Evidence for Effective Food Security Decisions John Scicchitano USAID/Food For Peace FEWS NET Program Manager Horn of Africa Vegetation Feb 2012 vs. Feb.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

A Dangerous Delay: The cost of late response to the drought in the Horn of Africa Benedict Dempsey, Save the Children.

Advertisements

Climate services for enhanced risk management, food security and resilience Inter-Agency Consultation Meeting on User Interface Platform (UIP), 26 September.

FSL Cluster Defense 2013 CAP mid-year review

Food Security Response Analysis driven by FS Analysis Karamoja experience.

The development of EWS in Ethiopia The impact of disasters on the lives and livelihoods of the farmer community in different parts of the country has initiated.

THE NEW FOOD SECURITY ASSESSMENT TOOLS Central Asia Regional Risk Assessment Conference Almaty April 2011.

Seasonal Assessment Training Household Economy Analysis: The Analytical Framework Livelihoods Integration Unit (LIU) Early Warning & Response Department.

Climate change and food security in southern Africa: implications of theoretical development for the promotion of sustainable equitable development Katharine.

USAID Office of Food for Peace Dale Skoric Title II Food Aid Programming.

Food Security Impacts of Ethiopia’s Food for Peace Title II Multi-Year Assistance Program The Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP), , was developed.

Enhancing Resilience in the Horn of Africa CTA Brussels Briefing Brussels, March 4, 2013 Jean-François Maystadt International Food Policy Research Institute.

The 2011 Humanitarian Situations in Ethiopia.. The Humanitarian crises in the horn of Africa Covers countries Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya,

Analysis, Planning and Action: Process for responding early to slow-onset food crises before the crisis peaks ERC Situation and Response Analysis Framework.

Case-Study : Use of satellite remotely sensed data integrated with livelihood information in support of food security monitoring and early warning in the.

Food Security Situation and Response Analysis driven by FS Analysis Maswa DC experience.

Models of Famine, Early Warning Systems and Policy Responses Stephen Devereux Institute of Development Studies (UK) Summer School on “Food Security and.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey NASA/USDA Workshop on Evapotranspiration April 6, 2011 – Silver Spring, Maryland ET for famine early.

Horn of Africa crisis Information Sharing for Better Humanitarian Action Kuwait 12 September 2011.

We are developing a seasonal forecast system for agricultural drought early warning in sub- Saharan Africa and other food insecure locations around the.

Joanna Syroka, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 21 January 2008 Triggering Early LP Costs for Drought using LEAP.

The Global Food Crisis Silke Pietzsch Food Security & Livelihoods Advisor Action against Hunger.

FEWS NET Afghanistan. Outline Description Description Population distribution Population distribution poverty poverty Food Insecurity Food Insecurity.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network CURRENT CLIMATE SITUATION AND FORECAST June 16 Kabul, Afghanistan.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network July 2, 2015 Dakar, Senegal WEST AFRICA FOOD SECURITY OUTLOOK July to September 2015.

Somali Region Early warning department,Disaster concept & history of disaster 22 – 23 March 2012 March Jijiga.

USAID Office of Food for Peace Dale Skoric. U.S. Food Assistance - General Outline Title I: Trade & Development Assistance USDA Title II: Emergency &

Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa John Omiti Nancy Laibuni

Expert Meeting – Requirements of Weather Markets WMO December 5, 2007 Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk.

Food and Nutrition security

National Rice Research and Development Strategy of Ethiopia (NRRDAE National Rice Research and Development Strategy of Ethiopia (NRRDAE)

Advanced EFSA Learning Programme Session 1.2. WFP Conceptual Framework: Food and Nutrition Security.

IRI Experience Climate knowledge/information as a resource with many partners, developing the capacity to manage climate-related risks in key climate-sensitive.

LIU Project goal: “ To enable DPPA and partners to better understand livelihoods and coping strategies of vulnerable populations, and help them be better.

Seasonal Assessment Training Incorporating Livelihood Strategies and Coping Strategies Livelihoods Integration Unit (LIU) Early Warning & Response Department.

Seasonal Assessment Training The Reference Year and Seasonal Calendars Livelihoods Integration Unit (LIU) Early Warning & Response Department Disaster.

Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC)

Building Resilience in Ethiopia A Joint Food and Nutrition Security Initiative WFP,UNICEF & FAO.

Joint USAID-NASA GSFC Food and Water Security Activities Water Resources, Food Security and Agriculture GPM applications meeting Amy McNally

LEAP* Workshop Jan 21, 2008 Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Early Warning component: LEAP (Livelihoods.

Food and Nutrition Technical Assistance III Project (FANTA) FHI Connecticut Ave., NW Washington, DC Tel: Fax:

Screen 1 of 26 Markets Assessment and Analysis Markets and Food Security LEARNING OBJECTIVES Identify the components of a typical market assessment for.

Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems.

Advanced EFSA Learning Programme Session 4.2. Situation Analysis Step 6 Estimating Severity of Food Insecurity & Malnutrition.

Key Outcomes for the Worst affected Area Summary of Causes, Context and Key Issues Created on: Valid from: _______________ - ___________ (Current) (Uganda.

Advanced EFSA Learning Programme Session 3.3. Situation Analysis Step 4 Analysis of Coping Strategies 1.

Still difficult questions to answer NASA, FEWS NET AND FOOD SECURITY Gary Eilerts USAID Program Manager for FEWS NET NASA GPM Workshop, June 10, 2015.

Creating an Interface Between LEAP & the LIASs Presentation to the Disaster Risk Management and Food Security Sector (DRMFSS) April, 2010 DISASTER RISK.

Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia Data from Conflict- Affected Areas - Filling in the Blanks June 10 th 2011 EUROPEAN COMMISSION Swiss.

What am I learning today? Case Study which highlights Africa’s problems. Recent examples of problems in Africa.

2011 Horn of Africa Crisis and Famine RAIN SHORTAGE Southern Somalia has suffered a rain shortage, or complete loss of rain this past year. The short rains.

Integrating Quantitative and Qualitative Methods for Understanding Poverty Principles and Country Case Study.

Comparison of Precipitation Products for 2014 Ethiopian Growing Season chg.geog.ucsb.edu Pete Peterson 1, Chris C Funk 2,1, Gregory.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network Where do we need your help? The FEWS NET III Approach, current food insecurity, and implications for science partner.

WFP/Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping (VAM) 25 November 2012.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network February 2, 2016 FOOD SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF THE EL NIÑO.

Famine Early Warning Systems Network Agroclimatic Outlook April 12, 2016 / EWIWG meeting Kabul, Afghanistan.

Community Resilience to Acute Malnutrition (CRAM) Kate Culver Nutrition Advisor.

ACCRA Who we are, what we do and where we work. Why should you be interested? How can you contribute?

Famine Early Warning Systems Network Food Security Update 29 April 2016.

Workshop on Enhancing the Horn of Africa Adaptive and Responsive Capacity to Climate Change Impacts November 2014, Nairobi Kenya Impacts of ENSO.

State of the Art Food Security Assessment Gary Eilerts, Program Manager USAID FEWS NET.

1 FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORKFAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK.

INTEGRATED FOOD SECURITY PHASE CLASSIFICATION:

Background: Ethiopia Population: 72+ Million (growth 2.4+%)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture

Food Security Update 28 July 2016.

1. Monitoring & Early Warning System

An overview of the status of food and nutrition security in Somalia

Global Observational Network and Data Sharing

Africa Briefing 21 September 2010

Presentation transcript:

Evidence for Effective Food Security Decisions John Scicchitano USAID/Food For Peace FEWS NET Program Manager Horn of Africa Vegetation Feb 2012 vs. Feb 2011

Geography of food insecurity 2 Food Security Conditions Somalia March 2012

Magnitude of food insecurity 33 ________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK Ethiopia 2012 Beneficiary Estimates 1,2 REGION LOW MID HIGH AFAR 100, , ,000 AMHARA 660, , ,000 OROMIA 1,860,000 2,190,000 2,520,000 SNNPR 410, , ,000 SOMALI 1,060,000 1,250,000 1,430,000 TIGRAY 360, , ,000 OTHER REGIONS (Dire Dawa, Harari, Benishangul Gumuz, Gambella) 90, , ,000 TOTAL 4,540,000 5,350,000 6,150, month equivalent 2 Reflects local population needs only. Does not include refugee needs.

Severity of food insecurity 4 Food Security Conditions Oct-Dec 2011

5 Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) __________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK PHASESUMMARY DESCRIPTION (AREA) PHASE 1 Minimal Households are able to meet basic food needs and afford essential non-food expenditure without a reliance on coping strategies or humanitarian assistance. PHASE 2 Stressed For at least 1 in 5 households, food consumption is reduced but minimally adequate without having to engage in unsustainable coping strategies. However, these households are unable to afford some essential non-food expenditures. PHASE 3 Crisis At least 1 in 5 households face significant food consumption gaps with high or above usual acute malnutrition, or is marginally able to meet minimum food needs only with unsustainable coping strategies such as liquidating livelihood assets. PHASE 4 Emergency At least 1 in 5 households face extreme food consumption gaps resulting in very high acute malnutrition or excess mortality, or faces extreme loss of livelihood assets that will likely lead to food consumption gaps. PHASE 5 Famine At least 1 in 5 households have a near complete lack of food and/or other basic needs. Starvation, death, and destitution are evident.

Timing of food insecurity 6 Seasonal Context Somalia

7

Who is FEWS NET? Inter-Agency Agreement ContractsInter-Agency Agreement 27 year-old activity 8 Kimetrica National, Regional, International institutions

24 FEWS NET offices 18 Africa - National 3 Africa - Regional 1 Haiti 1 Guatemala 1 Afghanistan Non-presence coverage of others Nationality of FEWS Field Representatives American = 0 African = 24 Guatemalan = 1 Afghani = 1 Haitian = 1 9

10 Monitoring prices Understanding how markets function

11 Structure and Conduct of Markets

Satellite Products Crop water requirements satisfaction index (WRSI) Multiple-source daily rainfall estimation (RFE) Vegetation Indices (NDVI)

13

14 FEWS analyzes historical patterns of change in weather to inform today’s adaptation planning.

15

Timor l’Este A B A, B, C = Existing AgMet monitoring focus 1-4 = possible AgMet monitoring windows C 16 New Agro-Meteorological Monitoring Windows

Excellent Oct-Dec 2011 rains 17 __________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK Source: FEWS NET/NOAA Horn of Africa - context

18 __________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK Mar-May 12 rainfall forecasts

19 Source: FEWS NET/NOAA/USGS Average March-May rainfall as a percentage of average annual rainfall Importance of Mar-May rains __________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK

20 Evolution of Mar-May rains Precipitation Anomaly: 1 Feb – 7 May

Current Conditions 21 __________________________________________ FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK Source: FEWS NET Ethiopia

22