SA Army Seminar 21 Change and Continuity in Global Politics and Military Strategy (with special reference to Human Rights, the Nature of War and Humanitarian Intervention) Prof Jack Spence OBE

Scope A brief outline of conflict management in the Cold War international order Outline of the post-Cold War context Key features of the post 9/11 disorder The theory and practice of intervention: humanitarian / regime change Implications for South Africa’s security, its military doctrine and capabilities Conclusions

Conflict Management in the Cold War International Order The implications of the end of the Cold War for international order

Outline of the post-Cold War context End of History The emergence of a solitary superpower The ‘New World Order’ Intra-state war in Europe etc. Failed and collapsing states

Key features of the post 9/11 disorder A qualitative change in the structure and process of the international society? The nature of the terrorist threat: ideology and capabilities; the impact of globalisation New security threats; the implications for western military doctrine; the revival of collective security The erosion of the boundary between the domestic and international realms of political activity The impact of 9/11 on democratic politics and civil liberty in mature democratic states

The Theory and Practice of Intervention: Humanitarian / Regime Change The human rights dimension; the responsibility to protect; the doctrine of international community Incentives and constraints: moral, political, economic Implications for peace keeping and peace enforcement in theory and practice Lessons from current experience: Iraq and Afghanistan

Implications for South Africa’s Security, its Military Doctrine and Capabilities South Africa as an emerging power  The primacy of civilian control  Implications for defence policy  Terrorism in Africa: South Africa's responses  Collaboration with external powers  African peacekeeping and peace enforcement: incentives and constraints