Coordinating an Observation Network of Networks EnCompassing saTellite and IN-situ to fill the Gaps in European Observations Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Work Package 2: Strategic Goals, Metrics, and Indicators Three Tasks: Task 2.1: Strategic Goals Task 2.2: Essential Variables Task 2.3: Observation Specifications and Requirements

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Most (GEO) approaches to Essential Variables are bottom-up Task 2.1 We want to add a top-down approach starting with societal goals

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Task 2.1 What are the goals? scientific disciplines: create new knowledge; monitor the environment, assess state and trends, predict; societal disciplines: enable sustainable development GEO: Societal Benefit Areas; Strategic Targets Ministers: Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Potential Indicators: For example, Documenting “global change” Change indicators GEOSS the “archive” for the future... What goals to be considered? Task 2.1

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain For example, “safeguarding Earth’s life-support system;” based on Griggs et al. (2013): sustainable development is a “Development that meets the needs of the present while safeguarding Earth’s life-support system, on which the welfare of current and future generations depends.” What goals to be considered? From Potential Indicators: Planetary health indicators GEOSS the “lab” for patient Earth... Task 2.1

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain For example, “Safe operating space for humanity;” Rockström et al. (2009) Potential Indicators: Planetary boundary indicators GEOSS the planetary cockpit... What goals to be considered? Task 2.1

What goals to be considered? For example, “Sustainable Development Goals” Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Task 2.1

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain SDG Indicators The purpose of SDG indicators is twofold. First, an indicator should be a management tool, to help countries develop implementation and monitoring strategies for achieving the SDGs and to monitor progress. Second, an indicator is a report card, to measure progress towards achieving a target and ensure the accountability of governments to their citizens. This will require: Investing in national statistical systems, household surveys, remote sensing, and Big Data; Identifying areas where statistical standards are currently lacking and asking the statistical community to develop them in the future; Thinking in terms of the measurement instruments that each country should have in place (e.g. vital statistics, censuses, surveys, national accounts, administrative records, Big Data); and Specifying the quality requirements (e.g. frequency of data-collection, timeliness of releases, geographical detail, common set of variables available for cross-classification purposes). Task 2.1

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain GoalsGoals TargetsTargets IndicatorsIndicators Essential Variables (URR) Inference Engine Knowledge about Applications, Activities, Tools,... Knowledge about Users, Benefits, Defining observations needed Observational Requirements - rules - models SEE IN Knowledge Base Socio-Economic and Environmental Information Needs Knowledge Base GEO’s Contribution 3rd GEOSS S&T Stakeholder Workshop - human interactions (e.g., surveys) Task 2.1

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Work Package 2: Strategic Goals, Metrics, and Indicators Three Tasks: Task 2.1: Strategic Goals: D2.1: Report on Goals, Targets, Indicators MS5: WS1 has taken place, Report available Task 2.2: Essential Variables Task 2.3: Observation Specifications and Requirements WP 2

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Essential Variables: Variables that determine the system’s state and developments, are crucial for predicting system developments, and allow us to define metrics that measure the trajectory of the system. Limited knowledge of essential variables implies limited predictive capabilities and limited means to measure where the system is heading. Task 2.2

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain For example, “Safe operating space for humanity;” Rockström et al. (2009) Task 2.2

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain CMCC:

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Work Package 2: Strategic Goals, Metrics, and Indicators Three Tasks: Task 2.1: Strategic Goals: D2.1: Report on Goals, Targets, Indicators (SDG Worklshop Report) MS5: WS1 has taken place, Report available Task 2.2: Essential Variables D2.2: Report EVs: Current status in different communities and way to move forward MS8: Collocated EV workshop Task 2.3: Observation Specifications and Requirements WP 2

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Task 2.3 Observation Specifications and Requirements: Three core questions (used in the URR): Who are the users? What are they doing? What do they need to do what they are doing?

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Task 2.3 Goals, Metrics and Essential Variables: Implementation in SEE IN KB Essential Variables: Linked to metrics Basis for management Populate report cards Increase predictive capabilities Observation specifications need to be derived from these usages of EVs

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Work Package 2: Strategic Goals, Metrics, and Indicators WP 2 Three Tasks: Task 2.1: Strategic Goals: D2.1: Report on Goals, Targets, Indicators (SDG Workshop Report) MS5: WS1 has taken place, Report available Task 2.2: Essential Variables D2.2: Report EVs: Current status in different communities and way to move forward MS8: Collocated EV workshop Task 2.3: Observation specifications and Requirements D2.3: Proposal of EVs for selected themes MS11: EVs defined

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain WP 2 Proposed Work Progress: Draft deliverables asap (Task leads) Agreement on who does what asap (All partners involved) Monitoring of work progress on a WP web page with private and public parts (Tiwah) Frequent Task and WP telecons (Tiwah for WP, Task leads for Tasks) Summary: WP 2 is extremely challenging WP 2 has a very short life time All other WPs depend on us Coordination is a big issue

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain

Information Needs Stakeholder Driven GEOSS Defining observations based on information needs Defining models and tools based on information needs GEO, YIP Reference Document.

19 Focus Areas Griggs et al., 2013 Griggs et al. (2013): 6 SDGs: 1 Thriving lives and livelihoods 2 Sustainable food security 3 Secure sustainable water 4 Universal clean energy 5 Healthy and productive ecosystems 6 Governance for sustainable societies

SDG Indicators The purpose of SDG indicators is twofold. First, an indicator should be a management tool, to help countries develop implementation and monitoring strategies for achieving the SDGs and to monitor progress. Second, an indicator is a report card, to measure progress towards achieving a target and ensure the accountability of governments to their citizens. This will require: Investing in national statistical systems, household surveys, remote sensing, and Big Data; Identifying areas where statistical standards are currently lacking and asking the statistical community to develop them in the future; Thinking in terms of the measurement instruments that each country should have in place (e.g. vital statistics, censuses, surveys, national accounts, administrative records, Big Data); and Specifying the quality requirements (e.g. frequency of data-collection, timeliness of releases, geographical detail, common set of variables available for cross-classification purposes).

GoalsGoals TargetsTargets IndicatorsIndicators Essential Variables (URR) Knowledge Base Inference Engine Knowledge about Applications, Activities, Tools,... Knowledge about Users, Benefits, Defining observations needed - rules - models - human interactions (e.g., surveys) Observational Requirements

GoalsGoals TargetsTargets IndicatorsIndicators Essential Variables (URR) Inference Engine Knowledge about Applications, Activities, Tools,... Knowledge about Users, Benefits, Defining observations needed Observational Requirements - rules - models SEE IN Knowledge Base - human interactions (e.g., surveys)

GoalsGoals TargetsTargets IndicatorsIndicators Essential Variables (URR) Inference Engine Knowledge about Applications, Activities, Tools,... Knowledge about Users, Benefits, Defining observations needed Observational Requirements - rules - models SEE IN Knowledge Base Socio-Economic and Environmental Information Needs Knowledge Base GEO’s Contribution 3rd GEOSS S&T Stakeholder Workshop - human interactions (e.g., surveys)

For example, “safeguarding Earth’s life-support system;” based on Griggs et al. (2013): sustainable development is a “Development that meets the needs of the present while safeguarding Earth’s life-support system, on which the welfare of current and future generations depends.” Other goals: From Potential Indicators: Planetary health indicators GEOSS the “lab” for patient Earth...

Potential Indicators: For example, Documenting “global change” Other goals: Change indicators GEOSS the “archive” for the future... <--Anthropocene ??

Potential Indicators: For example, Documenting “global change” Other goals: 1 C } IPCC Assessment: Very Likely by 2100 o Marcott et al., 2013 <--Anthropocene ?? Change indicators GEOSS the “archive” for the future...

For example, “Safe operating space for humanity;” Rockström et al. (2009) Other goals: Potential Indicators: Planetary boundary indicators GEOSS the planetary cockpit...

For each set of goals, we can agree on targets For targets, we can develop a metrics based on indicators For indicators, we can identify “essential variables” needed to quantify the indicators General Blue Print for top-down approach: Other Blue Prints for bottom-up approaches to be developed

GoalsGoals TargetsTargets IndicatorsIndicators EVsEVs SEE IN KB Inference Engine Knowledge about Applications, Activities, Tools,... Knowledge about Users, Benefits, Defining observations needed - rules - models - human interactions (e.g., surveys) Gap Analysis Observational Requirements Earth observation systems, data, and services GEOSS Knowledge Base Inference Engine Providing environmental intelligence - Rules - models - human interactions (e.g., research)

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Background

Kick-Off Meeting, February 18, 2015, Barcelona, Spain Contribution Tiwah is involved in: WP 2: Task 2.1 (D2.1), Task 2.2, Task 2.3 (MS5) WP 3: Task 3.1, Task 3.2 (D3.2) (MS3, 4, 17) WP 4: Task 4.1, Task 4.3, Task 4.4 WP 6: Task 6.1, Task 6.2 (D6.2), Task 6.3 (D6.3) (MS20, 21, 23, 26, 30) WP 7: Task 7.1, Task 7.2, Task 7.3 (MS31)