Shrinking the Carbon Footprint of Metropolitan America” (Brookings, 2008) Million metric tons of carbon emitted per capita, 2005

It’s Also Denser Built than the East Las Vegas Atlanta

Also, Las Vegas is a “Bridge to Somewhere” and a “World Business Space”

Las Vegas: The Convening City

LA-Las Vegas-Phoenix Connections

Population Change, Southwest Megaregion (Thousands) GrowthPercent Megapolitan Area '70-'40Change So Cal11,97620,23722,63526,38630,27318,297153% Las Vegas3231,6742,4073,4164,4424, % Sun Corridor1,4474,2975,6997,4479,2337,786538% Total13,74626,20830,74137,24943,94830,202220% Source: Woods & Poole, 2009

Official 2009 High-Speed Rail Map

We Will See High-Speed Rail

And Interstate 11 to Phoenix

Business Travel Network, 2005

World City Air Network, 2009

Economic Diversification—The Next Frontier

Overlying on Growth & Tourism Share of metro private sector GDP from food, drinking, leisure, hospitality, construction, and real estate

We Used to Count on Migrants

One More Migrant Wave?  We Are Due at Least one More Semi- Boom Round of Growth  Case-Shiller Numbers Point to a Value Gap with California  Look at RTC Cities in the 1990s— Phoenix, Dallas, and Denver  In Recovery, Real Estate Overhang can Switch from a Drag on Growth to a Driver of Growth

Case-Shiller Boom/Bust

A Future in Alternative Energy Source: State of Utah; PNM

Tech Future: The Switch

Repurpose Yucca Mountain

Leverage the Region’s World City Assets

Vegas as a Permanent Trade Show CEA Now Has Exclusive Rights to the Trademark “World Trade Center Las Vegas” The Consumer Electronics Show will Now Become a Permanent Fixture in Las Vegas…May Others Follow?

And There are Other Big Shows Comic Con is a Perfect Fit For Las Vegas. This is Now the Biggest Media Show in the Industry and Would Play to the Vegas- Hollywood Connection

So What’s Holding Las Vegas Back?  A Relatively Uneducated Workforce—See the Recent Brookings Mountain Monitor  Las Vegas’s Native-Born Population is Less Educated Than Denver’s Foreign-Born One  We are Dramatically Under Investing in Higher Education  UNLV Ranks Below New Mexico

A Serious Research University  The Arizona Plan: Build up the Research University in the Largest Metropolitan Area  Either Fund UNLV or Cut it Free  Let UNLV Keep its Out-of-State Tuition  Allow for Differential Tuition  UNLV is the Only Graduate School Game in Town—Expand it!  Leverage Federal Research Funds

IMW True Research Universities  Carnegie Research University “Very High” Category  Just 7 Total in the Mountain West:  3 in CO, 2 in AZ, 1 in Utah, 1 in NM  A Big Fat Zero in Nevada  UNLV/UNR rank with NAU in AZ  Las Vegas—a Metro with Almost 2 Million—Has the Research Capacity of Flagstaff, AZ or Las Cruces, NM—Wow!

Final Comments  Make Strategic Investments in Higher Education  Go After Federal Resources—Stop Leaving our Money on the Table  Target Businesses that Match Key Clusters and our Comparative Advantages  Finally, We Should Establish a New Economic Vision for Las Vegas

Thank You!