Tropical cyclone analysis and forecasting : products and tools

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Presentation transcript:

Tropical cyclone analysis and forecasting : products and tools Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services (Macao, China, 11 April 2013)

Contents Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP JMA Products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis 2

TC Information on JMA HP Tropical Cyclone Information Home Page http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/indexe.html

TC Information on JMA HP Select menu 3-day forecast http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

TC Information on JMA HP start animation 3-day forecast Storm warning area: The entire area covered by the prediction period is displayed in an enclosed section.

TC Information on JMA HP 3-day forecast animation

TC Information on JMA HP 5-day track forecast

TC Information on JMA HP start animation 5-day track forecast

TC Information on JMA HP 5-day track forecast animation

TC Information on JMA HP 50kt wind probability for residents in Japan

Contents Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP JMA Products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis 11

RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website Home Page http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.htm

Best Track Data (Text file) RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website Best Track Data (Text file)

RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website Best Track Data (Graphics)

RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website Annual Report

RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website Technical Review

Contents Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP JMA products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/cms/ 17

WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Warning Home Page http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/cms/

Tropical Cyclone Information WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo How to access Click here Tropical Cyclone Information

Tropical Cyclone Information WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Tropical Cyclone Information Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast (WTPQ20-25) Tropical Cyclone Advisory for 5-day Track Forecast (WTPQ50-55) Guidance for Forecast by Typhoon Ensemble prediction System (FXPQ20-25) Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning (WTPQ30-35) Typhoon Best Track (AXPQ20) Tropical Cyclone Warning (WTJP20-25)

https://tynwp-web.kishou.go.jp/ Contents JMA Products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis This website is for Typhoon Committee Members. You need ID and Password https://tynwp-web.kishou.go.jp/ 21

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website Track Prediction ( Chart) https://tynwp-web.kishou.go.jp/

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website Track Prediction (Table)

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Ensemble Prediction

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Ensemble Prediction

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website Satellite Analysis

Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website Storm Surge Watch Scheme

Contents Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP JMA products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/swfdp/ra2_swfdp_sea.html 28

GSM products JMA Website for SWFDP

EPS products Maps JMA Website for SWFDP

EPS products EPSgrams JMA Website for SWFDP

You need ID and Password JMA Website for SWFDP TIGGE products You need ID and Password

JMA Website for SWFDP

JMA Website for SWFDP

JMA Website for SWFDP

JMA Website for SWFDP

Contents Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP JMA products Tropical Cyclone Information on JMA HP RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Website WIS Portal - GISC Tokyo Numerical Typhoon Prediction Website JMA Website for SWFDP SATAID Service Bulletins of TC information Tools for forecasting Tool for satellite analysis 37

What is SATAID? SATAID (Satellite Animation and Interactive Diagnosis) Originally developed by JMA’s MSC (Meteorological Satellite Center) as an application software to display satellite imagery and NWP data for training purposes Provided to NMHSs as a JMA’s contribution to WMO-CGMS Virtual Laboratory for Training in Satellite Meteorology (VL) Today, used also as an operational tool for daily weather analysis including tropical cyclone monitoring at JMA’s HQ and local offices Freely available to NMHSs and easy to install Equipped with lots of functions CGMS: Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites

SATAID software (GMSLPD for Windows)

What is SATAID? With GMSLPD, you can…… Display (and overlay) satellite imagery and NWP data (and various observations i.e. SYNOP, SHIP, TEMP, Radar, Wind Profiler, ASCAT etc. if its format prepared) Use many functions: vertical cross-sectional chart, time-series chart, digital data output to CSV file...... Save as a file including a package of all data, your drawings and comments, which will be useful for trainings and case study archives Analyze position and intensity of tropical cyclones

SATAID Service JMA SATAID Service has been provided as WIS DAR since December 2011. ID and password required (provided to each NMHS) DAR: Data Discovery, Access and Retrieval http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/cms/sataid/ 41

SATAID Service Data Area

SATAID Service MTSAT imagery (VIS, IR, IR2, WV, 3.8μm), NWP products (GSM) Observation data (SYNOP, SHIP, TEMP, ASCAT sea-surface wind) Data of the last 72 hours are available.

SATAID Service Data Specification

Example 1 – Dvorak Analysis -

Example 2 - NWP overlaid -

Example 3 - Surface observation overlaid- SATAID Operation Manual is available at http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/cms/sataid/manual/

Thank You !!