Overview of U.S. Crashes & Weather Environment

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Presentation transcript:

Overview of U.S. Crashes & Weather Environment Dec. 4, 2000 Louis V. Lombardo Office of Human-Centered Research Research & Development National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

How Adverse Weather Contributes to Crashes Impairs Visibility Decreases Stability Reduces Controllability

How Adverse Weather Contributes to Crashes Impaired Visibility: Rain & Splash & Spray Fog Snow Dust Storms Glare

How Adverse Weather Contributes to Crashes Decreased Stability: Winds Cross Winds on Trucks, Trailers, Vans Gusts with Passing Trucks

How Adverse Weather Contributes to Crashes Reduced Controllability: Slippery Roads (Rain, Snow, Ice) Slick Spots (Bridges, Metal Plates, Oil) Hydroplaning (Heavy Rain)

Snow Crash

Rain Crash

NHTSA Crash Data Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) Census of Fatal Crashes (~37,000 per year) Police Accident Reports (~100 data elements) National Automotive Sampling System (NASS) Sample of Crashes (~5,000 crashes per year) Crashes Investigated (~ 650 data elements)

NHTSA Crash Data FARS & NASS: Gold Standard of Crash Data Systems BUT: We lack exposure measures for Weather in terms of Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) under adverse weather conditions

Weather & Number of Police Reported Crashes (1998) Normal: 5,329,000 (84%) Rain: 827,000 (13%) Snow/Sleet: 131,000 (2%) Fog 28,000 (<1%) Other*: 20,000 (<1%) Total: 6,335,000 * Smog, Smoke, Sand, Dust

Weather & Percent of People Injured in Crashes (1998)

Weather & People Injured (1998) Normal 2,709,000 (85%) Rain 420,000 (13%) Snow/Sleet 41,000 (1.3%) Fog 13,000 (0.4%) Other 9,000 (0.3%) Total 3,192,000

Weather & Percent of People Killed in Crashes (1998)

Weather & People Killed (1998) Normal 36,076 (87%) Rain 3,644 (9%) Snow/Sleet 691 (2%) Fog 719 (2%) Other 341 (<1%) Total 41,471

Weather & People Killed (1989-1998) Normal 362,473 (87%) Rain 37,649 (9%) Snow/Sleet 8,976 (2%) Fog 7,144 (2%)

Adverse Weather & Deaths by Vehicle Type (1989-98) Involved Vehicle Total Deaths Adverse Percent Passenger Cars 286,316 39,622 13.8 Light Trucks 170,268 23,984 14.1 Large Trucks* 50,877 8,664 17 Motorcycles 25,987 903 3.5 Buses* 3,239 576 17.8 *Commercial Vehicles Travel More in Adverse Weather

Weather & 1998 Estimated Economic Costs of Crashes Normal $126 billion (84%) Rain 20 billion (13%) Snow/Sleet 3 billion ( 2%) Fog <1 billion (<1%) Other <1 billion ( <1%) Total $150 billion/year

Adverse Weather + Adverse Road Conditions Adverse Weather (Rain, Snow, Fog, etc.) Adverse Road Conditions: Roadway Surface (Wet, Snow, Ice) Vision Obscured (Splash, Spray, Dust, etc.)

Adverse Weather + Adverse Road Conditions (1989-1998) Number Percent Crashes 12,000,000 (28%) Injured 8,000,000 (25%) Killed 80,000 (19%)

Adverse Weather + Adverse Road Conditions Estimated Bottom Lines Crashes: ~1,200,000/Year Injured: ~ 800,000/Year Killed: ~ 7,000/Year Economic Costs: ~$42 Billion/Year

NHTSA’s Efforts to Reduce Weather Contributions to Crashes Federal Standards: Antilock Brakes for Trucks Windshield Wiping, Washing & Defrosting Vehicle Conspicuity Lighting and Signaling Tire Information on: Traction, Treadwear & Temperature

Research: Antilock Brakes for Cars & Trucks NHTSA Efforts to Reduce Weather Contributions to Crashes, Deaths & Injuries Research: Antilock Brakes for Cars & Trucks Truck Splash & Spray Countermeasures Truck Conspicuity Lighting & Signaling Visibility Automatic Crash Notification (ACN) Weather & Driver Research on NADS

NATIONAL ADVANCED DRIVING SIMULATOR (NADS)

Weather Information for Drivers Telematics: Location-Specific Weather Information via Wireless, Internet, GPS, & Variable Message Signs

Variable Message Sign Warning

Weather Information Telematics In-Vehicle Information Systems: Navigation Communications Location-based Weather Information Services

Telematics Market Growth In-vehicle Information Systems: 1999: $300 million 2003: $5 billion (projected)

DOT’s Intelligent Transportation Systems Weather Programs ITS Information Sources: DOT/ITS info: http://www.its.dot.gov Private Sector info: http://www.itsa.org