Disaster Risk Assessment: an ENPI East Asset Roberto Rudari

Risk Assessment has received paramount attention in EU Some Relevant documents and acts: EU guidelines on Risk Assessment Communication on The Post 2015 Hyogo Framework for Action: Managing Risks to achieve Resilience … EU Flood Directive Council conclusions on Integrated Flood Management … Seveso Directive … EU Civil Protection Law DECISION No 1313/2013/EU OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 17 December 2013 in a Union Civil Protection Mechanism … Green Paper on the insurance of natural and man-made disasters … Recommendations for a European approach on recording of disaster losses and EU Guidelines (to come in Autumn this year) As a result of the process… “Multi-hazard national risk assessments are to be produced by Member States by the end of 2015”

Risk Assessment (BLUE BOX) is just an academic exercise if not seen in the wider picture of Disaster Risk Management/Reduction (RED BOX) Risk assessment and the Disaster Management Process

Risk Assessment is a dynamic concept Risk is a changing beast

Risk Assessment Scales - Time Learn from the Past Loss Accounting /Forensic Improve the present Short term prevention and mitigation actions Look at the future Long terms assessment, long term planning and investment Risk assessment should support informed decision in order to:

Risk Assessment Scales - Time An example of different actions in time:

Risk Assessment Scales - space National level National Risk Profiles definition Coping capacity assessment/improvement National DRM Policies (e.g. EWS) Prioritization on HZDs / on Geographical areas Province level Regional development plans Infrastructure developments Local/munici pality level Disaster Risk management Plans/Emergency Plans Disaster risk reduction plans Land use planning and regulations (zoning) Community level commitment to DRR programs awareness raising

PPRD East Phase I Risk/Hazard assessment Management Policy for the ENPI Eastern Region + ERRA Comparing the risk/hazard level with your neighbors (Best Practices sharing) Prioritize more precise Risk assessments (HZD focus, Geographic Focus) Prioritization of DRR measures at National level – policies, NDMP

PPRD East II Prepare Disaster Management Plans Response to disaster Prepare Risk reduction Plans including Local planning/building

RISK ASSESMENT AT NATIONAL LEVEL HAZARD ASSESSMENT AT LOCAL LEVEL RISK ASSESSMENT AT LOCAL LEVELEMERGENCY PLAN DEVELOPMENT in connection with EWS PATROLING TRAIL WL1 PATROLING TRAIL WL2 ROADS TO BE CLOSED GATES POINTS OF AGGREGATION TBE SHELTERS AND HOSTING FCILITIES CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE Risk Assessment into ACTION

CONCLUSIONS Risk Assessment is a never ending Process Risk Assessement must be USED for developing DRM actions at the right scale Planning and RT actions should be included in a seamless Risk management context … PPRD EAST phase I posed solid foundation in order to START an informed DRM planning