Demographic Trends and the Education Pipeline: Implications for Educating Latinos for the Future of America

2 Demographics and the Education Landscape Population Immigration Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment High School Graduates Dropout Rates Postsecondary Enrollment and Graduation

3 U.S. Population by Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Number (000)

4 U.S. Population Growth by Ethnicity and Source: U.S. Census Bureau

5 Distribution of U.S. Population By Ethnicity 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

6 Top 10 States with Largest Hispanic Populations 2004 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2004 Table 1: Annual estimate of the population by race alone and Hispanic or Latino origin for the U.S. and states: July 1, 2004

7 Top 10 States Cumulative Percent of Total US Hispanic Population 2004 Source: US Census Bureau 2004

8 Population by Age 2005 Percent of Total U.S. and Hispanic Source: U.S. Census Bureau

9 Population by Age 2005 Hispanics as Percent of Total U.S.

10 Immigration Population Immigration Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment High School Graduates Dropout Rates Postsecondary Enrollment and Graduation

11 U.S. Immigration By Region of Last Residence Source: 2004 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics

12 U.S. Immigration By Region and Select Countries of Last Residence Source: 2004 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics

13 U.S. Immigration Distribution by Region and Select Countries of Last Residence Source: 2004 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics

14 Hispanic Population in the U.S. By Origin 2004 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15 The Education Landscape Population Immigration Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment High School Graduates Dropout Rates Postsecondary Enrollment and Graduation

16 Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment by Ethnicity Percent of Total 1993, 2003 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005.

17 Public High School Graduates By Minority Groups Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity

18 Public High School Graduates By Ethnicity 2005 Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity

19 Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity Public High School Graduates Percent Increase by Ethnicity

20 Total U.S. Hispanic Public High School Graduates Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity

21 Hispanics as Percent of Total Public High School Graduates Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity

22 Hispanic Public High School Graduates by Region Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity

23 Hispanics as Percent of Total Public High School Graduates Source: WICHE. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income and Race/Ethnicity States and Regions2005Projected 2015 New Mexico 46.1 %54.2 % California 36.3 %45.7 % Texas 35.3 %44.9 % Arizona 29.3 %41.4 % Nevada 19.9 %38.5 % Florida 19.8 %32.3 %

24 Dropout Rates Population Immigration Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment High School Graduates Dropout Rates Postsecondary Enrollment and Graduation

25 High School Dropout Rates By Ethnicity Percent of Dropouts Among Year Olds Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

26 High School Dropouts By Gender Within Ethnicity 2004 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

27 High School Dropouts By Immigration Status 2002 Source: The Condition of Education 2005.

28 Postsecondary Enrollment Population Immigration Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment High School Graduates Dropout Rates Postsecondary Enrollment and Graduation

29 Postsecondary Enrollment in 2-Year and 4-Year Institutions by Control 2004 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005 Number (000)

30 Hispanic Postsecondary Enrollment In 2-Year and 4-Year Institutions Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005 Number (000)

31 Postsecondary Enrollment Percent of Total Enrollment by Ethnicity 2004 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

32 Postsecondary Enrollment by Ethnicity 2004 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

33 Hispanic Postsecondary Enrollment Percent of Total Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

34 Postsecondary Enrollment of Public H.S. Graduates in 2-Year and 4-Year Institutions Percent of Total by Ethnicity 2004 Source: Digest of Education Statistics 2005

35 Postsecondary Graduation Rates 2-Year Institutions Source: NCES 2006: Enrollment in Postsecondary institutions Fall 2004; Graduation rates 1998 & 2001 cohorts; and Financial statistics, fiscal year 2004.

36 Postsecondary Graduation Rates 4-Year Institutions Source: NCES 2006: Enrollment in Postsecondary institutions Fall 2004; Graduation rates 1998 & 2001 cohorts; and Financial statistics, fiscal year 2004.

37 Summary Latinos are a large and growing segment of the U.S. population. Immigration is a factor. Latinos have an even greater presence in the school-age population. The number of Latino high school graduates are expected to increase through 2015 in all Regions. Drop out rates are a concern, particularly among recent immigrants. Hispanic enrollment in postsecondary education has increased, but Hispanics remain underrepresented in higher education. The majority of Latinos attend 2-Year institutions.