CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007.

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Presentation transcript:

CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

Peace is not (only): 1.THE CONCEPT Peace is (also): a gift a reward a status a situation an agenda a policy a commitment a LT engagement A dynamic processNo static condition Something to tend to, to maintain, to contribute to NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

2.THE SCOPE Peace is manyfold: diplomacy peacekeeping peacebuilding development human rights rule of law good governance democracy security Ranking 152 countries in 2005 with a multi-dimensional index gathering 20 indicators from open and recognized sources NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

3.THE MEASURE Three sets of indicators 1. Security 2. Human rights 3. Environment NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

Ratification of 5 international conventions Contribution to peacekeeping operations (UN) 1. Security Development aid in relation with GDP (UNDP) Social expenditures in relation with military budget (UNDP) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

Freedom of press index (RSF) Ratification of 4 international conventions 2. Human rights Corruption Index (Transparency International) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

Protected areas (WCMC) Ratification of 4 international conventions 3. Environment Ecological footprint (WWF) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

4.THE FORMULA Each indicator has a value between 0 and 1 Each indicator has the same weight in the formula Except the conventions, which are aggregated and ponderated Final ponderation: ICPM = 2S +2HR +1E NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek ICPM has a value between 0 and 5

5.THE RESULT NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

6.THE FIGURES 1Islande3,550 2Danemark3,279 3Suisse3,177 4Irlande3,148 5Norvège3,124 6Pays-Bas3,056 7Finlande3,048 8 Nouvelle- Zélande2,971 9Suède2,574 10Luxembourg2,548 11Costa Rica2,539 12Allemagne2,495 13Autriche2,472 14Belgique2,437 15Slovaquie2,393 16Malte2,330 17Royaume-Uni2,327 18Canada2,287 19Espagne2,247 20France2,181 21Japon2,096 22Portugal2,086 23Estonie2,075 24Jamaïque2,067 25Ghana2, Ukraine1, République arabe syrienne1, Jamahiriya arabe libyenne (Libye)1, Iran1, Haïti0, Myanmar ou Birmanie0, Angola0, Mauritanie0, Liban0, Irak0, Djibouti0, Somalie0, République démocratique populaire de Corée (Nord)0,489 NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

7.THE CRITICS Apples and oranges do not make peace Ad hoc formula for hidden agenda Intuitive work, no science To be improved NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek