Focus on Prince William County David B Miller Geography NVCC-Alexandria.

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Presentation transcript:

Focus on Prince William County David B Miller Geography NVCC-Alexandria

Prince William County’s Population Growth The county, an engine of Virginia’s population growth, leads Virginia in job growth.

Trend DOW N UP The 2010 Census confirmed that Prince William County (PWC) is the first majority-minority county in Northern Virginia, with 48.7% of the population being non-Hispanic and White.

State senate districts reflect the county’s population diversity, with 3 Democrats and 2 Republicans, but the House of Delegates seats 7 Republicans and and only 1 Democrat. Democrats are mounting serious challenges to Republican incumbents in the 51 st and 87 th districts in 2013.

In political campaigns, Prince William County is seen as a battleground. Until 2008 it was reliably Republican, but a larger and more diverse voter base favored President Obama in 2008 and The county’s population has increased by some 30,000 since the last governor’s election in Early morning and long lines on Election Day 2012

Democrat Tim Kaine went from winning the county by just 1,200 votes in the 2005 governor’s race to triumphing by 28,000 votes in the 2012 U.S. Senate race. However, in the 2005 and 2009 off year elections, with lower voter turnouts, Republicans won 5 out of 6 statewide races.

Republican Ken Cuccinelli would seem to have the advantage in Prince William County: He and his family reside in Prince William County. When he was elected Virginia’s Attorney General in 2009, he won the county by 10,000 votes over his Democratic rival. The county has favored Republican candidates in past off year elections. Voter turnout would make a difference statewide and in Prince William County. The 2009 governor’s race recorded the lowest voter turnout in decades (40% of registered voters). The county is critical to both campaigns, and both candidates will come to the county seat for an August 9 debate.August 9 debate Democrat Terry McAuliffe will need to fight for county votes: He ran for governor in 2009 and knows where to get votes. McAuliffe needs to market himself in a county that knows Ken Cuccinelli better. Toward the end of July, McAuliffe had a $5 million advantage in fundraising, which will help promote him and his ideas. Growing ethnic diversity can bring more Democratic votes.