National Weather Service Eastern Region Activities Fred McMullen Regional Aviation Meteorologist Eastern Region Headquarters.

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Presentation transcript:

National Weather Service Eastern Region Activities Fred McMullen Regional Aviation Meteorologist Eastern Region Headquarters

Enhanced Weather Forecast Office (WFOs) Services Routine three hour TAFs at all OEP airports in the east WFOs New York and Philadelphia in the 1015Z CCFP chat again for 2010 Nine WFOs implemented CAC

Aviation Climate

Aviation Climate Monthly wind roses Ceiling histogram Visibility histogram Cig / Vis histogram

JFK Runway Closure Hourly winds in AFD 1030am telcon

TRACON Support Tactical Decision Aids –N90, PHL, CLE, DTW, PCT –Key points through Cleveland Center’s airspace

CWSU Websites

TAF Review TAFs are written to the ASOS / METAR. Pilots use ADAS Vicinity = A donut-shaped area between circles with radii of 5 and 10 SM from the center of the runway complex of an airport. KJFK VC 5-10SM SM 0-5SM

NY Aviation Demonstration NYC Weather bulletin

Verification NY Aviation Demonstration Probability of Detection (POD): IFR and lower – – –11% improvement! False Alarm Rate (FAR): IFR and lower – – –20% improvement! National metrics: 0.64 POD / 0.43 FAR

Verification NY Aviation Demonstration Wind Speed Improvement –13-17 knots 4% improvement –18-22 knots 9% improvement –23-27 knots 38% improvement –28-32 knots 52% improvement Wind Direction Improvement –N 2%SE 1% –NE 26%W 4% –E 40% NW 17% –Overall 10%

Future Items NY Aviation Outlook? Outlook at other high impact terminals? Anything else?

Open Discussion Topics Greatest value products? Other possible services? Adjustments to current services? Things you would like to have, but do not?

The End