T IMBER P RODUCTS O UTPUT W HERE WE WANT TO GO AND H OW TO GET THERE

O UTLINE Future Vision Current Steps Towards Vision Plan for Next Steps Future Options

F UTURE V ISION “Imagine visiting a website where you draw a circle on a map with an immediate return of timely population estimates such as growing stock volume on timberland, removals, mortality, coarse woody debris all coupled with mill census information regarding roundwood harvests by species and corresponding harvest/processing residues”

F UTURE V ISION Live Trees Removals Biomass Roundwood Products Mill Residues Mill Location

S TEPS T OWARD V ISION Northern FIA Southern FIA Western FIA Pre-2010 Northern FIA Southern FIA Western FIA National TPO Team Nationalized, Modernized, Timely TPO Eventual Future * RMRS and PNW TPO Conducted through RJVA with Univ. of Montana

F UTURE V ISION E LEMENTS Timely – Dynamic TPO database Online Tools – Data collection and distribution Phase 2 and Phase 3 synchronicity Stable mill census All wood use accounting Nationally consistent TPO RPA every 5 years One static, isolated online tool Nationally inconsistent data collection Now Future

W HAT D OES V ISION B UY U S ? $ = Efficiencies Save = Program Expansion One database One survey tool “The Power of One” Stabilize mill surveys Utilization studies Explore strategic partnerships

A LL W OOD U SE A CCOUNTING Solid/paper products and energy (biomass); mill residue; logging residue Logging/harvest utilization studies throughout the country Virgin fiber…not recycled Explore strategic partnerships: DOE, Census Bureau, and/or FPL

I NCREMENTAL S TEPS T OWARDS V ISION Pre-2010Now With Your Help

A CTIVITIES A national TPO team with reps from all regions A draft set of national TPO core report tables Monthly CC’s are held to coordinate nationalization efforts 6 half-day database CC’s 1 week workshop in St. Paul in July, 1 week workshop in Asheville in October All activities documented at fia-ab.wikidot.com Programmers from each region assisting TPO team with national TPO database/documentation development Working with FIDO developers on online data collection/analysis/reporting tools 1 st -ever national pulpwood report for 2008

N ATIONAL P ULPWOOD R EPORT

D ATABASE D ESIGN (D ATA T ABLES )

P ROPOSED D OCUMENTATION

N ATIONAL TPO M ILL S URVEY T OOL Meets eGov initiative: online data entry for paper survey Provides mill ability to enter their data directly online OR Cooperator/Forest Service enters mill’s data from paper form Secure login, encrypted data transmission and storage Ability to start survey, save and finish at later time Integrated data checks for improved QA Storage in Oracle database Data entry is integrated with national TPO data processing system

N ATIONAL TPO M ILL S URVEY T OOL

I NTEGRATED D ATA C HECKS

D EVELOPING A P LAN FOR THE F UTURE

F UTURE O PTIONS Which Data? How we Collect? How Often? Who Collects? Data Management? Who Analyzes? Which Website?

P REFERRED F UTURE Mill censuses Conducted periodically (2-5 years) (pulpwood annually) Conducted by mix of FS, State, and university cooperators Data include national core + regional add-ons Dynamic national processing system in NIMS Regionally prepared state TPO reports…national TPO database used for national reports/queries Improved data collection and management systems that allow expanded research and reporting products New online tools/applications, enhance access to TPO and FIA- inventory data for users Explore logging utilization studies nationally Coordination with DOE on fuelwood inventories Facilitate annual imputation research Explore coordination with FPL Census Bureau partnership

S TILL O PEN FOR I DEAS 2010 Census2015 Census ??? 2010 Census2015 Census e.g. Annual Imputation

A NNUAL I MPUTATION New TPO database could be annualized…. Development of consistent imputation estimators Strategic partnerships (e.g., FPL) needed for research State help with sampling frame development and annual mill sample But….

D ATA S TABILIZATION O PTIONS Lengthen cycles in the states where state support is waning and the cycle is shorter than 5 years. Buy-down to the 5-year P2 cycle and true “in-kind” state contributions to TPO effort. Explore competitive grants (e.g., USDA, DOE, NSF) to periodically help pay for mill censuses and/or logging utilization studies. Any more additional $ that FIA programs can contribute towards TPO? Explore writing TPO work (e.g., mill surveys and utilization studies) into state/cooperator field work.

R EMEMBER … TPO is Cooperative process with States States: Have mill contacts…collect data FIA: Processes data, reports, and distributes

B UDGET U NCERTAINTY O UTCOMES

P OSSIBLE O UTCOMES $ Reductions: Efficiencies through nationalization may maintain current program…we are building national data system…states need to fill with quality/timely data. $ Flat: Incremental progress if existing contractor continues database development efforts with programming staff (2 FTEs). $ Additions: Utilization studies, stabilized data collection, progress on national database (years instead of decades?), staffing to pursue internal/external FIA imputation research

S UMMARY Users have been heard Progress has been made…must occur hand-in- hand with states With your help we can go much farther