TxSDC Demographic Data Users Conference May 19, 2015 Austin, Texas The Aging Population in Texas: A Brief Insight to the Future.

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Presentation transcript:

TxSDC Demographic Data Users Conference May 19, 2015 Austin, Texas The Aging Population in Texas: A Brief Insight to the Future

Estimated Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

Top 10 States with the Largest Older Populations, 2010 to Population 65 years plus Percent of Total Population Population 65 years plus Percent of Total Population Population 65 years plus Percent of Total Population Population 65 years plus Percent of Total Population United States 40,267, %41,369, %43,143, %44,704, % California 4,246, %4,402, %4,599, %4,791, % Florida 3,259, %3,358, %3,510, %3,647, % New York 2,617, %2,670, %2,757, %2,832, % Texas 2,601, %2,704, %2,841, %2,966, % Pennsylvania 1,959, %1,978, %2,042, %2,091, % Ohio 1,622, %1,644, %1,704, %1,752, % Illinois 1,609, %1,639, %1,694, %1,743, % Michigan 1,361, %1,388, %1,442, %1,487, % North Carolina 1,234, %1,279, %1,347, %1,407, % New Jersey 1,185, %1,208, %1,250, %1,283, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage.

Median Age for the Top 10 Youngest States, 2010 to United States37 38 Utah2930 Texas34 District of Columbia34 Alaska34 33 Idaho35 36 California35 36 Georgia3536 Louisiana36 Arizona36 37 Mississippi Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage.

Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period. 95 counties lost population between Of these: 36 (38%) had natural decline 89 (94%) had net out migration 30 (32%) had both natural decline and net out migration

Percent of Households with at Least One Person Over the Age of 64 Years, Texas Counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Median Age, Texas Counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample

Population Projections, Texas, , Percent Over and Under 65 8 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario

9 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

10 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

11 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Population Projections 65 Years and Over by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario

Texas Population Change by Age Group, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half 2000 to 2010 Migration Scenario

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using migration scenario population projections

Obesity Prevalence 15 % adults with obesity: Office of the State Demographer, Projection

Projected Number of Adults with Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity, Texas,

Diabetes Prevalence 17 % adults with diabetes: Office of the State Demographer, Projection

Physicians per 1,000 Population Aged 65 Years and Older by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census and Texas Medical Board (2011 physicians).