Plans for the 2021 Population and Housing Census TCG Meeting 16 June 2017 Budapest Muharrem Gürleyen GÖK TurkStat

Contents Negative features of the previous censuses Plans for the 2021 PHC Background Preparatory works Data sources

Negative Features of the Traditional PCs 14 traditional population censuses (1927-2000) No information on usual residence (de jure) One-day application with national curfew Need of a large number of staff High cost Overcounting Long duration of data processing (around 3.5 years) Population statistics are available within 5-10 year interval

Negative Features of the 2011 PHC Census with combined method Difficulty in hiring and training of a large group of field staff for a short term work Difficulty in collecting data on mortality, labour force and migration with inexperienced staff Relatively high cost Not being able to produce estimations for small geographic levels based on sample survey Lack of interest and support of municipalities Rising concern about confidentiality and privacy

Plans for 2021 PHC With the goal of producing more timely, less costly, more useful and annual population statistics: Changing the census methodology from combined to register based. Using the LFS data by combining them with related registers. Producing census data on 1 km2 grids.

Background Completion of the Central Civil Registration System (MERNIS) including unique ID numbers: 2002 Setting up the National Address Database (NAD): 2006 Establishment of the Address Based Population Registration System (ABPRS): 2007 Creating the National Education Statistics Database (NESD): 2008

Background Producing annual population statistics according to ABPRS: 10 years, 2007-2016. Utilizing administrative registers for the first time for census purposes: 2011 Setting up the Institutional Living Quarters Address Database: 2012 Transforming the National Address Database to Spatial Address Registration System (SARS) by adding coordinate information to addresses: 2012-2018 Starting the preparations for the 2021 PHC: 2014

Preparatory Works Technical assistance: 2013-2014 Study visits (Poland, Netherlands): 2014 A Project Group was established: 2014 4 working groups (demography, labour force, housing, disability) Cooperation of experts from different fields within the TurkStat Determining the administrative registers and variables usable for census purposes To conduct studies on producing statistics from administrative registers

Preparatory Works Studies are being done on producing new statistics from ABPRS Place of birth: 2015 Types of households: 2016 Reason for internal migration: 2018 2021 PHC and related issues were added to 2017-2021 term Official Statistical Programme: 2016 Census methodology (no more field application) Necessity to establish data bases on disability, buildings and dwellings Working on the available administrative registers (Registers of Social Security Institution and Revenue Administration)

Registers to be used Address Based Population Registration System (ABPRS) Population of localities Age, sex Literacy and educational attainment Nationality Legal marital status Place of birth Internal migration Reason for internal migration (2018) Household types, size of households Relationships between household members Births, deaths

Registers to be used National Address Database (NAD) + Spatial Address Registration System (SARS) Type of the building Type of the living quarter Number of floors in the building Spatial data Building permits (Construction permits, Occupancy permits) Floor space, number of rooms Construction year Construction material Type of heating and main type of energy used Installations in the buildings (piped water, waste water, lift, piped gas, electricity, hot water etc.)

Registers to be used Registers of Social Security Institution (Labour force status, economic activity) Tax records Farmer Registration System Registers of Turkish Unemployment Agency (Applications for work and unemployment benefits) Ministry of Family and Social Policy Registers of persons with disabilities Social assistance records Registers of Ministry of Education and Higher Education Council Land Registry and Cadastre Information System

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