1. THECB 10/2007 Closing the Gaps by 2015 Presentation for: 2007 Governing Board Conference David W. Gardner October 29, 2007

2. THECB 10/2007 Educational attainment in the Texas labor force is projected to drop Source: Texas State Data Center* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

3. THECB 10/2007 Annual Personal Income in the U.S. as a Function of Educational Attainment Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Year: 2000

4. THECB 10/2007 Trends A growing unskilled, under-educated population will not meet the demands of a technology-based workplace. Average household income in Texas is projected to decline by $5,000 in constant dollars by 2040 (total annual drop of $63.5 billion). Source: Texas State Data Center

5. THECB 10/2007 Texas Review  New population projections have increased by approximately 2 million.  1.6 million increase in the Hispanic population.  Hispanics and African-Americans continue to participate and graduate at lower rates.  Traditional college-age population (18-24) is a declining proportion of the total population for all racial/ethnic groups.

6. THECB 10/2007 There are large differences among ethnicities in 6- year university graduation rates, but graduation and persistence rates improving for all groups Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

7. THECB 10/2007 Goals: By 2015, Close the Gaps in:  Participation  Success  Excellence  Research

8. THECB 10/2007 Close the Gaps in Participation By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across Texas to add 630,000 more students.

9. THECB 10/2007 (44.4%) (44.5%) (44.2%) (44.1%) (43.4%) The percent of Texas students enrolling directly from high school needs to increase Percent of Graduating Class (45.4%) Note: Includes entry into public higher education only. (46.1%)

10. THECB 10/2007 Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Statewide, total enrollment has been increasing, particularly at community and technical colleges

11. THECB 10/2007 Enrollment increases still meet target, but flattening trend is cause for concern 216,651 630,000

12. THECB 10/2007 Target to increase Hispanic enrollment from 2000 levels remains a big challenge Note: Asians are not targeted in the plan. WhiteHispanicAfrican-Am Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

13. THECB 10/2007 Metroplex 10,506 South Texas 8,382 Upper Rio Grande 222 -0.0% 0.4% 3.8% 1.3% -2.3% 1.3% 2.1% 4.1% 2.4%0.5% Gulf Coast 3,103 Central 4,533 High Plains -2 Metroplex and South Texas had largest enrollment increases

14. THECB 10/2007 Total enrollment in higher education is becoming more diverse African-Am. HispanicWhite Other Fall 2006 African-Am. White Hispanic Fall 2000 Other Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

15. THECB 10/2007 4% Health-Related University Independent Two-Year College 2004 – 2006 University Two-Year College Independent 2000 - 2003 Health-Related Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 0% The largest growth in enrollment continues to be at two-year colleges

16. THECB 10/2007 Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board The Pipeline Challenge (1995 Cohort of Public 7 th Grade Students)

17. THECB 10/2007 Economically disadvantaged students are less likely to enroll in higher education Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Note: Data are for 2004-2005 high school grads into Fall 2005.

18. THECB 10/2007 Close the Gaps in Success By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates, and other identifiable student successes from high quality programs.

19. THECB 10/2007 Success Targets  Increase Hispanic and African- American undergraduate successes.  Increase undergraduate awards in critical fields. –Science, Technology, Engineering, Mathematics (STEM) –Allied Health and Nursing  Increase initial teacher certifications.

20. THECB 10/2007 Bachelor’s, Associate’s, and Certificates awarded slows 147,705 210,000 171,000

21. THECB 10/2007 Percentage increase in UG awards at public institutions greatest for underrepresented groups +15.0% +31.0% +51.4% +55.3% Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

22. THECB 10/2007 Public institutions’ 2006 Associate’s and Bachelor’s degrees slightly below 2010 CTG Bachelor’s Associate’s

23. THECB 10/2007 How can we increase graduates in critical fields? STEMNursing/Allied Health

24. THECB 10/2007 How can we increase graduates in critical fields? TeachersMath & Science Teachers

25. THECB 10/2007 Nursing awards are increasing

26. THECB 10/2007 67% 94% 90% 85% 79% HS grads entering four-year institutions have Recommended Curriculum or above 96% Into public higher education only. 97%

27. THECB 10/2007 41% 74% 68% 61% 52% HS grads entering two-year institutions also are getting better prepared 77% Into public higher education only. 81%

28. THECB 10/2007 Close the Gaps in Excellence By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.

29. THECB 10/2007 Undergraduate Excellence  Access to excellent undergraduate education is critical.  81% of all public university students are undergraduates.  91% of all public college and university students are undergraduates.  40% of all public college and university students are freshmen.

30. THECB 10/2007 Association of American Universities* Membership Texas (2 public + 1 private) Texas (2 public + 1 private) –University of Texas at Austin, Texas A&M University California (6 public + 3 private) California (6 public + 3 private) –University of California at BerkeleyDavisIrvine Los Angeles San Diego Santa Barbara Illinois (1 public + 2 private) Illinois (1 public + 2 private) –University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Florida (1 public + 0 private) Florida (1 public + 0 private) –University of Florida *Only public universities are listed

31. THECB 10/2007 Rankings of Top 25 Public Research Universities* by TheCenter Texas (4 public + 2 private) Texas (4 public + 2 private) –University of Texas at Austin, Texas A&M University, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, University of Texas Southwest Medical Center in Dallas California (7 public + 3 private) California (7 public + 3 private) –University of California at Berkeley, Davis, Irvine, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, Santa Barbara Illinois (1 public + 3 private) Illinois (1 public + 3 private) –University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign Florida (1 public + 2 private) Florida (1 public + 2 private) –University of Florida *Only public universities are listed here

32. THECB 10/2007 Close the Gaps in Research By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.

33. THECB 10/2007 Texas has improved its share of Federal R&D relative to other top states (Constant 1998 Dollars) 14.9% 14.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 5.8% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 5.7%

34. THECB 10/2007 States with highly ranked institutions bring in more research funding (Constant 1998 Dollars)

35. THECB 10/2007 Research expenditures still growing 3.7% 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 15.9% (in billions) 6.0%

36. THECB 10/2007 Research  Rapid growth in recent years due to increased NIH funding.  Prospects for continued NIH increases are uncertain.  Federal proposals for enhanced NSF funding.

37. THECB 10/2007 Accomplishments 2000 - 2007  Enrollments have increased by almost 250,000 students.  More than 97% of first time freshmen at universities have completed the Recommended High School program.  Rapid growth in research expenditures due to increased NIH funding.

38. THECB 10/2007 Accomplishments 2000 - 2007  By fall 2006, 31,000 additional undergraduate degrees had been awarded.  Nursing graduates have started increasing.  Universities now retain all overhead income from grants and contracts instead of 50%.

39. THECB 10/2007 Next Steps?  Need to assess institutional targets for participation and success.  Continue efforts to increase student participation and success.  Use the Accountability System to help improve our higher education administration, institutions, and programs.

40. THECB 10/2007 Higher Education Plan Concise and focused Concise and focused Two to five goals Two to five goals Measurable targets Measurable targets Broad strategies Broad strategies Responsive to statewide needs Responsive to statewide needs Responsive to regional needs Responsive to regional needs Stimulates creativity and adaptability Stimulates creativity and adaptability