Key findings from the Draft LEA Ian Denness, Dorset County Council

Key Findings from the Draft LEA Christchurch North Dorset East West Purbeck Weymouth & Portland Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole = “BDP Area” “DCC Dorset” Bournemouth Poole

Key Findings from the Draft LEA London Southampton London Bristol Exeter Exeter M5 Bristol Bath Salisbury London Southampton Urban areas house 54% of population Town areas house 21% of population Total urban + town = 75% Defra classification 2005 Many urban/town areas are not served by railway links Two Universities – Bournemouth, University of Arts at Bournemouth Three Colleges – Weymouth, KM and B&P College

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 1) The BDP area has a high proportion of service sector workers “Service sector” = anything that isn’t primary (mining, agriculture) or secondary (construction, manufacture, energy etc) Source: Annual Business Inquiry, 2008

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 2) The BDP area has a large public sector workforce Source: Annual Business Inquiry, 2008 For every 100 full time equivalent jobs shed in the Public Sector locally there would be an additional 34 (19 in private sector) jobs lost, including: 15 additional public sector jobs 6 in distribution and retail 4 in business services 2 in hotels and catering 2 in other services 2 in transport and communications

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 3) The BDP area has a large number of small/new businesses In BDP approximately 84% of firms employed fewer than 10 people (2008) In comparison the national figure was 83% These “micro” firms provided 25% of all local employment In comparison the national figure was 21% Source: UK Business: Activity, Size and Location – 2009, ONS/Department of Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR)

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 3) The BDP area has a large number of small/new businesses In 2008 there were 77.7 new businesses established for every 10,000 residents The figure for England was 74.8 50% of Dorset’s firms established in 2003 had survived through to 2008 The figure for England was 46.4% Source: UK Business: Activity, Size and Location – 2009, ONS/Department of Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR)

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 4) The BDP area has a high proportion of resident older people BDP Area DCC Dorset Source: ONS mid year estimates 2009

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 5) The proportion of working age in BDP is expected to decline 56.9% 49.2% Source: ONS population projections

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 6) The knowledge intensive sector is important in the BDP area The knowledge intensive sector consists of a range of business types from the… …manufacturing sector (electronics, chemicals, medicine, etc) …service sector (financial, real estate, telecommunications, etc) These are important as they make a disproportional contribution to GVA figures

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 6) The knowledge intensive sector is important in the BDP area Source: ?

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 7) Land for commercial development is in short supply in BDP The BDP Workplace Strategy (2008) identified Demand for new land by 2026 will be 184ha 50/50 split between offices and industrial Identified 216ha of land that could be available BUT only 74ha (34%) available in the short term For economic growth more available land needs to be brought forward Source: BDP Workplace Strategy (2008) Based on predicted demand before the recession 184 ha needed by 2026 50-50 split between office and industrial There’s 216 ha available in total, but only 74 ha available in the short term

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 7) Land for commercial development is in short supply in BDP Locally the Strategy identified: Bournemouth: under supply of employment land – especially land suitable for office use Poole: adequate supply, but a shortfall of land (for offices) in the short term Dorchester/Weymouth: a very tight supply of land Rural Area: adequate supply, but some too remote Source: BDP Workplace Strategy (2008) “very tight” = balance between supply and demand

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 8) The BDP area is generally wealthy, but deprivation does exist Source: Index of Deprivation 2007

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 9) Unemployment in the BDP area is low… % working age popn “working age” = 16 to 64 Source: Nomis (ONS)

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 9) …but long term unemployment is increasing Source: Nomis (ONS)

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 10) Wages in DCC Dorset are relatively low Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (2009)

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 11) Local housing is amongst the least affordable in the country Sources: Land Registry, ASHE

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 12) BDP is not as productive as some other areas Source: Regional Accounts

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 13) Businesses in the BDP area are experiencing a skills gap Vacancies considered “hard to fill”: Bournemouth 10% DCC Dorset 17% Poole 10% Employers with a “skills gap”: Bournemouth 21% DCC Dorset 24% Poole 21% The National Employers Skills Survey, Learning and Skills Council, 2009

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 14) BDP has some infrastructural disadvantages Limited commercial land Lack of affordable housing Road network is often congested Quality broadband is not universally available In some areas the availability of public transport restricts workers’ flexibility

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 14) BDP has some infrastructural disadvantages Image shows travel Tuesday 7.00-9.00 and return to 4.30-6.30 to tertiary, secondary and primary employment sites BDP LTP

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 15) The BDP area has economic sectors that are currently strong… Source: Regional Accounts

Key Findings from the Draft LEA 15) …and have potential to grow Source: South West Growth Scenarios, Oxford Economics for South West Observatory, June 2010.

That’s What We Think… …Have We Got It Right?