South Africa’s Climate Change M&E System Framework 19 April 2017 BRIAN MANTLANA bmantlana@environment.gov.za

Build an evidence base: To inform planning, prioritize data-collection mechanisms, including urgently setting up mandatory monitoring, evaluation and reporting processes for all relevant stakeholders. Monitor, report and verify to understand South Africa’s progress against national goals of the envisaged economy and society To formulate effective responses to climate change, South Africa needs a country-wide monitoring system to measure climate variables at scales appropriate to the institutions that must implement climate change responses The Mandate

Objectives of the CC M&E System OVERALL OBJECTIVE: To track South Africa’s transition to a lower-carbon economy and climate-resilient society: Cross-cutting: One-stop shop for climate change information in South Africa Climate-resilience: Provide evidence base of the impact of climate change in South Africa Lower-carbon: Assess SA’s performance against the National Emissions Trajectory range (PPD) Assess the implementation of DEROs & carbon budgets, including mitigation impact, implementation progress , cost , jobs created & wider SD benefits Climate Finance: Track the use, impact & effectiveness of funds in climate change response Support the identification of resource requirements, allocation & opportunities Objectives of the CC M&E System

National Greenhouse Gas Inventory System (NGHGIS) Web-based M&E platform 1. Climate change risks, impacts & vulnerability 2. Adaptation M&E 3. Mitigation & emissions M&E 4. Climate finance M&E   National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory System (NAEIS) National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Biennial update report Annual climate change report GHG emissions & sinks activity data From companies, installations, land-use maps, etc. Climate change (CC) response & impact information From: Public & private databases Project owners & implementers (government, private sector & NGOs) Research institutions, etc. CC Response M&E System Establishes and support data flows and data management for the compilation of GHG inventories. National Greenhouse Gas Inventory System (NGHGIS) National Green House Gas Inventory Report The Climate Change M&E System

System Scope: Main Page Climate Research Adaptation

The web-based CC M&E SYSTEM

South Africa’s National GHG Information System

South African Approach National Development Plan 2030 National Adaptation Strategy National, Sectoral & Local Plans National CC Response White Paper 2011 Adaptation Goals in SA’s NDC South African Climate Resilience M&E Desired Adaptation Outcomes (DAOs) for M&E climate resilience

Output of the CC M&E System

Tracking CLIMATE FINANCE - summary To provide an overview of the landscape of climate finance supporting the country’s transition to a lower-carbon and climate-resilient society To understand the resource needs for funding South Africa’s climate response actions Tracking and monitoring the impact or contribution of funds deployed towards climate actions – successes and failures To provide an estimate of the degree to which other funds have been leveraged by public finance To help promote a country approach when mobilising financial resources TOP-DOWN MONITORING: - Tracking flows from source or implementing agency - Public spend, bilateral, multilateral, etc. BOTTOM-UP MONITORING: - Tracking flows at project-level together with mitigation & adaptation monitoring CC M&E system Database

Multilateral Databases OECD Research Collaborative project National Public Fiscus MoU with NT Multilateral Multilateral Databases Bi-lateral Requests to Embassies Private OECD Research Collaborative project Web-based M&E SYSTEM DATABASE Programme level – mitigation & adaptation Requests Mitigation Indicators: Mitigation impact Co-benefits Effectiveness: = CO2e / Cost ??? Capacity building Research Awareness Policy / Strat dev.

Methodological Tools to support CC M&E system National System for GHG inventory MRV guidelines Desired Adaptation Outcomes Institutional arrangements (M, A, F) Carbon tax Verification of GHG emissions to support Carbon tax National Atmospheric Emission Information System – reporting tool of emissions by the industry GHG Reporting regulations GHG Technical guidelines Web-based CC M&E system Methodological Tools to support CC M&E system

Main output of the CC M&E System The objectives of these climate change annual reports are: To recognise, profile and showcase climate change actions in South Africa To broaden the understanding of impact, effectiveness, lessons learnt and gaps of climate change actions so as to better understand the context and progress towards South Africa’s transition towards a lower carbon economy and a climate resilient society. Main output of the CC M&E System

South African Peak, Plateau and Decline.   NDC target 614 96 MtCO2e (2020; 583)   NDC target South African Peak, Plateau and Decline.

ToC for SA’s 2nd CC Annual Report Chapter 1: Synopsis of South Africa’s Second Climate Change Annual Report Chapter 2: Implications of the Paris Agreement for South Africa Chapter 3: Adaptation: (a) Progress in the development of the National Adaptation Strategy; (b) Progress in the development of the Desired Adaptation Outcomes; (c) Perspectives and lessons learnt from the recent drought phenomenon; (d) Determination of the effectiveness of Adaptation Actions. Chapter 4: Mitigation: Tracking South Africa’s Transition to a Lower Carbon Economy. Chapter 5: Development of SA’s CC M&E system: (a) Progress in the Greenhouse Gas Improvement Programme; (b) Progress in the development of the Greenhouse Gas National System; (c) progress in the development of MRV for the Carbon tax. Chapter 6: Near-Term Climate Change Flagship Programme. Information boxes: (a) Progress in the SANBI-led programme of small-scale Adaptation Fund projects (b) Youth and Climate change in South Africa ToC for SA’s 2nd CC Annual Report

E-mail: BMantlana@environment.gov.za