1. LEAP* Workshop Jan 21, 2008 Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning Early Warning component: LEAP (Livelihoods – Early Assessment – Protection)

2. AGENDA LEAP Index Principles LEAP Design

3. Early Warning System with reliable baseline and trigger points IMPROVED INDEX – PART OF RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK I. IMPROVED INDEX: LEAP

4. Early Protection against Livelihood stress in context

5. LEAP Principles LEAP is software: free, open source, simple LEAP indices –Project agricultural yields based on weather parameters –Estimates potential costs of intervening against acute (crop failure related) livelihood stress LEAP indices are –Rainfall driven –Objective –Transparent –Real time LEAP indices are NOT –Food emergency need indicators –About other (Man-made) disasters –Price shock indicators (yet) –Flood risk indicators (yet)

6. Livelihood protection cost index (LPCI)  provides a good proxy estimate of the costs of protecting transient food insecure peoples’ livelihoods at the time of shock;  is independent, objective, verifiable and replicable;  conveys information in near real-time to ensure timely and effective response to livelihood stress  Provides early warning of livelihood stress levels  Signal amount of financial resources required for early livelihood protection at regional levels

7. LEAP also supports Crop and Pasture monitoring Irrigation needs assessments Agro-meteorological zoning Climate change adaptation needs assessments

8. Livelihoods + Early Assessment + Protection: LEAP INDICES Costs (Livelihood Protection Cost Index LPCI) Livelihood Protection Beneficiaries Water Requirement Satisfaction Index (WRSI) for Crops + Rangelands Weather data Crop + soil coefficients Objective: capture livelihood protection funding needs at regional level Target group: vulnerable population