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Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs) Jeroen Aerts.

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Presentation on theme: "Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs) Jeroen Aerts."— Presentation transcript:

1 Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs) Jeroen Aerts

2 Hurricane Sandy, October 2012

3 Hurricane Irene, August 2011

4 4 > U$ 50 Bn Damage > 200 Deaths

5 Manhattan (1664)

6 6 Manhattan (~1850)

7 Manhattan (~1915)

8 Manhattan (~1930)

9 9 Manhattan (~2007)

10 FEMA Floodzones (1/100 and 1/500)

11 Risk from hazard Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public € Vulnerability / exposure Probability Risk Governance Private People

12 Risk from hazard Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public € Vulnerability / exposure Probability Risk Governance Private People NYC : 6 billion Euro -> Sandy: 50 bn Euro

13 Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public Risk Governance Private People Capacity / knowlegde Perception Insitutions / legislation Risk from hazard € Vulnerability / exposure Probability

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15 Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public Risk Governance Private People Risk Assessment Risk from hazard How to organize institutions, such they lower risk? Risk from hazard

16 Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public Risk from hazard Risk Governance Private People DRR measures

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18 Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs Public Risk from hazard Which MSPs are most effective in lowering risk? Private People DRR measures

19 Core: 10 Case studies UK: Greater London PT: Chamusca ES: Jucar RBD IT: PO RBD DE+: Wadden Sea AT+: Austrian railways NL: Rotterdam Port 7 regional case studies 3 pan European case studies

20 Forest Fires Chamusca, Postugal: Forest Fires

21 Forest Fires Chamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires Risk Public People Building code Restriction urbanization Building code Restriction urbanization

22 Forest Fires Chamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires Risk Public People Building code Restriction urbanization Building code Restriction urbanization Insurers

23 Port Cities & Flood risk

24 Rotterdam: no Insurance Port Cities & Flood risk London: Insurance

25 Rotterdam: no Insurance Port Cities & Flood risk London: Flood Insurance Public People Insurers Public

26 Risk Cascades : Po River Basin, Italy Low Flows  Droughts  Salt intrusion from the sea  drinking water Earth quake  Dike breach  Flood -> Damage Public People Insurers

27 Pan European Cases Heath Waves & Health Flood damage & EU Solidarity fund Volcanic ash & air traffic

28 Stress test : EU Solidarity Fund EU SF Member state RE- Insurers?

29 Volcanic Eruption & Aviation

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31 Public People Insurers Eurocontrol Meteo - services Airlines Limit cancelled flights

32 Outlook Public Peopl e Private Testing MSPs using extreme scenarios What if scenario? Cascades/ Multi hazardScenarios & Hazard models

33 Outlook: Recommendations Input Hyogo framework Role EU policies in effective MSPs Special Focus on role Insurance in MSPs

34 Thanks for your attention! Website:www.enhanceproject.eu Coordinator: jeroen.aerts@vu.nl Communication: cedric.hananel@arctik.eu


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